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What chance of success for Zimbabwe talks?

July 22, 2008

rtr20ed8.jpgZimbabwe’s ruling ZANU-PF and the opposition MDC are holding talks in Pretoria aimed at thrashing out a power-sharing deal to end the country’s political crisis.

President Robert Mugabe, MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai and a smaller MDC faction signed a framework for the talks in South Africa on Monday — a deal that South African leader Thabo Mbeki said committed Zimbabwe’s political rivals to an intense timetable.

But will Mugabe and Tsvangirai’s first handshake in a decade be enough to set aside the rivalries and distrust between the two men in the wake of Zimbabwe’s disputed elections over three months ago and the June 27 run-off which Mugabe won as the sole candidate?

Mugabe has said the agreement was to “chart a new way of political interaction” while Tsvangirai said not finding a solution is not an option.

Will two weeks of talks be enough for the rival parties to settle their differences and work out a way to set up a government of national unity, promoted by the African Union and Southern African Development Community as a solution to the crisis?

Comments

The reason why the negotiation period is a mere two weeks is because these parties have virtually agreed on the framework for a new political order, including a new constitution. In fact, the constitution was agreed on as far back as 2003 but fell victim to the topsy turvy political circumstances prevailing ahead of the Abuja Commonwealth summit at which Mugabe subsequently pulled Zim out of the club.

 

Let me be proved wrong, but my view, based on what I know of Mugabe is that nothing is going to come out of this. Mugabe will not negotiate himself out of power come rain, come thunder.His party has failed to dislodge him even though everyone in the party agrees he is the problem. The Zimbabwe crisis is only but an external manifestation of the underlying ZANUPF internal struggle to get rid of Mugabe. Mbeki and Jonathan Moyo are too painfully aware of that.

Posted by C Chipikiri | Report as abusive
 

Mugabe has plainly won. The only reason for the so-called negotiations is to provide an excuse to claim that the stupid whites should give Zimbabwe, ie. Mugabe, the money they had promised if he was overthrown. No doubt they will be sufficiently weak to do this!

Posted by John | Report as abusive
 

one important aspect of the recent deal is having the UN and AU as part of the mediation process. this article delves into how impartial mediation is crucial:

http://www.bahaiperspectives.com/current -affairs/2008/07/16/world-cup-of-failed- politics/

 

We know that Mugabe is honest president. he does really understand the causes of this crisis. We know that this crisis is caused by british interferences and interventions in domestic zimbabwean affairs. Therefore, for this reason, it is important to free Tsvangirai from his foreign masters. He is only a mere puppet of foreign forces. What people of Zimbabwe can expect from this puppet? The reply is, NOTHING GOOD. In the name of Zimbabwean national interest, President Mugabe is the only protector of Zimbabwe against foreign influences….

Posted by Tendaie | Report as abusive
 

the only logical way foe zim to get back to its knees is when mugabe steps down or given a role that nullifies his outspokeness which in my view would only be possible if the generals in his government agree to that .But thumbs up for both parties swallowing up their pride 2 negotiate coz it is for the better of all zimbos.

Posted by manu | Report as abusive
 

Tendaie…i think u are so much mistaken my friend. i strongly advice you to go back to your reference books and study them with detail.The talks are not going to bring any positive results as desired by the people of Zimbabwe. Mugabe is not going to allow anyone to rule Zim as long as he lives as he says.The only move to take is to bring the economy down to its knees and watch-out who he is going to murder and torture, BRING down the economy that feeds the hands that kill the people of ZIm.Mugabe was never loyal to his people and since the 80s after independence we have witnessed his party kill and tortue, not to mention the Matebelebland killings.

Posted by Eish | Report as abusive
 

Eish

Would you prescribe the same medicine for your own country?

Would you want your country’s economy to be destroyed by foreign powers in a bid to force your ruler out of office? Should this happen in Britain and the USA or Australia?

Or is this medicine good only for Zimbabwe, where greedy white farmers and their Western cousins have colluded to bring the economy down despite the fact that millions of black Zimbabweans are suffering economic hardship?

Posted by Vincent | Report as abusive
 

Mugabe do as mandela did, i think that is the only chance you have to day, failure to do so your consequences will drive you a rough raod with no lights.

 

Negotiations are negotiations and compromises will be made. I suspect that a deal will be struck which may not go down well with everybody. That is politics. After all the chaos, politicians will sit down, shake hands and smile while we watch. Lets see what happens to all this madness…

Posted by Derrick | Report as abusive
 

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