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06:08 October 10th, 2008

Will global crisis hurt remittances to Africa?

Posted by: Jack Kimball
Tags: Africa economy, , , , , , , , , ,

Employee counts money at foreign currency exchange in TokyoIt seems everyone in Africa has family members living abroad.

Just stop someone on the street and ask if they have a cousin, a brother, or a sister living in Europe, the United States or elsewhere around Africa, and most likely they’ll say that they have two or three or more. Remittances from those loved ones total some $40 billion per year, according to the United Nations. In some countries, diaspora money makes up more than 20 percent of the gross domestic product, and analysts say, remittance cash may be as much as 50 percent higher than current estimates due to informal transfers.

But there is growing concern that this money could be a victim of a spiralling crisis in global financial markets.

It’s still too early to tell how much remittances from the estimated 30 million Africans living abroad have been impacted by the crisis, which, world financial bodies warn, could lead to a global slowdown. But some families have already been told to expect less money.

This year, the continent has suffered a dual attack from high oil and commodity prices. And now, if there is a shortfall in remittances, a third front would put an added strain on wallets and purses. But in some ways, Africa is better-placed to weather some of the storm because its banking sector is relatively unexposed and its economic ties with Asia are deepening. For remittances, the fear is that if a recession hits Europe or the United States, traditionally resilient flows could ebb as migrants’ purse strings are pulled tighter and tighter.

Will a slowing of global economies hit remittance money from Africa’s large diaspora? Or, will Africans abroad prove resilient yet again and continue to send the same amount of money to families back home?

9 comments so far

I will assume it will since Mexico’s remittances is down 12%.

- Posted by rrubinprodigy

Of course it will, if those remittances come from the west. But as I’ve read in other blogs, Africans should be happy because they don’t like the west and what it stands for.

Secondly, African’s will be better off in the long run because of the new benefits which China brings. I know I will not be sending remittances anymore.

- Posted by buffalojump

yes the global crisis affects alot to africa’s economy as in my country Uganda its the main foreign income earning in the counrty and there was a seriouse slow down to the volume of remittance,in my business i serve over 500 custormers a day who recieve money from abroad and most of them are student, illetrate women and old peopple.some receive from friends,close or far family just to have a loaf too.ugandans in abroad sacrifice alot for their fellows at home but if this continues am afraid many will not be studying,many will not be getting the £5 pound they use to get per week.

- Posted by igal mohamed ali

Of cause it would affect remitances, job loses in the West would affect the ability of African expatriates to remit funds.

- Posted by Nduka Tolefe

A slow down in remittances from abroad is expected. As a matter of fact this has already been witnessed in some parts of Africa. According to the Central Bank of Kenya, remittances from abroad dropped 37% in September. The impact of this will undoubtedly affect our economies negatively.

- Posted by Shama Sambili

it seems that the ‘economics of affection’ continues at all times, recession or expansion periods. africans in the west somehow feel that they msut help kins at home even at their own expense. not providing for relatives at home is perceived as a failure on ones part. what i cannot understand is why those in the diaspora continue to send small amount of money at intervals rather than a somewhat larger amount at one or two times and empower e relatives back home to build something, business, which can generate income on ongoing basis. if they had done that, they would not fall prey to the vagaries of capitalist system.

- Posted by alazar dessie

[...] Nicaragua, Nepal, Guatemala and El Salvador are all in the 10-20% range. Jack Kimball of Reuters points out that “remittance cash may be as much as 50 percent higher than current estimates due to [...]

- Posted by MICROCAPITAL STORY: Remittances and Microfinance in 2008

It is said that if you give a man a fish you feed him for a day…teach him to fish and you have enabled him to be productive his whole life. Dess wrote that sending small amounts keeps relative dependent on the handout whereas if you could financially “back” those you are helping you would enable them for their lives and future generation. I concur.
Susan Mohler
Groton, MA

- Posted by Susan Mohler

[...] number of reasons.  One problem is a pervasive belief that remittances (which amounted to nearly $40 billion for Africa in 2008) are more valuable than [...]

- Posted by Reversing the Brain Drain : The Whitaker Group

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