Poll and Economic Data Correspondent, Asia, Singapore
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Nov 11, 2011

When it comes to recessions, 40 is the new 50

If it were about age, 40-somethings would cringe. But it seems a dead certainty that 40 now means 50 — or even higher — when it comes to predicting the chances of a recession taking place.

Going by past Reuters polls of economists, every time the probability hits 40 percent, the recession’s already started or is perilously close to doing so.

    • About Anooja

      "Six years in Reuters covering macroeconomics and polling mainly for the G7, parts of Africa and the Gulf. Presently looking after polls and economic data coverage and writing about the exciting and complex economies of Asia. Have worked in Bangalore and Singapore."
      Hometown:
      Bangalore
      Joined Reuters:
      2005
      Languages:
      English, Hindi
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