Antony's Feed
Jan 18, 2011
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Citi’s subpar Q4 a reminder of hard slog to come

By Antony Currie
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

NEW YORK — Citigroup’s subpar fourth-quarter showing is even more disappointing than it looks. Not only did the U.S. megabank’s $1.3 billion profit, a mere 3.2 percent return on equity, miss consensus analyst estimates. It also needed some extra help from the taxman and its own reserves even to get there. Strip those items out, and the meager return in the final three months of the year dissolves into a loss of around $165 million. It’s a timely reminder to shareholders that the recovering Citi is still faced with a hard slog back to decent profitability.

Jan 13, 2011
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Dimon should keep JPMorgan’s powder dry for now

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

NEW YORK — Jamie Dimon faces a luxury problem. The boss of JPMorgan, which reports earnings Friday, reckons the bank will generate up to $50 billion in excess capital over the next three years. The question is what should he do with such a windfall?

Jan 11, 2011
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Goldman pulls value out of adversity

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

NEW YORK — Overwhelming public opprobrium played a hand in Goldman Sachs’ decision to disclose more about its trading and investments for its own account — the first fruits of which emerged in a regulatory filing on Tuesday. But the Wall Street firm’s reorganization of how it reports earnings also serves its own purposes. It makes valuing the firm a bit easier by enabling a better sum-of-the-parts analysis than was previously possible.

Jan 5, 2011
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Beating the rap easier on Wall, not Main, Street

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Is beating the rap easier on Wall Street than Main Street? It sure looks that way. U.S. authorities have collared few high financiers for their role in the crash. By contrast the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp is lining up lawsuits against 109 mostly small-time bankers, arguing that negligence and fraud contributed to their firms’ demise.

Dec 29, 2010
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Squeezed I-banks will fight for talent in 2011

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

NEW YORK — This might seem like an unlikely time for a bidding war for investment bankers. After all, the industry’s high-paying culture is still under scrutiny from regulators and politicians. And new capital rules and economic uncertainty mean returns may be lackluster again in 2011. So why is Wall Street limbering up for a battle for talent?

Dec 2, 2010
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Madoff trustee has nothing to lose gunning for JPM

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Irving Picard’s decision to lob a $6.4 billion lawsuit in JPMorgan’s path might smack of desperation. After all, the trustee responsible for recovering assets for victims of Bernie Madoff’s gargantuan Ponzi scheme has had almost two years to file suits and now has just a week left. He’s hitting up UBS for $2 billion as well for its role aiding feeder funds. But Picard has nothing to lose.

Dec 1, 2010
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Is Citi prepping for its next bailout already?

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Is Citigroup prepping for its next government bailout already? It’s a bit unfair to infer that from the latest news emanating from the recovering megabank: Citi is hiring President Barack Obama’s former budget chief Peter Orszag. But for a firm that’s been whacked by more financial crises than most over the past few decades, having a direct line to the White House is something of a must-have.

Nov 30, 2010
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First Republic tale turns into buyout Goldilocks

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

NEW YORK — Banks these days don’t generally make for good fairy tales. But First Republic’s story gets pretty close. What looked like a happy ending three years ago turned out to be a miserable existence trapped inside not one, but two, grim houses before finally escaping. Now First Republic’s narrative is turning into a buyout Goldilocks.

Nov 17, 2010
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U.S. bank dividends face a long slog upwards

The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.
By Antony Currie and Richard Beales

A return to boom-time dividends remains distant for investors in U.S. banks. It’s not just that the Federal Reserve is imposing strict criteria, unveiled on Wednesday, before financial firms can return more capital to shareholders next year, including stress-testing their portfolios again. Dividends have also dwindled so badly that they already faced a long slog back.

Nov 15, 2010
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Don’t cry for Goldman in bank dividend kerfuffle

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Goldman Sachs’ shareholders have little to grumble about. Sure, the bank’s plans to buy back $5 billion in expensive preferred stock held by Warren Buffett appear to have been put on hold thanks to an industry-wide debate with the Federal Reserve over how to manage capital. That includes deciding when dividends can go up. But investors in Goldman’s common stock already have an advantage over the competition.

    • About Antony

      "Antony Currie has more than a decade of experience as a financial journalist, having worked with Euromoney since 1996, most recently as a U.S. editor. He has worked on assignments in the major financial centers of Europe and the U.S. and written stories on capital markets, global economies and the investment banking industry. He holds a bachelor's degree in German language and literature and a master's degree in politics and international relations from the University of Bristol."
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