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	<title>Archive &#187; Angus MacSwan</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/archive</link>
	<description>Reuters blog archive</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 28 Nov 2009 18:05:51 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>China&#8217;s Long March into Latin America</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/global/?p=5748</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/global/?p=5748#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2009 21:24:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Angus MacSwan</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Global News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Ellis]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[latin america]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Venezuela]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/global/?p=5748</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The United States spent years trying to keep communism out of Latin America. Now communist China is making increasing inroads into the region, but as a capitalist power. R. Evan Ellis, author of a new book on China in Latin America, says it "does not have a nefarious interest, but it has strategic interests".]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2009/09/chavez.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-5750 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2009/09/chavez.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="221" align="left" /></a><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN1615187220090916" target="_blank">A $16 billion oil deal between China and Venezuela</a> signed this week illustrates Beijing's growing economic might and political influence in Latin America.</p>
<p>Trade between the region and China has swelled from $10 billion in 2000 to more than $102 billion in 2008.</p>
<p>Latin American leaders -- not just leftists like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez but also moderates such as Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva -- have beaten a path to Beijing and Chinese officials are frequent visitors in return.</p>
<p>China is gobbling up Latin American commodities from soy to iron ore and at the same time eyeing a market of 500 million people while growth in its traditional trade partners remains flat.</p>
<p>And increasingly, China is a source of financing and investment in a continent that the United States has traditionally considered its backyard.</p>
<p>"It is important to recognise the Chinese engagement is significant and is having a significant effect," R. Evan Ellis of the Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies in Washington said at a presentation at <a href="http://www.canninghouse.com/content/" target="_blank">London's Canning House</a>. "Latin American politics and economics are coming of age and the region is looking to a number of players, not just the United States."</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2009/09/caracas.jpg"><img class="attachment wp-att-5752 " src="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2009/09/caracas.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="300" align="right" /></a>Former U.S. President George W. Bush's government is widely seen as having paid too little attention to Latin America during its eight years in power. Some U.S. politicians have raised the alarm about communist China's intentions, warning that it poses a security threat. So should the United States be afraid?</p>
<p>Ellis believes there is no direct security challenge from China.</p>
<p>Beijing's main intention is to secure supplies of resources, increase its clout in international politics, and to isolate Taiwan. It does not appear to be interested in a military presence or cultivating client states, he said. China also needs to stay on good terms with West so their economic relationship can continue to prosper.  "There is no need for China to antagonise the West for little benefit," he said.</p>
<p>Although China supplies some non-lethal military gear to Latin American countries and has discussed selling a radar system to Venezuela and Argentina, Russian is the favourite weapons source for the populist governments.</p>
<p>There is an indirect threat however, Ellis said. China's close business and economic ties with countries hostile to the United States such as Venezuela, Ecuador and Nicaragua means it act as "enabler" for them. "It does not want to get dragged into a fight but it is useful," he said. "It is does not have a nefarious interest but it has strategic interests."</p>
<p>A second threat is the spread of Chinese organised crime in Latin America, especially in money-laundering and human trafficking. Chinese and Taiwanese mafia are already active in the tri-border area of Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina.</p>
<p>Thirdly, there is the question of how China would react if its business interests are threatened, either by a change of a government's policy or by other players.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, China is growing even stronger in Latin America. As well as its ties to anti-U.S. states, it is an important partner for U.S. allies Chile, Peru and Colombia. It is also helping fellow BRIC Brazil in its rise as an emerging power. It is transforming infrastructure with projects to develop ports from Mexico and Panama to Chile and to open up transport corridors between the Pacific coast and the continent's interior.</p>
<p>In the future, we can expect to see more Chinese exports of value-added goods such as motorbikes and computers, Ellis said. Chinese companies are buying into the commodity sector while assets are low, especially in Peru and Brazil. There will be more investment and financial deals at preferential prices, for example using its currency reserves to pay in advance for commodities. China is creating a world that is safe for its remergence as a global power," he said.</p>
<p>Ellis's book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/China-Latin-America-Whats-Wherefores/dp/1588266753/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1253307539&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">"China and Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores"</a> has just been published.</p>
<p>(Reuters photos: Venezuelan President Chavez arrives in Beijing and Chinese Vice-President in Caracas)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>The Russians are coming &#8212; Caribbean Crisis redux?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/global/2008/09/09/the-russians-are-coming-caribbean-crisis-redux/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/global/2008/09/09/the-russians-are-coming-caribbean-crisis-redux/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Sep 2008 15:21:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Angus MacSwan</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Global News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Bush]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[cold war]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[georgia]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[iran]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[military]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/global/2008/09/09/the-russians-are-coming-caribbean-crisis-redux/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The thought of Russian warships cruising the waters of the Caribbean instinctively revives memories of such Cold War episodes as the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962.
Russia is sending a heavily armed nuclear-powered cruiser and other ships, aircraft and troops for a joint naval exercise with Venezuela, its first big manoeuvres in the United States' self-declared backyard [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/boat1.jpg" title="The 19,000-ton nuclear-powered cruiser “Peter the Great” is seen in this June 2003 file photo. Russia said on Monday it would send a heavily-armed nuclear-powered cruiser to the Caribbean for a joint naval exercise with Venezuela, its first major manoeuvres on the United States’ doorstep since the Cold War. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Andrei Nesterenko said on Monday that the naval mission to Venezuela would include the nuclear-powered battle cruiser “Peter the Great”, one of the world’s largest combat battleships. REUTERS/Stringer (RUSSIA)"></a><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/boat2.jpg" title="The 19,000-ton nuclear-powered cruiser “Peter the Great” is seen in this June 2003 file photo. Russia said on Monday it would send a heavily-armed nuclear-powered cruiser to the Caribbean for a joint naval exercise with Venezuela, its first major manoeuvres on the United States’ doorstep since the Cold War. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Andrei Nesterenko said on Monday that the naval mission to Venezuela would include the nuclear-powered battle cruiser “Peter the Great”, one of the world’s largest combat battleships. REUTERS/Stringer (RUSSIA)"><img align="right" width="300" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/boat2.jpg" alt="The 19,000-ton nuclear-powered cruiser “Peter the Great” is seen in this June 2003 file photo. Russia said on Monday it would send a heavily-armed nuclear-powered cruiser to the Caribbean for a joint naval exercise with Venezuela, its first major manoeuvres on the United States’ doorstep since the Cold War. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Andrei Nesterenko said on Monday that the naval mission to Venezuela would include the nuclear-powered battle cruiser “Peter the Great”, one of the world’s largest combat battleships. REUTERS/Stringer (RUSSIA)" height="174" class="imageframe" /></a>The thought of Russian warships cruising the waters of the Caribbean instinctively revives memories of such Cold War episodes as the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuban_Missile_Crisis">Cuban Missile Crisis </a>of 1962.</p>
<p>Russia is sending a heavily armed <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL871354420080908">nuclear-powered cruiser</a> and other ships, aircraft and troops for a joint naval exercise with Venezuela, its first big manoeuvres in the United States' self-declared backyard since the end of the Cold War.</p>
<p>It is extremely unlikely the deployment will provoke a crisis as dangerous and dramatic as 1962, but it is still an irritant to Washington.</p>
<p>Venezuela under President Hugo Chavez has replaced Fidel Castro's Cuba as its <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN0245268620080902">chief bugbear </a>in Latin America.</p>
<p>Spouting <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN1637941420080717">anti-imperialist </a>rhetoric, Chavez has led a socialist revolution aimed at countering a century of U.S. influence -- some might say meddling -- in the region. He counts as <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN0336510320080303">allies</a> leaders such as Bolivia's Evo Morales as well as many poor people. </p>
<p>He has backed up his actions with largesse from Venezuela's <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSN2527632820080826">oil wealth</a>. Ironically, a lot of those dollars come from the United States. Venezuela is its fifth-largest oil supplier, a trade relationship which has hobbled Washington's reactions to Chavez's adventures. <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/rtx84e7.jpg" title="Venezuela’s President Hugo Chavez gestures while addressing reporters with Spain’s Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero (not pictured) outside the Moncloa Palace in Madrid, July 25, 2008. Chavez met earlier in the day with Spain’s King Juan Carlos in their first meeting since the monarch told the president to “shut up” at a summit in November. Chavez flew into Madrid as part of a European tour which has passed through Russia, Belarus and Portugal. REUTERS/Paul Hanna (SPAIN)"></a></p>
<p>Venezuela has already bought fighter jets, submarines and guns from Russia. And add to the equation Venezuela's burgeoning friendship with Iran, another bete noire for the <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN1219048720080312">Americans.</a></p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/rtr20fp8.jpg" title="Russia’s Prime Minister Vladimir Putin (L) and Venezuela’s President Hugo Chavez meet at Novo Ogaryovo residence outside Moscow July 22, 2008. REUTERS/Miraflores Palace/Handout (RUSSIA)"><img align="left" width="300" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/global/files/2008/09/rtr20fp8.jpg" alt="Russia’s Prime Minister Vladimir Putin (L) and Venezuela’s President Hugo Chavez meet at Novo Ogaryovo residence outside Moscow July 22, 2008. REUTERS/Miraflores Palace/Handout (RUSSIA)" height="211" class="imageframe" /></a>Chavez seems to enjoy goading the Bush administration almost for the fun of it. He has variously called President George W. Bush a donkey, a drunk, and in a U.N. speech, the Devil."</p>
<p>The naval exercises with Russia will not be as easy for Washington to brush off as the name-calling.</p>
<p>Relations between Washington and Moscow are tense because of Russia's intervention in <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/gc07/idUSL272497420080909">Georgia </a>in August. The Kremlin was angered by the United States' sending a naval flotilla to the Black Sea to show support for Georgia.</p>
<p>Russian President Dmitry Medvedev even asked how Washington would feel if Russian sent aid vessels to the Caribbean.</p>
<p>During the Cold War, Russian had a substantial military presence in Cuba and was involved behind the scenes in the Central American wars of the 1980s. With the Soviet Union's collapse, all that ended.</p>
<p>But Russian officials have made it clear recently that Moscow is ready to play a role on the world stage again.</p>
<p>Meanwhile the United States' <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN1530837620080515">Fourth Fleet </a>this year began patrolling Latin American waters for the first time in 50 years, a move that Chavez denounced but that has also concerned moderate countries such as Brazil.</p>
<p>The Venezuela-Russia exercises are due to take place days after the U.S. presidential election - an event that will complicate any response from Washington and at the same time divert world attention.</p>
<p>      </p>
<p>   </p>
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