from MacroScope:

With such similar inflation, how far behind the Fed can the BoE be?

November 18, 2015

RTR4OY3Z.jpgNot long ago, the big debate was over who would raise rates first, the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Bank of England. Now with the Fed giving clear signals it's on the brink of hiking and the BoE appearing to be pushing that day further off into the future, one could naturally conclude that the inflation outlook in both economies is vastly different.

from MacroScope:

Are the PMIs a smoking gun for the BoE’s hawks?

November 4, 2015

Might the latest survey of British services companies be the clincher for Bank of England policymakers who’ve been tempted to vote for higher interest rates?

from MacroScope:

Nailed-on for a stronger UK services PMI after factory surge?

November 2, 2015

A surprisingly strong surge in British manufacturing growth last month has left a few economists scratching their heads. Is it a one-off? Could a manufacturing recovery really appear out of seemingly nowhere?

from MacroScope:

Has UK wage inflation peaked yet?

October 14, 2015

?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????Wage inflation is supposed to pick up once unemployment gets down to a level at which scarcity of labour means companies are forced to pay more for top talent. This time, at least so far, the theory is either not working so well, or taking its time to kick in. Or perhaps the modest rise we've seen is the best we're going to get.

from MacroScope:

Sweet spot for UK pay could be just the nectar the economy needs

September 16, 2015

RTR309S7.jpgBritish workers have hit a sweet spot with wages rising much faster than near-zero inflation, suggesting the economy could gain further momentum as consumers spend their spare cash.

from MacroScope:

More signs of ‘Britain the Unbalanced’

August 5, 2015

PMI chart

While still signaling a solid rate of economic expansion in Britain, the latest batch of business surveys from Markit/CIPS will do little to quell unease about the lopsidedness of the recovery.

from The Great Debate:

The only safe way to make a nuclear deal with Iran

By Elizabeth Rosenberg and Peter Harrell
July 6, 2015

U.S. Secretary of Energy Ernest Moniz, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and U.S. Under Secretary for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at a hotel in Vienna

Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz, Secretary of State John Kerry and Under Secretary for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman (L-3rd L) meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif (2nd R) at a hotel in Vienna, Austria, June 28, 2015. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

from MacroScope:

Greek claim and counter-claim

By Mike Peacock
May 28, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Another day of claim and counter-claim.

The Greek government said a deal with its lenders had reached the drafting stage and would not require wages and pensions cuts or reforms to the VAT regime. It didn’t take long for euro zone officials to retort that this simply was not the case and that the two sides remained far apart.

from MacroScope:

G7 ministers face full in-tray

By Mike Peacock
May 27, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel talks to Finance Minister Schaeuble during a debate of the Bundestag in Berlin

G7 finance ministers and central bankers gather in Dresden later today for a two-day meeting at an interesting juncture for the world economy.

from MacroScope:

Greek money seems close to running out

By Mike Peacock
May 25, 2015

Greece's PM Tsipras, Malta's PM Muscat, EU Commission President Juncker and France's President Hollande attend an EU leaders summit in Brussels

The smart money has always been on a last-minute deal being done to keep Greece afloat with Athens making most of the concessions and the euro zone and IMF bending only a little. But the chances of a car crash are growing as each day passes.