Breakingviews' volume of prescient insight for 2016 includes forecasts about M&A, oil, interest rates, the Olympics, Star Wars booty and much more. Ren Holding and Antony Currie pick their favorites.
from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:
It’s been an interesting year, and the volatility we saw strikes some as a harbinger, with more divergence in monetary policy and the long-anticipated beginning of a Fed tightening cycle careening into the collapse of oil, setting up for an eventful 2016. For now, though, here’s a look at the top 10 stories in the markets over the past year:
British banks survived the Bank of England’s 2015 stress tests largely unscathed, but the assessment published earlier this month also underscored the vulnerability of the UK banking system to China.
The world economy may be set for another year like 2015, with modest growth in developed economies offsetting persistent weakness elsewhere but generating very little inflation and keeping interest rates low.