from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Moving averages, moving targets

March 26, 2015

It's starting to get difficult to keep track of the reasons for big selloffs, especially when the bond market and stock market engage in an all-out barf-fest simultaneously. The markets remain in a vacuum. Major earnings don't start for a few more weeks, and the key employment data isn't out for another week as well. That has left a bit of a void, which investors are filling with concerns about the dollar (if it's strengthening, it hurts earnings; if it's weakening, it's because of worries about the economy) and worries about the economy.

from Expert Zone:

Why India may come out on top after Fed rate hike

By Aviral Gupta
March 17, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

from MacroScope:

Euro may not be on a one-way road to parity

March 17, 2015

RTR4SXKP.jpgSigns the euro zone economy may have turned a corner just as many begin to question the timing of a U.S. interest rate hike could soon put a floor under the euro after a 13 percent plunge so far this year.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Outpost in Ukraine

March 11, 2015

The International Monetary Fund will decide later today whether to approve a big package of bailouts for Ukraine - provided the country, struggling with a weak economy, a sharp decline in oil prices and a conflict with Russia, can figure out a way to get about $15 billion from its creditors. Ukraine would have to keep its debt-to-GDP low enough so that the IMF doesn't feel like it's sticking its neck out too far.

from MacroScope:

Tsipras not for turning

By Mike Peacock
February 9, 2015

Greek Prime Minister Tsipras delivers his first major speech in parliament in Athens

Alexis Tsipras is not for turning, not yet anyway.

Speaking in parliament on Sunday night the new Greek premier said he would not accept an extension to Greece's current bailout, something the euro zone is urging him to do, and stuck with austerity-ending pledges such as giving free food and electricity to those who need it, reinstating civil servants who had been fired as part of bailout conditions and raising the minimum wage. Privatisations have already been halted.

from MacroScope:

Is a one-way bet on the dollar rising still such a safe bet?

February 4, 2015

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange

Borrowing in dollars is like playing "Russian roulette", India's central bank chief Raghuran Rajan said on Bloomberg TV this week.

from Unstructured Finance:

Jeffrey Gundlach, on his year as new ‘King of Bonds’

By Jennifer Ablan
December 15, 2014

Gundlach, star bond investor and head of DoubleLine Capital LP,  is photographed during an interview in New YorkWhen Bill Gross shocked the investment world on Sept. 26 by storming out of Pimco, the most prominent bond investor in the world didn’t stop leaving people stunned.
It was later revealed by Reuters that Gross had paid an unlikely visit to his fiercest rival: Jeffrey Gundlach.
For two decades, the two had no relationship or interaction at all, even though their personas were intertwined, compared and contrasted often in the financial media and by other bond market players. (Morningstar named Gross "Fixed Income Manager of the Decade" in 2010, an award for which Gundlach was a finalist. Then in 2011, Barron's magazine anointed Gundlach as the new King of Bonds.)
Gross not only unexpectedly departed his firm for under-the-radar Janus Capital but also considered joining Gundlach’s DoubleLine Capital. Gundlach said the so-called “Dream Team” didn’t work out but “you never know what will happen in the future.”
Overall, the gesture by Gross officially affirmed the investment world’s long-held view that Gundlach had been anointed the new Bond King.
What follows are excerpts of my hour-long interview – unfortunately, not on the north loggia of Gundlach's Los Angeles home -- about Gundlach’s investment calls (old and news ones), his competitors, the future of fixed income and his firm’s fifth year anniversary which was celebrated on Sunday.

from Expert Zone:

How to get India’s exports back on track

November 21, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

from Expert Zone:

If Europe gets into a debt crisis

October 29, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

from Global Investing:

Strong dollar, weak oil and emerging markets growth

October 17, 2014

Many emerging economies have been banking on weaker currencies to revitalise economic growth.  Oil's 25 percent fall in dollar terms this year should also help. The problem however is the dollar's strength which is leading to a general tightening of monetary conditions worldwide, more so in countries where central banks are intervening to prevent their currencies from falling too much.