from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

That Escalated Quickly

December 19, 2014

It's hard to determine whether the two-day run in the S&P 500 is a sign of an emerging "blow-off" top of the market, where a frenzied rally gives way to several months of weakness (lately, weakness has been measured in hours and minutes, rather than weeks or months), or if it's the sign of investors growing more comfortable with the notion that the Fed's exit from its zero-interest-rate policy that has lasted for several years isn't such a bad thing, and that the economy can handle it.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Hedge fund pool shrinks as assets grow, clients still bet on alpha – Steinbrugge

December 11, 2014

The hedge fund industry is on track to finish out the year both with record assets and a huge chunk of fund closures. Of the 240 funds launched in the third quarter 200 were liquidated, according to data from Hedge Fund Research. Year-to-date through September's end, there were 814 launches and 661 liquidations, HFR data showed.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

That’s a big Twinkie

December 11, 2014

The market’s gyrations are a bit more than many people want to handle this time of the year, but it’s a time when stupid stuff happens, and lack of liquidity combined with concerns about the world economy are raising questions that, essentially, seem like the same question: Has this equity-market surge come too far, and are we due for the “big” Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man-sized thing that everyone has been anticipating since, well, more than two years now?

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Sell, baby, sell: Sinking oil prices among global headwinds into 2015: Canadian fund manager, US economist

December 10, 2014

The rout in oil will have wider reaching consequences yet.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ decision not to cut production amid slowing demand coupled with large increases in U.S. oil output has skimmed some $40 off a barrel of oil inside of five months.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Equity bull market ongoing as Fed interest rate raise “years away” – Cumberland’s Kotok

December 3, 2014

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record high for the third straight day this week. The S&P 500, since breaking the 2,000 level on Oct. 31 has since remained above that level.

from Breakingviews:

Dizzying revolving door risks overdone response

November 20, 2014

By Daniel Indiviglio

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Fed should take “Goldilocks” jobs report with grain of salt; wage growth still main story – Rivkin

November 7, 2014

Friday's jobs report was something that the market could take in stride and the U.S. Federal Reserve could breeze over in its interest rate policy plotting. Even as the unemployment rate sank to a six-year low, wage growth remains stagnant. Wage growth has to become more robust and consistent before the Fed embarks on raising interest rates, most analysts agree.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Aberdeen asset manager focuses on value amid market turmoil

October 29, 2014

Volatility has cooled for the moment, even as the U.S. Federal Reserve lifted its quantitative easing program on Wednesday, but Europe, China and Brazil are still concerns for financial markets, according to a veteran investment manager.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Sinking mortgage rates disguise investor fear – economist

October 27, 2014

A dip in 30-year mortgage rates to their lowest level in more than a year and stronger U.S. housing data on Friday appeared to be the green shoots of the next phase of U.S. economic recovery, that being the housing market.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

More volatility expected as Fed rate rise looms – Cumberland Advisors’ David Kotok

October 1, 2014

David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

A healthy dose of fear has re-entered financial markets in the final three months of the year. The Chicago Board Options Exchange VIX, a widely tracked measure of market volatility, rose to a two-month high on Wednesday.