from MacroScope:

Does the Bank of England really follow the Fed?

July 21, 2015

???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????“Daft” is how outgoing Bank of England policymaker David Miles described the idea that Britain’s central bank would have to wait for the U.S. Federal Reserve before hiking interest rates.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Off the rails on a crazy train

June 19, 2015

Matters continue to worsen in Greece, and the markets are becoming more sensitive to each sundry rumor about a deal, a lack of a deal, progress or no progress.

from MacroScope:

As Fed’s statement shrinks, data looms larger

April 29, 2015

Perhaps the most notable aspect of the Federal Reserve’s April statement is its brevity: at just 560 words, it’s the shortest post-Fed-meeting statement since October 2012.  In saying less about its much-anticipated first interest-rate hike, the Fed is nudging markets to pay attention to other stuff. Like, for instance, the April jobs report next Friday, and the May jobs report one month later. “The Fed is data dependent,” says Eaton Vance portfolio manager Eric Stein. “They’d like to get to a world where the market will react more to numbers rather than Fed meetings and statements.”

from MacroScope:

U.S. growth outlook snowed under yet again

April 29, 2015

SFor many years in a row, since a form of feeble recovery began from the worst financial crisis in more than 80 years, a similar pattern of déjà vu has set in for the U.S. economy.

from MacroScope:

Déjà vu? Fed may struggle to hike if U.S. optimism fades for H2

April 28, 2015

RTR4VVNE.jpgThe U.S. Federal Reserve may find it even more tough to raise interest rates as the year wears on if dwindling expectations for growth are any guide.

from Breakingviews:

Bernanke musters maximum revolving-door dignity

April 16, 2015

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from MacroScope:

Emerging market stocks look more resilient to a Fed rate hike

April 9, 2015

Members of the Legio X Fretensis (Malta) re-enactment group take part in a display of ancient Roman army life at Fort Rinella in Kalkara, outside Valletta

Expectations may have been pushed to later this year for when the U.S. Federal Reserve will hike interest rates, but a repeat of another steep sell-off in emerging market stocks appears unlikely as much has already been priced in - and because of the stronger dollar.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Waiting for Mr. Dudley

April 7, 2015

Earnings do not really get under way until next week, and the few early birds coming through in the next few days, like the usual Alcoa, et al, are not bellwethers of much other than global demand for aluminum.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

The Fed and wages

March 19, 2015

So now what? The biggest surprise from the Federal Reserve's statement on Wednesday was that the committee argued for more improvement in the labor market before it would feel comfortable with starting to raise interest rates.

from MacroScope:

Patient: Fed may drop the word, not the idea

March 18, 2015

RTR4R4RY.jpgFed Chair Janet Yellen may signal later today that she is no longer patient about when to consider raising rates but any eventual hike is likely to come after June, judging by how many key economic reports so far this year have undercut expectations.