from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Just the two of us

December 18, 2014

There was quite a bit of back-and-forth in the markets and among commentators over the Federal Reserve's alteration of its statement following Wednesday's meeting.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Considerable Consideration of Time

December 17, 2014

Markets like to tie themselves in knots ahead of Fed decisions. Instead of landing on what's expected, at times of volatility investors instead go in the other direction and start to consider all sorts of wild scenarios on what the slide-rule committee might do instead. But the outlook for the Fed's statement should be pretty straightforward: the Fed is likely to go with what the market expects, and remove its phrase talking about keeping rates at rock-bottom levels for a "considerable time," as it has no reason not to.

from MacroScope:

The only way is down?

By Mike Peacock
December 17, 2014

A man walks out of a building past a board showing currency exchange rates in Moscow

No further dramatic interventions by the Russian authorities overnight with the result that the rouble has opened five percent weaker against the dollar in Moscow.

from Unstructured Finance:

Jeffrey Gundlach, on his year as new ‘King of Bonds’

By Jennifer Ablan
December 15, 2014

Gundlach, star bond investor and head of DoubleLine Capital LP,  is photographed during an interview in New YorkWhen Bill Gross shocked the investment world on Sept. 26 by storming out of Pimco, the most prominent bond investor in the world didn’t stop leaving people stunned.
It was later revealed by Reuters that Gross had paid an unlikely visit to his fiercest rival: Jeffrey Gundlach.
For two decades, the two had no relationship or interaction at all, even though their personas were intertwined, compared and contrasted often in the financial media and by other bond market players. (Morningstar named Gross "Fixed Income Manager of the Decade" in 2010, an award for which Gundlach was a finalist. Then in 2011, Barron's magazine anointed Gundlach as the new King of Bonds.)
Gross not only unexpectedly departed his firm for under-the-radar Janus Capital but also considered joining Gundlach’s DoubleLine Capital. Gundlach said the so-called “Dream Team” didn’t work out but “you never know what will happen in the future.”
Overall, the gesture by Gross officially affirmed the investment world’s long-held view that Gundlach had been anointed the new Bond King.
What follows are excerpts of my hour-long interview – unfortunately, not on the north loggia of Gundlach's Los Angeles home -- about Gundlach’s investment calls (old and news ones), his competitors, the future of fixed income and his firm’s fifth year anniversary which was celebrated on Sunday.

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

These prices are insaaaaane!

December 15, 2014

It’s time to pause and take stock of the effect of the oil slump and dollar rise on markets, rather from just marveling at it. Market-watchers tend to look at one asset and attempt to use it as a guide for what will happen in another.

from Breakingviews:

Review: “Forgotten Depression” worth remembering

By Guest Contributor
December 12, 2014

By Edward Chancellor

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews Columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from Breakingviews:

Gold’s rally won’t outlast tectonic rate shift

December 11, 2014

By Ian Campbell

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from Breakingviews:

Yellen should gird for activist investors

December 9, 2014

By Rob Cox

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. 

Janet Yellen faces a long list of challenges for 2015. The Federal Reserve chair must keep her fellow governors aligned on the timing of interest rate increases while battling a Congress hell-bent on circumscribing the U.S. central bank’s powers. A less obvious trouble spot for Yellen’s year two in the job may be restive shareholders of systemically important financial institutions.

from Breakingviews:

Wall Street in grip of Geithner nostalgia

December 2, 2014

By Rob Cox

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own. 

from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

The ‘Worst’ Central Bank, Like, Ever

December 2, 2014

One day ahead of Friday’s key U.S. jobs report, markets will turn their attention to the European Central Bank, which is currently engaging in what strategist Rich Bernstein of Richard Bernstein Advisors calls a quest to become “the worst central bank in all of history.”