from Breakingviews:

Renzi is still dodging big Italian pension fight

May 21, 2015

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from Breakingviews:

Edward Hadas: The uses and abuses of GDP

By Edward Hadas
May 20, 2015

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from Edward Hadas:

The uses and abuses of GDP

By Edward Hadas
May 20, 2015

Gross Domestic Product can be a good tool to help central bankers, corporate leaders and investors. But it should be kept in its proper place.

from MacroScope:

More Greek talks, Riga summit unlikely to be decisive

By Mike Peacock
May 20, 2015

German Chancellor Merkel and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras leave after addressing news conference in Berlin

Greece's European lenders have played down hopes of a swift end to aid negotiations and said talks must speed up before the country runs out of cash. That contrasted sharply with optimism in Athens where a series of top officials asserted that a deal was just days away.

from MacroScope:

Cameron begins his Scottish dance

By Mike Peacock
May 15, 2015

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron pass each other as they pay tribute at the Cenotaph to mark the 70th anniversary of VE Day in London

British Prime Minister David Cameron will hold talks in Scotland with the other big winner in last week’s elections, Scottish nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon, who has already warned him it cannot be “business as usual” with Scotland.

from Breakingviews:

EU growth surprises hide clear pattern

By Edward Hadas
May 13, 2015

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from MacroScope:

French growth leapfrogs Germany’s in Q1

By Mike Peacock
May 13, 2015

The French Pole Emploi stand is seen during the 20th Forum de l'Alternance in Paris

It’s euro zone GDP day. German and French data are already out with Europe’s largest economy growing by 0.3 percent, below both the 0.5 percent forecast and the 0.7 percent achieved in the last three months of 2014.

from MacroScope:

U.S. growth outlook snowed under yet again

April 29, 2015

SFor many years in a row, since a form of feeble recovery began from the worst financial crisis in more than 80 years, a similar pattern of déjà vu has set in for the U.S. economy.

from MacroScope:

Data isn’t as objective as the Fed might have you believe

April 28, 2015

SFFedTshirt.jpgFed officials say they will be “data-dependent” when it comes to making monetary policy. San Francisco Fed President John Williams feels so strongly about it, he’s even printed up a T-shirt to get that message across. But truth be told, data-dependency is not as objective as it sounds. Data doesn’t dictate policy; it’s the interpretation of data that’s key. What is rate-hike-worthy data to one policymaker is keep-the-pedal-to-the-metal data for another. Take, for instance, U.S. GDP growth. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker says he expects GDP growth to average 2 percent to 2.5 percent this year, a pace that would justify a Fed rate hike in June. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans expects 3 percent growth this year, and does not believe even that would justify a rate hike until the first half of 2016. So what does it tell you about monetary policy if you see GDP growth of 2.5 percent? Not a whole lot, judging from these two. And the statements of other Fed officials are hardly more helpful. Indeed, as Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said recently, “I don't think it is advisable to approach such a decision with rigid quantitative triggers in mind.” Watch the data, sure. But don’t assume the data will tell you much about the exact timing of the rate hike. Monetary policy – it’s subjective. Maybe some policymaker will print that on a T-shirt.

from MacroScope:

Déjà vu? Fed may struggle to hike if U.S. optimism fades for H2

April 28, 2015

RTR4VVNE.jpgThe U.S. Federal Reserve may find it even more tough to raise interest rates as the year wears on if dwindling expectations for growth are any guide.