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from Expert Zone:

India Markets Weekahead: Tough for Nifty to climb above 7,800

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Indian markets were unaffected by the week's international developments, with some help from encouraging domestic macro data and a pep talk by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley in post-budget discussions.

The Nifty recovered from the previous week's losses, closing 2.67 percent up at 7664. Positive IIP data was followed by benign inflation at 5.43 percent, a four-month low. Monsoon rains, which had been playing truant, recovered substantially with the deficit shrinking to 15 percent below average last week and covering the entire country.

The geo-political tension in west Asia as well as the shooting down of a civilian aircraft in the war-torn region of Ukraine did not affect Indian markets though the U.S. and European markets reacted adversely.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi earned a feather in his cap when he negotiated for an Indian to be the first president of the $100 billion BRICS Bank. It is expected that this would supplement government spending in the Indian infrastructure sector in the next two-three years.

from Expert Zone:

India Markets Weekahead: ‎Book out of high-beta stocks

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley (C) poses as he leaves his office to present the federal budget for the 2014/15 fiscal year, in New Delhi July 10, 2014. REUTERS/StringerThe Narendra Modi government presented its maiden budget on Thursday. Although the budget was welcomed by industry leaders, the market meltdown seems to be telling a different story, with the Nifty posting its biggest weekly loss in 15 months.

Should it have been a path-breaking budget or is it prudent to build the economy brick-by-brick by walking the middle path? The much hyped "bitter pill" turned out to be a "bland" one.

from India Insight:

Markets this week: Sensex surges 5 percent on hopes from Modi, ONGC rallies

By Ankush Arora and Aditya Kalra

The BSE Sensex ended at a record closing high on Friday, rising 5 percent during the week, as Indian shares rallied on hopes of faster economic recovery after Narendra Modi became India's prime minister last month.

Markets have high hopes that the new Modi-led government would push for policy reforms and end bottlenecks that have stymied growth in Asia's third-largest economy.

from Expert Zone:

Markets Weekahead: A decisive mandate for equities

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Not even exit polls could have predicted the landslide election victory that ‎has put the BJP's Narendra Modi in the driver's seat for India.

The Nifty, after the initial euphoria of a 6 percent upswing, ended Friday at 7203, merely 80 points higher than the previous day. It was a typical “sell on news” phenomenon.

from Expert Zone:

India market weekahead – Partial profit-booking may be prudent before election results

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The so-called "rally of hope" stuttered during the week as Indian markets turned volatile. The Nifty closed at 6695, down 1.30 percent. The fear of the El Nino effect and the IMD forecast of below-normal rainfall seems to have made investors cautious.

With election results two weeks away, investors need to take a stand in the next few days. Although there can be a number of outcomes, only two would be termed positive for the markets - a landslide victory or a comfortable majority to form a stable government. The other scenarios such as a fractured mandate, a third front coalition or a weak UPA or NDA coalition would deflate the sentiment built up till date as the markets have already discounted a favourable outcome.

from Expert Zone:

India Market Weekahead: Time to take some profits off the table

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

A rally of hope tempered by caution pushed the Nifty 1.2 percent up to 6,776 for the week. Investors believe the worst is over and a new government would be the catalyst for a sustained economic upturn. In election season, hope for a better tomorrow helps the market ignore ground realities.

A record turnout in the ongoing general election is being seen as an anti-incumbency vote. As the market continues moving up, investor hopes for a stable government get priced in, leaving hardly any room for a disappointment. On the other hand, fence sitters who got left out of the rally will join the fray, adding to the momentum already built by investors.

from Expert Zone:

India Markets Weekahead: Time to size up portfolio

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

After a scare earlier in the week, the markets showed resilience at lower levels and bounced back, showing the confidence of participants. Though Nifty closed 26 points lower for the week at 6063, sentiment was much better than the previous week.

from India Insight:

Sensex performers in 2013: TCS surges 73 percent, Sun Pharma gains 54 percent

By Aditya Karla and Sankalp Phartiyal

The BSE Sensex ended 2013 with gains of 9 percent after hitting life highs during the year. The benchmark index touched an all-time high of 21,483.74 on Dec. 9 after falling to a 2013 low of 17,448.71 in August.

Foreign inflows boosted sentiment on the street even as concerns about a slowing economy and high inflation weighed. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought a net $20.1 billion worth of Indian shares in the year. FIIs had bought $24.5 billion worth of stocks in 2012.

from Expert Zone:

India Market Weekahead: Trading subdued but markets back on track

(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

Last week was a volatile one with the stock market poised for a surge but the Nifty eventually closed in the red with a loss of 0.20 percent at 5686.

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