from Breakingviews:

Cult of central bank transparency is too powerful

May 26, 2015

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

from MacroScope:

IMF paid but how much money does Greece have left?

By Mike Peacock
May 12, 2015

Greece's Finance Minister Varoufakis and Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem talk during an euro zone finance ministers meeting in Brussels

Greece made a 750 million euros repayment to the International Monetary Fund a day ahead of schedule on Monday but it is not clear precisely how much money Athens has left in its coffers.

from MacroScope:

Monetary policy: New T-shirt needed?

May 1, 2015

San Francisco Fed President John Williams  believes deeply that monetary policy is data-dependent, so much so that he has printed the mantra on T-shirts that he is giving away coast to coast. On Friday at Chapman University in Orange, Calif., however, he didn't discuss the current state of U.S. economic data or the stance of monetary policy. Instead, he focused on why forcing the Fed to follow a strict monetary policy rule to make interest rate decisions would be, well, a problem (http://reut.rs/1bmCfvB). It's a view that a number of his colleagues, including Fed Chair Janet Yellen, have publicly embraced. Monetary policy -- it's independent. Sounds like something you could put on a T-shirt.

from MacroScope:

Brazil’s central bank showing no mercy on rates

April 30, 2015

Man tries walks between two trunks towards the cracked ground of the Atibainha dam as it dries up due to a prolonged drought in Nazare Paulista

At 13.25 percent, Brazil's towering interest rate looks totally out of line at first glance.

from MacroScope:

Data isn’t as objective as the Fed might have you believe

April 28, 2015

SFFedTshirt.jpgFed officials say they will be “data-dependent” when it comes to making monetary policy. San Francisco Fed President John Williams feels so strongly about it, he’s even printed up a T-shirt to get that message across. But truth be told, data-dependency is not as objective as it sounds. Data doesn’t dictate policy; it’s the interpretation of data that’s key. What is rate-hike-worthy data to one policymaker is keep-the-pedal-to-the-metal data for another. Take, for instance, U.S. GDP growth. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker says he expects GDP growth to average 2 percent to 2.5 percent this year, a pace that would justify a Fed rate hike in June. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans expects 3 percent growth this year, and does not believe even that would justify a rate hike until the first half of 2016. So what does it tell you about monetary policy if you see GDP growth of 2.5 percent? Not a whole lot, judging from these two. And the statements of other Fed officials are hardly more helpful. Indeed, as Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said recently, “I don't think it is advisable to approach such a decision with rigid quantitative triggers in mind.” Watch the data, sure. But don’t assume the data will tell you much about the exact timing of the rate hike. Monetary policy – it’s subjective. Maybe some policymaker will print that on a T-shirt.

from MacroScope:

BOC to hold this year? Probably not say nearly half the primary dealers

April 15, 2015

Bank of Canada Governor Poloz speaks during a Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce event in central LondonThe Bank of Canada will almost certainly hold policy steady on Wednesday but nearly half of the banks who do business directly with it predict at least one more rate cut this year.

from MacroScope:

Surprise monetary policy moves may become new norm in India

April 14, 2015

File photo of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan during a news conference in Mumbai

For all the measures India's central bank has taken to increase transparency in policy making, predicting rate moves by Governor Raghuram Rajan is still difficult.

from Breakingviews:

Singapore’s war on deflation hobbled by bubble

April 14, 2015

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The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from India Insight:

Repo cut of 25-50 bps likely by September – Shubhada Rao of Yes Bank

By Reuters Staff
April 8, 2015

The Reserve Bank of India kept interest rates unchanged in its bi-monthly review on Tuesday, waiting to assess inflationary pressures and giving banks time to reflect on the central bank’s previous cuts in lending rates.