The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
from Expert Zone:
(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)
A sharp recovery towards the end of the week helped the Nifty gain nearly 2 percent to close above 7,550. Positions were lighter after derivatives expiry and the markets seemed to be looking at the bright side after a steep correction despite lacklustre corporate results and a weakening rupee. FIIs continued their selling spree with net selling of $171.5 million.
The Reserve Bank of India is widely expected to cut interest rates just once in 2016, as most analysts see retail inflation rising slightly above the central bank's target, but there is a decent chance it could cut more aggressively, as it did last year.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President John Williams earlier this year got so sick of answering reporters’ questions about when the U.S. central bank would raise rates that he had his son design a Tee-shirt that he could just give out.
from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:
With a week to go before the Federal Reserve meeting, markets are showing some signs of jitters. While most people would say that the Fed's rate hike is priced in, the activity in the markets shows that in a week with scant news, it doesn't take much to push things around and for people to show that they are worried about which direction things are going.
The Federal Reserve's planned smooth and gradual rate hike path may be bumpier than anticipated if U.S. economic growth over the next several months and punishingly cold winter weather follow a well-established recent pattern.
Not long ago, the big debate was over who would raise rates first, the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Bank of England. Now with the Fed giving clear signals it's on the brink of hiking and the BoE appearing to be pushing that day further off into the future, one could naturally conclude that the inflation outlook in both economies is vastly different.