from MacroScope:

Commodity sell-off adds pressure on unpopular Latin American leaders

July 8, 2015

Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff (C) and Mexico's President Enrique Pena Nieto (2nd R) surrounded by security arrive for the family photo of the VII Summit of the Americas in Panama City

Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff is fighting for political survival less than a year after being re-elected. Several reasons have been pointed exhaustively to explain how things got so bad in such a short period of time: chief among them are the burgeoning corruption scandal at state-run Petrobras and stubbornly high inflation, out of sync with the rest of the world.

from Expert Zone:

Why opinion polls are bad for elections

By Praveen Rai
February 6, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

from MacroScope:

More Brits than ever have no idea where rates are going

December 5, 2014

Bank of England Governor Carney listens during the bank's quarterly inflation report news conference at the Bank of England in London

So much for forward guidance. More Britons have no idea where interest rates are heading than since records began 15 years ago, according to the latest Bank of England/GfK NOP survey.

from India Insight:

Facts and figures for India’s 2014 general election

April 3, 2014

Voting in the 2014 election begins on April 7. More than 814 million people -- a number larger than the population of Europe -- will be eligible to vote in the world's biggest democratic exercise.

from The Great Debate:

Obama: Ineffectually Challenged

By Bill Schneider
April 2, 2014

President Barack Obama is in a funk. Americans are coming to see the president as ineffectual. That is a dangerous perception.

from MacroScope:

Shock now clearly trumps transparency in central bank policymaking

January 29, 2014

The days of guided monetary policy, telegraphed by central banks and priced in by markets in advance, are probably coming to an end if recent decisions around the world are any guide.

from MacroScope:

Housing boom and bust lesson still not sinking in

November 28, 2013

Housing markets are booming again in parts of the U.S. and Britain and they haven’t stopped doing so in Canada for the better part of a generation.

from MacroScope:

Another backhand volley from forward guidance

November 8, 2013

Forward guidance is quickly proving to be rather backward.

While it's a favourite game of every punter who's not paid to make predictions to trash the track record of those who are, just about everyone who follows the European Central Bank was stunned by the timing of its decision to cut rates on Thursday.

from MacroScope:

Olé! Getting to grips with the stock market bulls

June 20, 2013


The stock market bulls were out in force again in the latest Reuters poll of equity analysts and investors, conducted this week.

from Tales from the Trail:

Married v. unmarried could be the new election “gender gap”

October 24, 2012

Despite the American obsession with voting differences between men and women - the famed U.S. election "gender gap" - there is a far bigger "gap" dividing likely voters in 2012 - the yawning divide between marrieds and unmarrieds.