from Morning Bid with David Gaffen:

Auction Calling!

November 13, 2014

It's no secret that the Treasury market has changed a bit in recent months due to concerns from banks about holding too much in the way of securities and running afoul of various rules international regulators are setting up.

from Global Markets Forum Dashboard:

Sinking mortgage rates disguise investor fear – economist

October 27, 2014

A dip in 30-year mortgage rates to their lowest level in more than a year and stronger U.S. housing data on Friday appeared to be the green shoots of the next phase of U.S. economic recovery, that being the housing market.

from Breakingviews:

“Seller beware” when profiting from market calm

July 10, 2014

By Swaha Pattanaik

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

from Counterparties:

MORNING BID – Dot Matrix

April 10, 2014

The Federal Reserve did it again, giving back to the markets at a time when it wasn't expected, and showing once again that the early months of a new Fed chair's tenure are fraught ones, in terms of interpreting monetary policy.

from Counterparties:

MORNING BID – Turkey, the Fed, and we all float down here

January 29, 2014

The messy sell-off in emerging markets was stemmed overnight after Turkey surprised everyone by raising rates to 12 percent – but it didn’t last. Major averages in Britain and Germany opened at their highs of the day but have since faded, and even though the big rate increases in Turkey, South Africa and India are meant to stem capital flight, so far the market’s shooting first and asking questions later. S&P futures were up about 20 points after the Turkey rate hike – an odd move for such a localized event – and we’re seeing the reaction now, which, to quote Tom the cat about the ‘white mouse no longer being dangerous,’ “DON’T…YOU…BELIEVE…IT.” So we’re lower, and continue to head lower, and for those of you new to the markets, this is what’s called a selloff.

from Global Investing:

A boost for cheap emerging equities. So will they bite?

September 19, 2013

Emerging stocks have rallied 3 percent today after the Fed's startling decision to leave its $85 billion-a month money-printing in place, and some markets such as Turkey are up more than 7 percent. With the first Fed hike now expected to come in 2015 and tapering starting only from December, emerging markets have effectively received a three month breather. So will the buyers return?

from MacroScope:

Fed taxonomy: Lacker is a hawk, not a bull

September 2, 2013

Not to mix too many animal metaphors but, generally speaking, monetary policy hawks also tend to bulls on the economy. That is, they are leery of keeping interest rates too low for too long because they believe growth prospects are stronger than economists foresee, and therefore could lead to higher inflation.

from MacroScope:

Curious timing for Fed self-doubt on monetary policy

August 30, 2013

If there was ever a time to be worried about whether the Federal Reserve's bond-buying stimulus is having a positive effect on the economy, the last few months were probably not it. Everyone expected government spending cuts and tax increases to push the economic recovery off the proverbial cliff, while the outlook for overseas economies has very quickly gone from rosy to flashing red. But the American expansion has remained the fastest-moving among industrialized laggards, with second quarter gross domestic product revised up sharply to 2.5 percent.

from Breakingviews:

Emerging market woes support higher U.S. yields

August 27, 2013

By Swaha Pattanaik

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

from MacroScope:

Time to taper the taper talk?

August 20, 2013

It's been three months since the Federal Reserve first hinted that it's going to have to ease off on its extraordinary monetary stimulus, but financial markets are still not settled on the matter.