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14:50 September 10th, 2008

What will happen to Lehman Brothers?

Posted by: Adam Pasick
Tags: Ask,

lehman.jpgLehman Brothers plans to sell a majority stake in its asset management unit and spin off commercial real estate holdings, hoping to restore investor confidence and ensure its survival after reporting a record quarterly loss of about $4 billion.

What do you think will happen to the storied investment bank? A successful recovery? A Bear Stearns-style government bailout? Is Lehman Brothers too big to fail? Give us your thoughts in comments.

Click here for full coverage of Lehman Brothers.

You can also use Hubdub, an online prediction market that allows users to wager virtual cash on the outcome of news events, to make a prediction about whether the government will bail out Lehman Brothers within the next 30 days.

Will the U.S. government bail out Lehman Brothers within the next 30 days?

44 comments so far

Finally!
All day on CNN they spoke of the US Government \”bailing\” out AIG.
The US Government NEVER said they would bail out ANYONE!

The Federal Reserve did. And believe what you will, but you do your research you will find out the US GOVERNMENT DOES NOT OWN THE FEDERAL RESERVE. It is a privately owned entity.

They, of course, have the power to bail out ANYONE AND ANY ENTITY because they control the manufacturing of actual currency.

CNN reporting this in this manner is pretty much an all-out LIE.

- Posted by Tim

[...] What Will Happen To Lehmen Brothers (Sept 10th 2008) [...]

- Posted by Hubdub Buzz This Week | Hubdub

Who cares about Lehman brothers? The market is too strong for one crappy company to make any real difference. I for one, hope the government stays the hell out of it. Let them fold… who cares.

- Posted by Dmennenoh

Sorry Jane, you are acting very naive … in theory and text books the Fed is not owned by those stock holders but in reality - yes, they are controlled and influenced entirely by names in that group and others (I am not sure of the names), call it the invisible hand or whatever

- Posted by mihir

Not much to add except to clarify the attempt at explaining how stock is dealt with at the Federal Reserve. Here’s a paragraph quote taken from the federal reserve website. “Commercial banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System hold stock in the Reserve Bank in their region, but they do not exercise control over the Reserve Bank or the Federal Reserve System. Holding stock in a regional Reserve Bank does not carry with it the kind of control and financial interest that holding publicly traded stock affords, and the stock may not be sold or traded. Member banks do, however, receive a fixed 6 percent dividend annually on their stock and elect six of the nine members of the Reserve Bank’s board of directors”. This came from the federalreserve.gov website.

- Posted by jason

Should The US government bail out American corporations?

Does corporate America share its profits with the tax payers? The answer is absolutely not.
Do they share the profits with the tax payers? The executives are paid millions.
The US Government should bail out all corporations large and small is that right? The answer is no. If it is a viable business, they can raise the money from investors, if not, let them close shop.
If the government decides to bail them out if should be at a cost (like shares in the company) where the government will make money and have a say in running the company. Even better have a public referendum where the voters decide.
Carmakers want money from the government; the financial institutions want money - where does it stop.
It is about time corporate America should learn they have to stand on their own feet. Where is corporate America financial responsibility?
They claim the government is abusing its financial responsibility; it seems Corporate America is no better. They also go to their workers to take a pay cut, is that fair? It seems the little guys are the ones that always pay the price for corporate financial abuse and miss-management.
Other corporations in the world are not asking to be bailed out - they go out of business.
Jay Draiman

- Posted by Jay Draiman

The Federal Reserve is not owned by stockholders. The list posted is quite erroneous: Chase Manhattan no longer exists, neither does Kuhn Loeb. Go to college and learn some economics before posting false information.

- Posted by Jane

I sure hope the government doesn’t bail them out. It scares me to even hear of it being considered. The Fred and Fan situation just encourages mismanagement with the knowledge that bailout is there as an option. I’m no expert on corportate business, and I’m not sure what goes on with these deals, but I think there should be some VERY harsh pentalties to the CEOs/CFOs/presidents/boards/whatever when government bailouts occur. I think these people should all get fired (naturally) but with no severance packages or benefits. On top of that, they should have their wages for the past 5 years garnished and be prevented from working in leadership positions ever again. They need to be made examples of. There needs to be a climate in this country where a bailout is not seen as favorable so that leaders do everything in their power to keep their companies healthy and have the foresight to make sound decisions.

- Posted by Jason

FED are really stuck, they cannot bail out- which will give a way/opporunity for a another bank to seek help- which I probably think the next bank will be ML, they cannot allow a another bank to collapse for the sake of the investors market confidence, they will not want the tax payer to pay extra tax as they have already sucked more from them. But honestly, I dont see this going anywhere…the market is gonna stay weak untill 2010 and there is a major correction in market to be taken place soon.

- Posted by poo

Who knows but I hope Lehman Brothers survive for the sake of it’s employers

- Posted by Lec Neli

Speculation, speculation and speculation — 3 answers, and which to choose? Who/what wins when the price of a stock, etc., goes up and down? Not me. The brokerages and agents, including my local one. The financial world is run by the CFR, Bilderbergs, IMF, Trilateralists, etc. After relying on 3 local brokers with my small savings, I have learned one simple lesson — they know zilch. They either talk us into something far too speculative or something that follows the tradition company line - buy it and hold it for 10 years. And many of us simpletons got in when it was at a new high or near low and got out at the opposite end. In the long run I would have been better to find something like a CD giving back about 5 percent over that period.

- Posted by jr

The piece from Martha at 12.21 is very informative for this discussion to continue, thanks Martha.

The 158 year old bank, under present chairman and CEO Richard S.Fuld Jr., which was earlier planing to shelve off its priced “Investment Management” division, is now trying to sell the entire company. Will Barclays of UK, and the BOA (Bank of America) bail LB out is the big question. If so these suitors along with many PE (private equity) firms will require an encore from the Fed to reassure,like in the case of Bear Stearn’s to JP Morgan Chase.
The $3.9 billion loss for Q3, does not provide them enough time for the weekend as their plans to split into “good” bank and a “bad”one, which would spin off $30 billion of bad assets into a seperate firm - the “bad” bank to be owned by LB shareholders.LB stock fell another 45 percent after a bank from Korea with major investments, gave the cold shoulder.The question now is would the real estate section of LB to be called Real Estate Investment Global, worth $5-7billion, expected to complete only by next near raise enough funds as part of the “good bank” and the sale of the “money management” section be enough to offset the capital needed to support the “bad bank”.
My fingers are crossed.

- Posted by Raja Bose

[...] markets still try to settle after the U.S. government engineers the world’s largest bailout, Lehman Brothers stands on the brink of another bailout, and the bleeding of petrodollars accelerates, the Republican Party and the [...]

- Posted by Shameful | Brewed Fresh Daily

I am telling you the US is going down, along with europe, this is not even the beginning, investments will be better in Asia and South America, africa still questionable because of bad goverment, anybody on the same page?

- Posted by George

If Lehman were to fail, there would be trillions of CDS contracts involving counterparty risk not to mention the massive amount of pressure it would place on all types of financial assets.

Credit derivatives is the definition of counter party risk!

If Lehman falls, WM, MER AIG WB will follow.

Would that be good a thing?

- Posted by How the Dick Fulds

Federal Reserve Bank is not run by our Federal Government; it is run by “private” bankers? (LOOK who’s below in the list)
The real owners of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Reserve System are:
a) Rothschild Banks of London and Berlin;
b) Lazard Brothers Bank of Paris;
c) Israel Moses Seif Banks of Italy;
d) Warburg Bank of Hamburg and Amsterdam;
e) LEHMAN BROTHERS BANK of New York; (By the way JEB BUSH is also on the board of Lehman Brothers.)
f) Kuhn, Loeb Bank of New York;
g) Chase Manhattan Bank of New York;
h) Goldman Sachs Bank of New York; and
i) Approximately three hundred people, known to each other and/or relations of the “owners,” who hold stock in the Federal Reserve System. They comprise an interlocking, International Banking Cartel of wealth beyond comprehension.

And an interesting quote on the topic -
Thomas Jefferson was concise in his early warning to the American nation, “If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered.”

- Posted by Martha

You’re asking US to tell you what’s going to happen to Lehman Brothers?

I thought YOU were supposed to be telling us what is happening today and where it might lead.

Some news service! Thanks for nothing.

Jim

- Posted by James Dunaway

Wow!!! It’s like an Enron flashback, man!

- Posted by Jim

All of these problems are a result of one man being suckered into a war in the middle east by a guy living in a cave. Osama’s plan is on track like a Swiss watch. Time for us to change horses fast!

- Posted by Cleareye

Yes, because if they do not the economy will suffer for the HUGE loss. We have encountered enough loss as it is today.

- Posted by eric

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