Reuters Blogs

Blogs navigation

Just another Blogs.reuters.com weblog

14:00 November 2nd, 2006

October may bring candy, but little retail cheer

Posted by: Alexandria Sage
Tags: Uncategorized

    October wasn’t the month retail analysts were hoping for, as U.S. stores from Target to Abercrombie & Fitch posted lackluster sales results that spurred some fears of weak holiday trends.
    Overall, 61 percent of U.S. retailers reported sales at stores open at least a year — a key retail metric known as “same store sales” — that were below Wall Street estimates, according to Retail Metrics.
    But rosier results came from certain apparel sellers including teen retailer Aeropostale, department store operators Nordstrom and J.C. Penney and off-price retailer TJX Cos. 
    Analysts, who had thought that cooler October temperatures and lower gas prices would boost October sales, have been eyeing a disappointing 0.5 percent rise in same-store sales at Wal-Mart, a bellwether for the retail sector, to gauge whether it has broader implications of a spending slowdown.
    More bullish retail watchers say that October may have just been the month when consumers pulled back from shopping after a strong September month, and that a robust November and December are still on the horizon.
    Read about overall retail results in October here and see how specialty apparel retailers did here.

      Oct-06   Oct-06
    Analysts’ same-store No. of same-store
Company   estimates* sales(est)# Estimates sales (act)^






Wal-Mart 0.5##
Target 4 to 5 4.3 14 3.9
Costco 4 to 6 4.7 12 4.0
BJ’s Wholesale 0 to 2 1.1 12 -0.7
TJX Cos. 2.5 to 5 3.6 7 5.0
Dollar General 2 to 4 2.9 9 1.9
Family Dollar 0 to 3 2.5 9 1.0
Ross Stores 3 to 4 3.5 5 3.0






Department Stores        






Kohl’s 2 to 12 6.9 16 4.2
JC Penney 2 to 13 6.1 14 8.1
Federated 3.5 to 7 5.8 12 7.7
Nordstrom 2 to 12 6.4 16 10.7
Saks 2 to 7 3.7 10 9.2
Dillard’s 4 to 0 1.9 9 -5.0
Bon-Ton Stores 0 to 2 1.0 2 -9.7






Gap 6 to 0.5 2.3 11 -7.0
Limited 6 to 10 7.6 9 9.0
Abercrombie 1 to 8 2.3 12 -3.0
Hot Topic 7 to -4 5.6 8 -7.2**
Chico’s FAS 2 to 3 0.6 9 -4.1
American Eagle 7 to 13 9.9 13 8.0
Aeropostale 3 to 6 3.8 8 5.6
Pacific Sunwear 9 to -1 5.4 10 -7.1
Ann Taylor 0 to 5.3 2.4 9 -0.5
Gymboree 3 to 10 5.8 5 10.0
Bebe 8 to 20 10.3 6 8.2
Claire’s Stores 0 to 1.8 1.0 4 -1.0
Children’s Place 7 to 9 8.0 4 10.0






Pier 1 Imports 10 to -5 8.2 5 13.7
Sharper Image 17.5 to -16.1 16.8 2 31.0

 
    ##For U.S. stores
    **Reported on Wednesday
 (Table compiled by Kuncheria Cholemkeril in Bangalore) 

Post Your Comment

House Rules:
  • We moderate all comments and will publish everything that advances the post directly or with relevant tangential information
  • We try not to publish comments that we think are offensive or appear to pass you off as another person, and we will be conservative if comments may be considered libelous information.