Breakingviews

Chinese shares still look overvalued

July 6, 2015

Mainland authorities are taking ever-bolder steps to prop up stocks which have dropped almost 30 pct in three weeks. Yet earnings growth is slowing and valuations are still high when compared with other markets. If fundamentals matter, Chinese equities have further to fall.

Hugo Dixon: Greece will struggle to stay in euro

By Hugo Dixon
July 5, 2015

After the people gave an emphatic “No” to the creditors’ proposals, there are still several ways Athens could avoid the drachma. But none seems terribly likely. All routes will lead to further hardship.

Hugo Dixon: How to jump Greece’s next debt hurdle

By Hugo Dixon
July 3, 2015

Even if the Greeks vote “Yes” in Sunday’s referendum, the country will struggle to pay a bond owned by the ECB on July 20. Failing to pay could trigger the bankruptcy of the country’s entire banking system. Financial engineering may provide a solution.

Life after default: Malaysia’s tips for Greece

July 3, 2015

The Asian country shunned an IMF lifejacket in 1998. Greece could soon be in a similar boat. Breakingviews imagines former leader Mahathir Mohamad’s advice to Greek PM Alexis Tsipras: devalue, fix the banks, and boost spending – but don’t bother jailing your finance minister.

Healthcare M&A pumped after Obamacare booster shot

July 2, 2015

The U.S. top court decision upholding medical-coverage subsidies signals the official start of a race to consolidate. Centene and Health Net’s $6.3 bln deal gives the insurers an early lead. Big rivals like Cigna may catch up as the industry accepts that reform is here to stay.

Hugo Dixon: Greeks choose between bad and terrible

By Hugo Dixon
July 2, 2015

Voting “Yes” in Sunday’s referendum would mean Greece suffers at least two years of recession. Voting “No” would bring financial havoc in the short run followed by the return of the drachma, hyperinflation and deep-seated economic depression. The right answer is “Yes”.

Ousted CEO shows risks of SoftBank startup splurge

July 2, 2015

Indian property site Housing.com has fired founder Rahul Yadav six months after the Japanese conglomerate became its largest shareholder. The 26 year-old was a liability and had to go. Still, it’s a reminder of the perils of listed companies making venture capital investments.

ACE aims to defy history with $28 bln Chubb deal

July 1, 2015

The Swiss insurer is buying its upscale U.S. rival. Cost and tax savings don’t cover the premium, implying ACE believes in promised revenue gains, also touted in the Willis-Towers Watson merger this week. The failed 1999 marriage of Provident and Unum, though, provides a warning.

Heathrow offers quaint lessons in infrastructure

July 1, 2015

After at least six years of heated debate, a British government-appointed panel has backed the idea of a third runway for London’s largest airport. China has built 44 new airports in that time. The UK’s deliberative approach has advantages, but now it’s time to start building.

Hugo Dixon: Tsipras looks like he is crumbling

By Hugo Dixon
July 1, 2015

With Athens defaulting to the IMF, public opinion moving against the Greek PM and the banks closed, Tsipras seems desperate for a deal with his creditors. But it is not clear they will cut him any slack. They may prefer to deal with his successor.