Jan 3, 2014 15:33 UTC

The chilling echoes of 1914, a century on

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By Martin Hutchinson

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

A rerun of 1914’s descent into global war is really rather unlikely. But some of the danger of a hundred years ago is present today.

Jan 3, 2014 07:09 UTC

India’s Common Man Party is investors’ frenemy

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The sudden rise of India’s self-professed “anti-establishment” party is making seasoned politicians nervous. Investors, meanwhile, view the dramatic ascent of the Aam Aadmi – Common Man Party – with a mixture of awe and suspicion.

Jan 2, 2014 15:02 UTC

Recovery will only increase inequality

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By Christopher Hughes and Edward Hadas

The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.

A normalising world will not be a harmonious world. The massive fiscal and monetary stimulus that is helping revive GDP growth in developed economies favours the privileged directly, and trickles down only slowly to the middle classes, the poor and the unemployed. That tension will worsen.

Jan 2, 2014 05:45 UTC

Small tech best placed to take on Big Brother

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By Katrina Hamlin

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

Feeling insecure? So are companies everywhere. The lesson of 2013 was that there are grievous flaws in security systems once thought virtually impenetrable. Business needs better protection. The most credible providers may be smaller tech players.

Jan 2, 2014 04:26 UTC
Breakingviews Columnists

Predictions 2014: Reversals and Revivals

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By Breakingviews columnists

The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.

Breakingviews’ annual compendium of financial foresight sets the agenda for the next 12 months. From Wall Street to the Great Wall, who has most potential to surprise, where are markets heading, and which are the companies to watch? Plus, we predict the winner of soccer’s World Cup.

Dec 31, 2013 15:19 UTC
Breakingviews Columnists

Who packs the biggest power to surprise in 2014?

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By Breakingviews columnists

The opinions expressed are the authors’ own.

Difficult jobs abound in the global economy, finance and business in the coming year. But so do incredibly low expectations. That means getting it right could mint legacies, and surprise investors in a good way.

Think of politicians like Brazil’s Dilma Rousseff, who is about to host the world’s biggest sporting event of the year, the soccer World Cup; or John Boehner, the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, an institution with one of the worst public approval ratings in history. Equally, there are a few chief executives who could defy the current consensus, such as the bosses at Deutsche Bank, Barclays or Microsoft. Herewith, Breakingviews columnists compile a list of those who might surprise us.

Dec 31, 2013 12:05 UTC

Markets face a year as tough as 1994

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By Ian Campbell

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

It’s all priced in, the optimists say, referring to the likely tapering of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s money-printing. But tapering is just the beginning of the end of ever looser monetary policy and the long road towards normalisation.

Dec 31, 2013 07:48 UTC

Local audit highlights China’s debt dilemma

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By Peter Thal Larsen 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China is being a bit more precise about its debt problem. A long-awaited audit of local government borrowing shows that provinces, towns and villages collectively owed 17.9 trillion yuan ($2.96 trillion) at the end of June, including contingent liabilities. The state will now have to decide which of those debts it wants to stand behind. Its approach will offer some hints about the importance of leverage for China’s economic growth.

Dec 31, 2013 03:47 UTC

China index: Slowdown looks home-grown

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By Katrina Hamlin

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

China’s economy decelerated further in November, according to Breakingviews’ alternative index. Lower truck sales, steel output and rail freight volumes suggest sluggish demand. House prices and pollution were up, but their contribution is a sign that growth is far from healthy.

Dec 31, 2013 01:53 UTC

Merck woes show animal drugs are no panacea

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By Kevin Allison

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Animal medicine, whether for livestock or pets, is a booming business. Pfizer’s recent spin-off, Zoetis, trades at a fat valuation premium to traditional drug makers. But the recent controversy over Zilmax, Merck’s feed additive, shows that an increasingly complicated global food chain carries its own investment risks.