Feb 11, 2014 02:09 UTC

Japan index: Trade gap, muted wages raise risks

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The Breakingviews Abenomics Index improved for the fourth straight month in December. But it masks two risks. A vanishing current account surplus means relying on foreigners to finance bloated public spending. Besides, struggling wage growth could stall private consumption.

Jan 29, 2014 14:56 UTC

Turkish central bank in “whatever it takes” moment

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By Pierre Briançon

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The Turkish central bank has gone for shock and awe. After a messy week of blunders, it has opted for a massive increase of interest rates that will soothe concerns about the institution’s independence. The country may be mired in a political crisis and ruled by an unpredictable prime minister, but at least it still has a central bank doing what central bankers are supposed to do – mind the currency.

Jan 29, 2014 06:43 UTC

Apple numbers show scale of China challenge

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By Ethan Bilby

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist.  The opinions expressed are his own.

Apple may be a dominant player in flogging smartphones in most of the world, but it’s still an also-ran in China. Disappointing global sales increase the pressure on the iPhone maker to gain ground in the People’s Republic. Though its deal with China Mobile should provide a boost, lower-cost rivals will limit its market share gains.

Jan 28, 2014 05:46 UTC

Exportless recovery adds to emerging market risks

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The devaluation of the Argentine peso has shaken investors. It’s not exactly an emerging market crisis, but cracks are beginning to emerge in the cheery consensus about the global economy’s prospects in 2014.

Jan 27, 2014 07:05 UTC

China falls prey to its own capital magnetism

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Capital is flooding into China, and central bankers are worried. It’s easy to see why: such problems aren’t supposed to happen in countries with strict capital controls. But China’s monetary magnetism is of the authorities’ own making. In trying to slow reckless lending growth, planners have created a huge arbitrage opportunity.

Jan 23, 2014 05:38 UTC

Audit spat pokes hole in China’s financial edifice

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s legal grey areas have been a source of enormous wealth for investors. Now a U.S. judge is threatening to poke a hole in the entire edifice. The Chinese units of the world’s biggest four auditors face a six-month suspension from auditing U.S.-listed companies after the judge decided they wilfully refused to hand over documents on Chinese clients to U.S. regulators. It’s hard to fault his logic, but upholding the rules could bring a huge cost.

Jan 22, 2014 06:31 UTC

China’s capital flight may be banks’ next headache

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By Peter Thal Larsen

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Western banks’ next regulatory headache could be made in China. Most of the recent scrutiny of financial institutions’ business practices has come from the developed world – particularly the United States. But as Chinese citizens become more aware of the offshore wealth held by the country’s elites, banks are increasingly at risk of a regulatory backlash.

Jan 21, 2014 05:45 UTC

China’s growth slower but no more believable

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s GDP growth may be getting more sustainable, but it’s no more believable. The country’s 31 provinces are on course to report aggregate nominal GDP far in excess of the total central figure for 2013 – and not for the first time. Big numbers are getting less reliable, which strengthens the case for new ones.

Jan 20, 2014 05:50 UTC

Quitting China is all about knowing how to go

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By Ethan Bilby

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

An increasing number of foreign businesses are folding their tents in China. Multinationals used to be desperate to get into the People’s Republic. Now, as easy growth vanishes, leaving China is becoming less unusual. While some have kept a foot in the door, others have made a show of slamming it.

COMMENT

China has changed its ways. As the Chinese nation becomes more nationalistic and less business friendly more companies will leave.

Posted by 1Jon | Report as abusive
Jan 16, 2014 06:52 UTC

Hong Kong can’t build away high house prices

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By Peter Thal Larsen

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Hong Kong’s plan to cool an overheated housing market by increasing supply sounds like repeating past mistakes. Even if the territory is able to boost construction as much as it intends, the expansion is modest. Property prices remain at the mercy of external forces.