Oct 29, 2012 03:47 UTC

Hong Kong’s anti-foreigner property tax may spread

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By Peter Thal Larsen

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Hong Kong’s new anti-foreigner property tax may catch on elsewhere. Battling the effects of cheap money and capital flight, the territory’s authorities have slapped a 15 percent stamp duty on buyers without a permanent residents’ card. Though the move will have unintended side effects, its political logic could prove appealing in other urban hotspots.

Oct 26, 2012 15:27 UTC

Review: A practical guide to writing in Chinese

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By Katrina Hamlin

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

Mo Yan may have won the Nobel, but in China celebrity blogger Han Han rules online. More than half a billion readers have visited his irreverent blog. He’s also a hit on Sina Weibo, China’s answer to Twitter, where his first post attracted 750,000 followers.

Oct 26, 2012 04:48 UTC

China insider exposé is explosive and predictable

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Fix one problem, and along comes another. On the day China expelled disgraced politician Bo Xilai from its parliament, a New York Times investigation alleged that Premier Wen Jiabao’s family controls financial assets worth $2.7 billion. The suggestion is explosive, particularly of a leader who has spoken out about inequality. But it is also mundane, and won’t much change the calculus for investors in the People’s Republic.

Oct 23, 2012 14:22 UTC
Edward Hadas

BBC discovers curse of successful institutions

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By Edward Hadas

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The BBC is learning one of the hardest lessons of institutional management. The UK broadcaster has never hesitated to report scandal in other organisations. It has told the world about nursing homes which mistreat residents, the Catholic Church’s problems with sexual abuse and oil producer BP’s apparent inability to put safety far in front of profit. But the Jimmy Savile affair shows that self-correction is easier to preach than to practice.

Oct 22, 2012 10:01 UTC

Japan exporters should fear slowdown, not boycott

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By Wayne Arnold

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Squabbles over remote islands have sparked a Chinese backlash against Japanese brands. But China’s slowing economy is having an even bigger impact on Japan’s exports. And while China has toppled the U.S. as Japan’s biggest market, both nations face a common economic enemy in the form of plunging demand from Europe.

Oct 19, 2012 07:21 UTC

Indonesia’s Bob Marley economy’s gonna be alright

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The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

By Wayne Arnold

It sometimes seems like every little thing is conspiring against Indonesia’s economy: poor infrastructure, political corruption, regulatory caprice and bureaucratic inertia. Falling commodity prices threaten to reverse the spread of wealth to poorer parts of the archipelago. But Indonesia’s very immaturity gives it resilience to muddle through.

Oct 15, 2012 05:24 UTC

Bernanke’s Asian defence is an implausible yarn

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Ben Bernanke made a bold claim on his trip to Asia. In a speech delivered in Tokyo, the U.S. Federal Reserve chief said money-printing by advanced nations is not the “dominant” force behind surging capital flows to emerging economies, and that these countries are net beneficiaries from stronger demand from the West. If he’s right, Asian central bankers who grumble about the Fed’s quantitative easing should send Bernanke something nice this Thanksgiving.

COMMENT

All this talk by the author of raising interest rates as good economic policy for the underdeveloped countries in times of crisis is simply innaccurate and and well behind current economic thinking.

In 1997, at the onset of the Asian Crisis, Mahadir Mohamed — then Prime Minister of Malaysia — completely ignored the IMF’s stern insistence on Malaysia raising its interest rates. Instead, he introduced currency controls to stop the inevitable rapid inflow of harmful hot dollars into his own country. Worked like a treat — Malaysia was the first Asian country country to zoom out of the Asian Crisis on turbo. But the big American funds and banks were furious at their lost opportunity to economically plunder that country.

Since that time, it has to be said, the IMF has indeed commended using currency controls as a brake on rampant hot dollars rushing in to buy and usurp the eminent domain and resources of these underdeveloped countries. This is also standard practice now — more and more developing nations have sensibly started using government currency controls for their own necessary economic protection.

By raising interest rates, the American Fed and the big US banks have the unfair market advantage, but by using currency controls the local government has full control over its own currency’s protection and destiny, which thereby becomes successfully insulated against any dangerous and uncontrollable hot money inflows such as US dollars.

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Oct 10, 2012 04:30 UTC

China’s IMF boycott undermines quest for clout

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

If China wants a bigger say at the IMF, boycotting the fund’s meeting in Japan is the wrong way to get it. The head of the central bank, Zhou Xiaochuan, withdrew on Oct. 10, amid a territorial dispute between the two countries. Yet the IMF is supposed to be about finance, not border politics. If China doesn’t agree, maybe it isn’t ready for a bigger role.

Oct 8, 2012 14:07 UTC

France’s silly stake obsession could kill BAE-EADS

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By Pierre Briançon

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

When EADS and BAE went to the French government with their merger project back in July, they were greeted “as if by a Parisian waiter smoking on the pavement, who makes sure patrons understand they’re not welcomed”, says one investment banker involved in the talks. Not that Paris was opposed to the deal. But it made for an unexpectedly important decision to take at a time when the new socialist government’s energy was focused elsewhere.

COMMENT

There have been few mergers over the years which can truly be considered a success other than in superficial terms. Takeovers can work when commercial or financial discipline needs to be brought to bear on a failing target or when an industry needs to thin down and the best bits can be kept in a business with sufficient scale.

Academic studies and stock market results show mergers generally destroy capital and skills. Failures can be all the more sever when dealing with businesses in highly complex industries where established patterns of working might take years to change or integrate.

So why do these two sets of management want it – the easy life! They are each under financial stress and want to hide from reality.

Why do governments want it? Probably a good helping of naivety and gullibility but in the case of the Germans and French and much of the UK political class, the prospect of creating an uber-business for pan-European defense production makes them salivate. It will help them destroy the ability of the UK to have independent forces and advance their cause of an EU superstate.

This is very worrying indeed for those who favour an independent, democratic Britain.

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Oct 8, 2012 07:28 UTC

How do India’s markets spell relief? Chidambaram

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By Wayne Arnold

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

How do India’s investors spell relief? Palaniappan Chidambaram. Stocks have soared since word broke in June that the urbane lawyer might take a third turn as finance chief. His return in August has proved an antidote to the errors of his predecessor Pranab Mukherjee, and has revived foreign buying. But the rally will only last if the latest reforms boost flagging growth.