Mar 12, 2014 19:07 UTC

Fannie investors may be using magic calculators

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By Daniel Indiviglio and Richard Beales
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Fannie Mae investors may be using magic calculators. With the latest reform blueprint taking shape in the U.S. Senate, hedge funds like Fairholme Capital Management have urged Washington to revitalize Fannie, the mortgage finance giant, which along with Freddie Mac was kept alive with nearly $190 billion of taxpayer cash in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The prospect has pushed up the price of Fannie’s preferred stock more than 10-fold in 18 months. But according to a Breakingviews analysis, even cheerful assumptions suggest Fannie’s business isn’t worth enough for shareholders to get much if anything back.

COMMENT

Fannie and Freddie are terrible deals for the taxpayers …. they should not exist. The banks making the loans are the ones that should be shouldering the risk after all they get the profit ……

Posted by fnpmitchreturns | Report as abusive
Mar 12, 2014 05:31 UTC

Chinese remedy offers little salve for Bill Ackman

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

William Ackman is now tilting at pyramids in China. In the latest phase of the uppity investor’s year-long battle against Herbalife, he argued on Tuesday that the nutritional supplements and diet pill maker violated local laws that ban certain multilevel marketing strategies. The Pershing Square Capital founder raises some good questions. For all the effort, though, it’s hard to see how China will help confirm his ultra-bearish thesis.

Mar 11, 2014 13:26 UTC

Unicorns stampede through tech fantasyland

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By Jeffrey Goldfarb
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

There’s a new stampede in technology’s fantasyland: Unicorns. The single-horned stallion has made the leap from legend to run free through modern-day Silicon Valley, New York, London and the plains of central Israel as a term to describe the most successful startups. In a different and unintended sense, the trope couldn’t be more apt.

Mar 11, 2014 05:52 UTC

Credit chains are China’s weakest link

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s debts are troubling – and not just because they’re alarmingly big. An equally worrying threat to the country’s prosperity is the complexity of those debts. That’s the trouble with China’s lengthening “credit chains”.

Mar 11, 2014 02:14 UTC

Japan index: Weak demand shows need for stimulus

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

The Breakingviews Abenomics Index inched higher in January. But manufacturing stumbled, and the trade deficit zoomed, suggesting anaemic demand both at home and abroad. With wages subdued and sales taxes about to rise, the economy may need a fresh dose of monetary easing.

Mar 10, 2014 19:04 UTC

Rival’s split makes it harder for Dow to resist

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By Kevin Allison
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Andrew Liveris may find it harder to keep Dow Chemical together now that a smaller rival is planning to break up. The Dow boss has resisted activist hedge fund manager Dan Loeb’s campaign to split the $60 billion company into separate petro- and specialty chemicals groups. Competitor FMC’s decision to hive off its agriculture and pharma businesses from stodgier commodity minerals should create a more valuable company. The voluntary split makes it harder for Liveris to argue why he’s resisting activist pressure to do the same.

Mar 7, 2014 19:47 UTC

Wal-Mart puts collar on Cerberus price for Safeway

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By Robert Cyran
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Could Cerberus pay more for Safeway? Based on the 2007 A&P-Pathmark merger, synergies could be worth more than half the $9.4 billion that the private equity firm’s Albertsons supermarket is paying for its U.S. rival. In theory that leaves room for a higher offer. But competition from the likes of Wal-Mart means cost savings may need to go to shoppers, not investors.

Mar 7, 2014 18:57 UTC

When denials can be as instructive as the truth

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By Rob Cox
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Denials can be as instructive as truths – and if not, they can be at least more entertaining. On Thursday a fellow fingered as the father of bitcoin rejected a report he founded the crypto-currency. In the shadowy world of virtual money, such confusion may not be so surprising – nor matter. Not so with the bizarre defiance of $2 trillion “Bond King” Bill Gross.

Mar 7, 2014 05:55 UTC

Japan pension debate goes beyond bonds and stocks

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By Andy Mukherjee

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Japan’s pension reform debate is heating up. But it’s in danger of missing the wood for the trees.

Mar 5, 2014 16:30 UTC

Ken Moelis engineers the deal of his lifetime

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By Antony Currie
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Ken Moelis has engineered the transaction of his lifetime. The veteran investment banker is taking his eponymous seven-year-old advisory firm public. Revenue and net income have grown at a fast enough clip to potentially justify a valuation of $2 billion or more. But investors will be granting the founder an exceptional degree of control for the opportunity to ride his coattails.