Barclays’ new strategy is uneasy mix of past two

March 1, 2016

The UK bank will exit Africa but keep the group’s investment bank intact. CEO Jes Staley’s predecessors Antony Jenkins and Bob Diamond respectively aimed to slash trading and advisory, and invest in it. In assuming the unit is the right size, the risk is weak returns persist.

Cox: Drought, not just of ideas, challenges Africa

By Rob Cox
November 12, 2015

The sub-Saharan region, once a bright spot for global growth, faces a worrying triple whammy. A lack of rainfall threatens agriculture and hydropower. Low commodity prices are taking a bite. Fold in sliding currencies, and inflation threatens stability and economic prospects.

Bud-SAB tie-up hinges on a scramble for Africa

September 24, 2015

Cost-cutting will help brewer AB InBev justify a $110 billion strike at SABMiller. But a convincing top-line growth story is required if existing equity investors are to roll into the new entity. There are several levers. Africa is the most important.

Anyone have change for a quadrillion dollar bill?

June 12, 2015

The African nation is paying one U.S. dollar for every 35,000,000,000,000,000 of its old scrapped scrip. Zimbabwe is a byword for monetary disaster but the outcome is unusual. It shows it takes truly exceptional incompetence to create hyperinflation.

Current account is key Africa factor in 2015

January 2, 2015

Rapid African growth is likely to continue. But too much spending and borrowing has led many countries into trade deficits. As lenders become more discriminating, the state of the balance of payments, along with freedom from Ebola, will become keys to continued growth.

SABMiller’s Coca-Cola push is Africa buy signal

November 27, 2014

The UK brewer and the U.S. drinks giant are merging assets in southern and eastern Africa to create a soft-drinks bottler with $3 bln of sales. SAB gets control and gains market access. The move points to the continent’s strategic potential, and similar consolidation could follow.

Review: Congo’s problems run deeper than oil

November 21, 2014

Virunga Park sits on top of reserves and between hostile states inhabited by warring militias. A new documentary casts UK oil firm Soco as the park’s top threat. Unethical exploiters are just one symptom of a nation whose institutions are too weak to assure economic stability.

Ebola shows dangers, and power, of globalisation

October 10, 2014

The spread of the deadly disease is a symptom of an interconnected yet hugely unequal global economy. At least there is enough solidarity, and enough at stake for the rich world, for belated help to reach the poor countries at the centre of the outbreak.

Ebola sets clock ticking on West African economy

October 1, 2014

Growth may yet survive the deadly epidemic. The last four years’ 28 pct pace isn’t realistic, but controlling the outbreak soon should at least preserve investment. That won’t be easy, given the virus has now spread to the U.S. In saving lives and the economy, every day counts.

Fear is key to Ebola’s economic contagion

August 18, 2014

The virus ravaging parts of Africa has yet to spread elsewhere. Yet Asia’s SARS crisis in 2003 showed how changes to behaviour can hurt growth and productivity more than an actual disease. Ebola seems harder to catch, but more deadly. That could make for a more pronounced effect.