Breakingviews

Deutsche Bank has credible shock absorbers

September 30, 2016

The German lender's shares are falling on fears hedge funds are withdrawing cash. No bank would emerge unscathed if customers really turned tail. But Deutsche's relatively strong funding, and a battery of central bank support facilities, suggest liquidity isn't its main headache.

India’s lenders deserve to be rich global outliers

September 27, 2016

Lenders like HDFC are among the world's priciest, trading on price-to-book ratios up to 7 times higher than Citigroup or BNP Paribas. They are well-capitalised, earn high returns, and are growing fast. The secret is lending to people, not companies. Headwinds look limited too.

Asian cull makes Goldman Sachs look rattled

September 26, 2016

The Wall Street bank is laying off nearly a third of its Asian investment bankers. Lumpy deal flow, fierce competition and low fees are endemic in Asia, but Goldman's pullback suggests the scandal over Malaysia's 1MDB may have also dampened its appetite for risk.

China postal bank aptly fails to push envelope

September 21, 2016

Postal Savings Bank is raising $7.4 bln after pricing shares in its IPO near the bottom of the range. The implied worth of the lender's equity is 0.93 times its forward book value, in line with peers. Higher costs and loan concentration means it is lucky to secure that.

Viewsroom: Wells Fargo stagecoach hits a ditch

September 16, 2016

The bank that steered clear of the financial crisis breaks down after creating 2 mln fake accounts. New evidence undermines Donald Trump's claims few benefit from the U.S. economic recovery. And why Hanjin's corporate capsize may prompt attempts to fix to shipping-industry woes.

Smaller fine might still force Deutsche fire sale

September 16, 2016

The German lender insists it won't pay as much as the $14 bln proposed by the U.S. Justice Department. But even two-thirds of that amount would deplete its reserves, a Breakingviews calculator shows. Deutsche may then need to sell assets to meet rising capital requirements.

Wells Fargo puts size to a fresh regulatory test

September 15, 2016

U.S. authorities aren't finished with the $1.9 trln bank's fake-accounts scandal. Top brass at small lenders have been punished harshly in the past, including industry bans, for misdeeds. If Wells Fargo executives slip away, it'll escalate tension over the accountability divide.

India lays foundation for a fintech revolution

September 14, 2016

A new payments platform, tied to biometric identity data, will hasten the move to a cashless economy. The open system sets India's fintech infrastructure apart from China or the U.S. That's great news for consumers and entrepreneurs, less so for big banks and mobile wallet firms.

Carney guessing game feeds bond market distortion

September 13, 2016

The Bank of England has revealed corporate bonds eligible for its 10 billion pound buying spree. Its requirement that companies make a material contribution to the country still throws up some anomalies. Second-guessing the central bank makes capital markets less efficient.

Postal bank’s $8 bln IPO scrapes through the door

September 13, 2016

Postal Savings Bank of China is roughly worth its trailing book value at the middle of the price range. SOE listings can't pass at a discount. But that's where rivals with higher returns trade. The bank's safer lending profile, and anchor investors, should stop logic taking hold.