Breakingviews

Spanish politicians leave demographic bomb ticking

May 31, 2016

While economic activity has picked up, the Spanish population is ageing faster than the EU average. Consensus and long-term planning are needed to tackle the burden this will place on the welfare system and growth prospects. The current polarisation in politics stands in the way.

Greek deal is rational, predictable, messy

May 25, 2016

Both the IMF and Europe have compromised in Greece’s new debt plan. Athens’ fiscal targets are looser, but less so than the IMF wanted. Its debt costs will fall, but the relief is vague. There’s a hoary cliche about kicking the can down the road. This doesn’t even go that far.

The Exchange podcast: ‘Europe is a cesspool of deflationary forces’

By Rob Cox
May 4, 2016

Yanis Varoufakis joins Rob Cox, global editor of Breakingviews, to talk about his new book, “And the Weak Suffer What They Must?”, the state of the EU, and the implications of a potential Brexit and Trump presidency.

The Exchange: ‘Europe is a cesspool of deflationary forces’

By Rob Cox
April 28, 2016

Yanis Varoufakis joins Rob Cox, global editor of Breakingviews, to talk about his new book, "And the Weak Suffer What They Must?", the state of the EU, and the implications of a potential Brexit and Trump presidency.

Dixon: Greece’s problems could become Britain’s

April 4, 2016

If the IMF and the EU can’t quickly resolve their conflict over Greece’s bailout, graphically highlighted by a WikiLeaks transcript, Athens could run out of cash in July. The sense of crisis would mount in the preceding weeks, just as the UK votes on whether to stay in the EU.

Dixon: Turkey deal offers a lot – if it sticks

March 8, 2016

An offer to reduce disorderly migration would cut the risk of Britain leaving the EU and Greece quitting the euro. It would also shore up German Chancellor Merkel’s position, helping stabilise the EU and the Schengen Area. What it won’t do is stop anti-migrant populism in Europe.

Dixon: How to rehabilitate capitalism

February 1, 2016

The classic leftist response to capitalism’s unfairness - tax and spend - has failed. A better bet is to fight unfairness caused by corruption, vested interests and tax cheating, while investing in education. India and Italy show some of the right ideas.

Dixon: EU’s latest challenge – rule of law

January 18, 2016

The Polish and Greek governments may be flouting the rule of law. This doesn’t just undermine democracy: it is bad for investment. Brussels is in a quandary. It doesn’t want to pick quarrels. But if it turns a blind eye, bad behaviour could spread.

New Greek opposition leader may cause instability

January 11, 2016

The election of Mitsotakis, a liberal reformer, as leader of the centre-right New Democracy party means PM Tsipras now faces a credible opponent. While this is in Greece’s long-term interests, it raises the risk of short-term clashes between Athens and its euro zone creditors.

Dixon: EU could fall apart without flexibility

December 21, 2015

Brussels’ knee-jerk reaction to crises is to ask for more power. Its latest series of problems has fuelled right-wing populism, which feeds off the idea that the EU already has too much influence. Unless the bloc adopts more decentralised solutions, it could unravel.