Centre-left may have UK election edge

January 5, 2015

Britain’s three main parties are weak. Its two nationalist groups are stronger. The economy might help the in-power Tories – or give voters confidence to swing left. If they also want public spending, a new Breakingviews calculator suggests a Labour-led coalition could win sway.

Predictions 2015: Oil prices will stay below $100, and much more

January 5, 2015

Breakingviews’ annual compendium of financial and economic predictions for the year ahead is out. From the UK election to IBM via the global economy and geopolitics, our columnists offer insightful, entertaining, provocative and – we hope – profitable ideas for the year ahead.

German soccer glory was predictable – with luck

July 13, 2014

Brazil’s World Cup was first-rate entertainment, thanks to many surprising results. In finance, as in sport, forecasting is a dangerous game. But it is where the greatest value lies. The key is to draw conclusions from pertinent facts. Luck helps, too.