Dixon: EU-Turkey deal is historic, if it sticks

By Hugo Dixon
November 30, 2015

The EU has dangled the prospect that Turkey can join the bloc, offered to liberalise visas and promised the government a chunk of cash in return for Ankara agreeing to stem the flow of migrants to Europe. The snag is that not all of the pact looks deliverable.

German open-door isolationism is unsustainable

November 26, 2015

Angela Merkel has ignored domestic calls to shut out refugees. But she will find it harder to brush off French calls for the same. Alienating a key ally would undermine the union Merkel wants to save, and threaten economic integration.

Dixon: Syrian peace process offers hope post-Paris

By Hugo Dixon
November 16, 2015

After the attacks, outside powers called for a ceasefire followed by a political transition. A big obstacle is that Russia and America don’t agree on what should happen to Assad. But it’s the best chance to end the war, crush Islamic State and solve the refugee crisis.

Edward Hadas: Migration unpicks globalisation myth

By Edward Hadas
September 23, 2015

Some economists see the unexpected inflow into Europe as an easy win, adding to GDP and countering ageing. But those changes hardly matter. More important is that migration challenges the idea of a global economy. Political borders still set the economic agenda.

Breakdown: Migrant crisis reshapes Europe politics

September 8, 2015

The number of people flooding into the continent is only a small part of the story. More worrying: old political anxieties are being rekindled. While migration won’t immediately affect economic issues like Greece’s bailout or the euro, it could jeopardise European cohesion.

Migration crisis echoes age-old test of finance

September 1, 2015

The flow of desperate people to Europe has a financial-world parallel. For companies, high returns attract new entrants who threaten incumbents’ comfortable state. The options for EU leaders are similar too: shut out competition, or find new, better ways to create profit.

Even a weaker Islamic State will drag on economy

By Edward Hadas
December 23, 2014

Cheap oil may now be the biggest worry for Middle Eastern economies, but the struggle against the radical group also has the potential to undermine growth. Even if IS has peaked, its ideology remains a problem, especially for Iraq and Turkey. Iran could end up gaining ground.

Can non-violent struggle bring down Syria’s Assad?

By Hugo Dixon
August 1, 2011

The best way to fight in Syria is not to fight dictators with their own weapons -– matching violence with violence in a struggle they are likely to lose – but to use non-violent tactics.

Lucrative Sino-Gulf ties will survive Syria clash

March 6, 2012

China and Gulf Arab countries have different views on whether Assad should be forced out. But they also have $90 bln in trade. It’s in neither’s interest that this is disrupted. If the Syrian conflict escalates, Beijing may need to further soften its position.

Syrian crackdown stamps on economic dream

April 11, 2011

Bashar al-Assad's regime had an ambitious plan to quadruple foreign investment and boost tourism in order to drive growth in a poor country with dwindling oil. But the violent suppression of protestors will scare off both investors and tourists.