Breakingviews

Deutsche Bank has credible shock absorbers

September 30, 2016

The German lender's shares are falling on fears hedge funds are withdrawing cash. No bank would emerge unscathed if customers really turned tail. But Deutsche's relatively strong funding, and a battery of central bank support facilities, suggest liquidity isn't its main headache.

Guest view: A new blueprint for corporate tax

September 30, 2016

Europe's complaint against Ireland and Apple reflects a problem bigger than any one company or country. The global approach to tax is past its sell-by date. A system based on revenue location, and that treats multinationals as single entities, could share the pie more fairly.

CBS-Viacom tie-up may please only the Redstones

September 29, 2016

The controlling family wants to reunite the two media firms. Les Moonves at the stronger CBS would do non-Redstone shareholders a disservice if he paid a full premium, but Viacom's owners might want one. Any middle ground is narrow at best – and a governance minefield.

Past mortgage fines give Deutsche room for hope

September 28, 2016

Settlements by other banks imply the German lender owes up to $5.5 bln for mis-selling mortgage-backed securities. That's much less than the $14 bln the U.S. government wants. But a previous Deutsche fine was much bigger than rivals'. Calculating penalties is an inexact science.

Deutsche Bank has airbags – but only one matters

September 27, 2016

The German lender’s market value has shrunk below 14.5 bln euros on fears of big fines. Yet markets seem calm about knock-on effects. It’s less that post-crisis bank rules are fit for purpose, and more that Chancellor Merkel would have to be brave or foolish to let Deutsche fail.

Asian cull makes Goldman Sachs look rattled

September 26, 2016

The Wall Street bank is laying off nearly a third of its Asian investment bankers. Lumpy deal flow, fierce competition and low fees are endemic in Asia, but Goldman's pullback suggests the scandal over Malaysia's 1MDB may have also dampened its appetite for risk.

Hadas: Central banks play with monetary absurdity

September 23, 2016

Monetary authorities have taken recourse in increasingly empty promises. The Bank of Japan's Haruhiko Kuroda has taken this verbal drama to a new and ultimately dangerous level. Central banks could rely on deeds, not words, if their tools and targets were more realistic.

Fed “forward guidance” blows too much smoke

September 22, 2016

The U.S. central bank again declined to raise rates, leaving what hedgie Dan Loeb called the crack cocaine of loose monetary policy in place. The Fed counts talking to the market as one of its tools. But its story has changed so much that it might do better being less chatty.

Tech giants don’t grow on European soil

September 16, 2016

The region hasn't produced its own answers to tech disruptors like Facebook and Alibaba. That leaves the EU open to accusations of sour grapes when foreign companies like Apple are targeted for unpaid taxes. Regulation and fragmented markets explain Europe's failure to launch.

Smaller fine might still force Deutsche fire sale

September 16, 2016

The German lender insists it won't pay as much as the $14 bln proposed by the U.S. Justice Department. But even two-thirds of that amount would deplete its reserves, a Breakingviews calculator shows. Deutsche may then need to sell assets to meet rising capital requirements.