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Oct 25, 2013

Euro zone entry may lift Latvia inflation: central bank chief

LONDON (Reuters) – Euro zone entry in January will likely lift Latvia’s flagging inflation rate by 0.2-0.3 percentage points next year, its central bank governor said on Friday.

The Baltic country has been recording strong economic growth and has relatively low debt levels after a deep recession during the global credit crisis, when it slashed spending to keep its currency pegged to the euro.

Oct 7, 2013

World must ready defences over US debt crisis, says South Africa

LONDON (Reuters) – The global community should fear the worst over the U.S. debt crisis and shore up its economic defences accordingly, South Africa’s finance minister said on Monday.

Financial markets are getting nervous that the budget deadlock in Congress may not be resolved before Oct 17, the deadline to raise U.S. borrowing limits. That could lead to an unprecedented technical default by the world’s largest economy.

Oct 4, 2013

With plenty of money and time, family offices eye risky markets

LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) – With deep pockets and long time
horizons, and perhaps even a desire to do good, some of the
world’s wealthiest families are investing in risky African and
other frontier markets.

Family offices, which manage assets on behalf of wealthy
families in more developed markets, are generally tight-lipped
and seen as conservative in their approach to investing.

Sep 26, 2013
via Global Investing

Vietnam stocks streak ahead in Asia

It’s been a good year for frontier markets, though some have done better than others. One success story has been Vietnam.

Hanoi’s domestic VNI equity index  is up 17 percent.  That compares well with stock markets in other Asian frontiers – Sri Lanka has gained only 3 percent,  Bangladesh is down 1 percent on the year and  Mongolia has plunged more than 20 percent, hurt by a restrictive foreign investment law.

Sep 25, 2013

S&P, Fitch see downward risks for Ukraine’s single-B rating

LONDON (Reuters) – Standard & Poor’s and Fitch expressed concern on Wednesday about Ukraine’s falling foreign exchange reserves and its ability to refinance its debt, saying they were negatives for the country’s single-B rating.

Ukraine’s dollar debt and debt insurance costs have moved rapidly into distressed territory this week, after Moody’s downgraded the country to Caa1 from B3 late on Friday and put the rating on review for a further downgrade. Moody’s cited concerns over a drop in foreign currency reserves and potentially worsening relations with Russia.

Sep 19, 2013

Lira, rupee lead emerging market rally as Fed grants reprieve

LONDON (Reuters) – Turkey’s lira and India’s rupee rose 2 percent on Thursday and their stock markets surged as the Federal Reserve’s surprise decision to sustain its monetary stimulus granted a lifeline to embattled emerging markets.

The BRICS – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – and other emerging countries have complained in the past few months that the threat of the Fed running down the amount of new cash it is pumping into the economy each month is hurting their economies.

Sep 11, 2013

Chilean peso may fall further after Fed tapering-minister

Sept 11 (Reuters) – The Chilean peso’s 6 percent fall this
year is a healthy correction from its strong path in 2012 and it
may weaken further once the U.S. Fed cuts back monetary
stimulus, Chile’s finance minister said on Wednesday.

Many emerging economies have been concerned about a sharp
fall in their currencies in the past few months, on expectations
the U.S. Federal Reserve will scale back a bond-buying programme
which has driven demand for riskier assets.

Sep 9, 2013

Frontier borrowers re-enter debt markets to beat Fed

LONDON, Sept 9 (Reuters) – The world’s less developed states
are reappearing in international debt markets, putting up with
slightly higher borrowing costs in a race to beat a growing
aversion to risk that could shut them out for some time.

The uptick in yields may, however, make local corporate
borrowers reluctant to tap the markets, even where their
governments have set a benchmark with a sovereign deal.

Sep 6, 2013

Stocks eye positive week before payrolls, Poland shaky

LONDON, Sept 6 (Reuters) – Emerging stocks rose on Friday,
heading for weekly gains of 2 percent as markets adjusted to the
idea of a withdrawal of U.S. monetary stimulus, though Polish
stocks were on track for steep losses on concern over a pensions
overhaul.

A reduction in the Federal Reserve’s money-printing
programme is regarded as negative for flows to riskier assets.
But emerging markets have largely priced in the start of
tapering after the Fed’s mid-September meeting, analysts say.

Sep 3, 2013

Nigeria central bank to buck pressure to devalue naira

LAGOS/LONDON, Sept 3 (Reuters) – Nigeria’s central bank will
resist pressure to devalue the naira since it retains
ample funds to defend the currency, a central bank spokesman
said, and its governor is expected to stay the course until his
term is up in 10 months.

Nigeria’s naira has fallen in recent months, trading outside
the central bank’s target band of 150-160 naira to the U.S.
dollar since June, initially due to foreign investors booking
profits on their naira assets, and on importers buying dollars.

    • About Carolyn

      "I work in London as part of the Reuters investment strategy editorial team, specialising in emerging and frontier markets. I cover emerging bond, stock and FX markets as well as global market themes, and interview emerging market policy-makers when they attend events in London. I started at Reuters in 1993, writing about foreign exchange, government bonds and Eurobonds before switching to emerging markets."
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