Pricey exploration means dear oil is here to stay
By Christopher Swann and Kevin Allison
The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.
Gas guzzlers may wait in vain for a return to cheap oil. Big producing nations like Saudi Arabia, which handed out cash to restive citizens during last year’s Arab Spring, need higher oil prices to balance their books. Meanwhile, a three-fold increase in the costs associated with extracting crude over the past decade has made expensive oil more a necessity than a luxury for energy firms, according to a Morningstar study. Put the two trends together and it looks like dear oil is here to stay.
Obama doesn’t even name banker to run World Bank
By Christopher Swann
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Barack Obama’s pick to head the World Bank comes out of the blue – or, rather, Dartmouth green. Bypassing the usual array of bankers and ambassadors, the president has opted for Jim Yong Kim, a disease-fighting medic who heads the Ivy League college. Kim’s Korean birth and physician’s pedigree may mollify critics of America’s monopoly on the top job. But without the customary grounding in diplomacy or finance, he’s got his work cut out for him.
Declining U.S. coal still has bright spots
By Christopher Swann
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
U.S. coal has crossed an ominous milestone, with its share of power generation falling below 40 percent for the first time since 1978, the Energy Information Administration reported last week. Cheap gas and tougher pollution rules should extend the trend. But investors can still make winning bets if they plan for the industry’s decline.
Icahn targets given red alert by Dynegy debacle
By Christopher Swann
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Carl Icahn’s reputation already precedes him when he turns up to agitate. Now a court-appointed official has shredded a retooling at Dynegy, where the uppity investor meddled and installed directors. Companies on the receiving end of his tactics, like CVR Energy, have all the more reason to spurn Icahn.
Once a $13 billion powerhouse, Dynegy’s equity is now worth a mere $70 million. The 76-year-old raider-cum-activist has played a significant role in the latest step of the downfall, ever since he helped block a $600 million leveraged buyout by Blackstone at the end of 2010. With a stake of nearly 15 percent, he is the largest shareholder – and responsible for two of Dynegy’s six directors.
U.S. natural gas looks irresistibly cheap vs oil
By Christopher Swann
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
America’s natural gas is looking irresistibly cheap. With crude prices rising and gas sliding further, oil is now about eight times dearer than gas based on energy content, according to consultancy Navigant – the biggest gap since Harry Truman was in the White House in the 1950s. Global shifts dictate the price of the black stuff, but local market forces should work on U.S. gas.
In fact they already are, even in gasoline-loyal Detroit. General Motors, for instance, said on Monday that it will start selling dual gasoline and compressed natural gas-powered pickup trucks later this year. In power generation, too, gas has been making most rival fuels – including nuclear, renewables and even coal – look pricey. A glut following several years of aggressive shale drilling has pushed the U.S. gas price down by 37 percent over the past year to its lowest level in decades.
Globalization stops short at the corporate suite
By Christopher Swann and Agnes T. Crane The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own. The global war for talent is a popular justification for exorbitant chief executive pay. But with few exceptions, expatriate chiefs are a tiny minority at most major publicly traded corporations. It’s bad news for shareholders, especially in high-pay hubs, who could find better-value stewards overseas.
Multinationals are constantly in search of cheaper workers. The one exception appears to be the most expensive staff of all, in the boardroom. Particularly in the United States and Britain, boards have shown little desire to get the maximum bang for their buck by insisting companies cast wider recruitment nets. Anglo-American companies continue to tolerate steep rises in pay at the top that far exceed returns.
Investors ill-served by crude accounting standards
By Christopher Swann and Kevin Allison
The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.
Investors are poorly served by crude accounting standards – crude oil, that is. Divining the energy resources that explorers uncover matters to shareholders. Yet they must choose between two equally unreliable figures. Estimates based on Securities and Exchange Commission rules gyrate wildly with energy prices, while company data are too opaque. Exxon Mobil, for example, claims to have discovered more oil than it has pumped for each of the past 18 years – a rosier picture than shown by the official figures. Oil punters deserve better.
UPS could be bidding against itself for TNT
By Christopher Swann and Quentin Webb
The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.
TNT shareholders are waiting for a much bigger buyout package. There’s good reason for the Dutch parcel service to expect UPS, its American suitor, to sweeten its bid of 4.9 billion euros, or $6.3 billion, given the huge synergies that would probably result from the union. But with rivals FedEx and DHL inhibited in varying ways, TNT investors may not get the bidding war they’d like.
UPS hasn’t unwrapped the expected cost savings from acquiring TNT. Stripping out expenses would be relatively easy, though, given UPS’ formidable presence in Europe. And the opening offer suggests it would retain a large slug of these benefits for itself.
IMF strategically withdraws from Greek campaign
By Christopher Swann and Neil Unmack
The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The opinions expressed are their own.
The International Monetary Fund played a big part in the first bailout of Athens but will have just a minor role in the second. The fund is providing only 13 billion euros more, barely enough to service existing loans. With the EU taking greater responsibility for the Greek mess, the IMF may find it easier to build a broader euro-zone firewall.
Pennsylvania sells out cheaply in fracking fight
By Christopher Swann
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Pennsylvania is selling out cheaply in the fight against fracking. The Keystone State, the nucleus of national opposition to the deep-drilling technique, is poised to levy a gas tax, ostensibly to cover drilling damages. The charge may soften the hostility. But the levy is less than half that of other states, suggesting the industry still has the upper hand.











