Christopher Whalen

Are the low US home mortgage rates for real?

October 11, 2011

We hear on almost a weekly basis that mortgage interest rates in the US are at all-time lows. The annual percentage rates in mortgage advertisements seem near an historic nadir. The Fed has even begun to purchase long-dated mortgage backed securities (MBS) in an effort to push rates even lower and, hopefully, spur more refinancing activity.

Geithner and the delicacy of Euro-Dollar diplomacy

September 16, 2011

The departure of US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to Europe to rescue our allies from themselves marks a change in the economic relations among the NATO countries that bears scrutiny. In the past, the loosely-connected federation we call the European Union has managed to muddle along. But now we see overt funding subsidies for the EU via the Fed and the active involvement of Geithner in what ought to be a purely domestic fiscal discussion.

Can Barack Obama channel Teddy Roosevelt?

September 9, 2011

My copy of the new book “Feynman”, written by Jim Ottaviani and illustrated by Leland Myrick, arrived last week and does not disappoint. I discussed it earlier on Reuters.com, “Steady state or dream state?” On the second page of this comic narrative led by one of the most remarkable personalities of the 20th century, Feynman asks:

Barack Obama and the cost of doing nothing

August 23, 2011

The German philosopher and political theorist Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel (1770-1831) said that “All that is real is reasonable, and all that is reasonable is real.” Frederick Engels, the collaborator and supporter of Karl Marx, took this to imply that “the value of a social or political phenomenon is its transitoriness,” as Austin Lewis wrote in the introduction to “Feuerbach: the Roots of Socialist Philosophy” (1919) by Engels.

Housing, debt ceilings & zombie banks

August 17, 2011

In a Washington Post report this week, the Obama Administration was said to have decided to adopt a proposal to continue a major government presence in financing mortgages.  The Treasury subsequently denied this report in a statement posted by Deputy Secretary Neal S. Wolin:

Uncertainty and indecision threaten Bank America and global markets

August 9, 2011

For the past several years, my firm has been arguing that restructuring is the only way to solve the problems facing the largest US banks — the top four institutions that exercise a de facto cartel over the US housing market. After years of earning what seemed to be supra normal returns from the “gain on sale” world of US mortgage originations, the large service banks are now drowning in the same sea of risk that once made them seem so profitable.

Paul Krugman and the neo-Keynesian myth of full employment

July 5, 2011

In the most recent issue of Housing Wire Magazine, economist Paul Krugman suggests more government spending as the means of dealing with the economic slump and the housing crisis.

As Obama and Congress fiddle, America liquidates housing sector

March 29, 2011

Republicans in the House of Representatives are busily assembling several legislative proposals to reform the housing sector and reduce government support for the secondary market in home loans used by banks to manage their liquidity.