News reports suggest that New York prosecutors are preparing fraud charges against a number of large investment banks for defrauding insurance companies with respect to mortgage loans. These allegations and many civil claims with precisely similar predicates illustrate one of the most important aspects of the subprime financial crisis, namely the construction and collapse of the non-bank financial sector.
The opinions expressed are the author’s own.
For the past several years, governments around the world have been trying to avoid dealing with excessive debt, shrinking revenue and economic activity. The main approach has been for governments to lend their credit rating and cash to help banks and public sector entities paper over the problem, in the hope that a rising tide of economic activity will lift all boats.
Americans are discovering the concept of foreclosure and the loss of a home in a very real and disturbing way. Despite the rhetoric from Washington and sensationalist media, the process of resolving defaulted mortgages is moving ahead, one reason why the U.S. will not be Japan. But we have all forgotten the experiences of the 1930s when it comes to home foreclosure.
There are growing signs of unease bordering on desperation inside the Obama White House. Most of the O Team now understands that the real, private economy never got out of Dip Number One. The prospect of a permanent downward shift in “trend growth” to a lower track, and continued double digit unemployment, are driving a search for alternative measures that has even touched conservatives in the worlds of finance and economics.