Reuters Blogs

Commentaries

Now raising intellectual capital

08:44 June 10th, 2009

Oil off the charts, Treasury yields less of a conundrum

Posted by: Agnes Crane
Tags: Commentaries, , ,

Oil making a 7-month high overnight is getting markets into a twitter.  The a drop in crude stocks is the driver, adding fuel to hopes that an economic recovery is on the horizon.  A weakening U.S. dollar also doesn’t hurt. Blogger Macroman, however, makes an interesting point: the demand for crude doesn’t seem to be driven by China - the usual culprit behind sharp rises in commodities.

While crude hogs most of the headlines in the commodity space, on the basis of this study at least China’s behaviour has had relatively little impact on price. Unlike the other commodities, import volumes have yet to reach last year’s highs, and they have only now reached the trend of the salad days.

Full post here.

The move will certainly bolster bond bears’ argument that there’s only one direction for Treasury yields and that’s up. The sale of more debt should add to the momentum. Treasury sells $19 billion 10-year notes later today and $11 billion 30-year notes on Thursday. And stocks, well after the overnight gains elsewhere, US stock futures are pointing to gains of about 1%.

Post Your Comment

*
To prove you're a person (not a spam script), type the security word shown in the picture. Click on the picture to hear an audio file of the word.
Click to hear an audio file of the anti-spam word

House Rules:
  • We moderate all comments and will publish everything that advances the post directly or with relevant tangential information
  • We try not to publish comments that we think are offensive or appear to pass you off as another person, and we will be conservative if comments may be considered libelous information.