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17:11 July 9th, 2009

Not all stimulus dollars are born equal

Posted by: Christopher Swann
Tags: Commentaries

CORRECTED- COLUMN-Not all stimulus dollars are born equal:Christopher Swann (Corrects paragraph 6 to make clear study was carried out by University of Massachusetts Amherst, not Amherst College)
– Christopher Swann is a Reuters columnist. The views expressed are his own –

NEW YORK, July 9 (Reuters) - Of all the elements of Obama’s economic stimulus program, none is more redolent of the 1930s than the massive investments in roads and bridges. The plan harkens back to a “get American working” mentality — evoking pictures of happy workers sweating in the summer sun.
The question is, which summer will that be? Much of the money may be spent in 2011 or after. Indeed, estimates by the Congressional Budget Office suggest that three-quarters of the funds destined for highway construction will be spent between 2012 and 2019. Whether on broadband or energy efficiency, much of the infrastructure spending has to wait until after 2013.
The mounting calls for a second stimulus suggest that many Americans are already losing patience with the first. This puts the White House in a tricky situation. There may be little it can do to speed up the rate of spending without seriously compromising the quality of projects, risking charges of waste. Also the size of the budget deficit makes another round of tax cuts hard to justify.
While the Federal government is running out of options, Americans can at least look to the states to spend infrastructure dollars faster and more effectively. A new study by Smart Growth America, a coalition of groups that advocate policies that avoid urban sprawl, suggests that part of the problem may be poor decision-making by the states.
For not all stimulus dollars are created equal.
Road repair has two advantages over road building. First it is faster-acting because it involves considerably less red tape. It also has the advantage that it creates 16 percent more jobs than road building, according to a 2009 study by University of Massachusetts Amherst. Investments in public transport are even better at creating jobs, 31 percent more than road building.
From this perspective, the spending pledged by the states has been far from optimal. The states were given a pot of $26.6 billion to spend as they chose on any transport project. A disturbingly high proportion — about a third — is already going to building new roads, the least efficient form of transport stimulus. Some states, like Arkansas, Kansas and Kentucky, are devoting more than 85 percent of their discretionary funds to road building.
This is especially hard to understand since they do not appear to have had the resources to maintain their existing roads. In Arkansas, for example, 62 percent of roads are in “bad condition”, according to the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. Rough roads add $335 a year on average to the cost of owning a car in America, owing to more damaged tires, suspension and lower fuel efficiency.
More disappointing is the amount spent on public transit, the most effective job creator. Of the discretionary pot, just 0.9 percent has been allocated here. True, states have a separate $8.4 billion that they are forced to spend on public transport. Even so it would have been sensible to allocate more of their flexible funds to this area.
Not only would this be better short-term stimulus, it promises long term economic advantages as well. In a study in San Antonio each one percent of regional travel shifted from automobile to public transit increased regional income by about $2.9 billion, resulting in 226 additional regional jobs. The use of public transportation has increased by 38 percent since 1995 — nearly triple the rate of population growth.
Politicians have always enjoyed cutting ribbons on new infrastructure projects. But the case for new road building is very weak. States still have time to change course. Before we start thinking about a second stimulus plan, we need to start spending the money from the first one more wisely.
(Editing by Martin Langfield)

3 comments so far

In regard to the stimulus investment, my understanding is as follows:

1. The current surging fuel cost (World oil prices doubled during the last 6 months) is overwhelming the market rally.
And the pending clean energy bill might serve as a second stimulus package world-wide boosting private investments.

2. People are so worried about losing their job, coverage, denial of treatment, which seems to increase bank deposit latetly. That means stimulus funding mainly goes toward bank deposit for a rainy day increasing jobless rate. It proves again that a healthy society yields better productivity, prosperity.
It is time to ‘Change’ the notion of the public health as a fundamental human right and install ‘a safety system for all’ like all of the other industrialized nations, I think.

3. The stimulus funding begins to mobilize just 11%, meanwhile, the auto industry has moved to its restructuring with the massive job-related impact.

4. The pandemic swine flu has been hurting the global economy seriously.

- Posted by hsr0601

Obama’s “stimulus” is a train-wreck- these jobs figures are far worse than the ones the White House warned us about if we DIDN’T pass the bill- so it was passed, and then unemployment soars anyway? He said it would top-out at 8%, we give him a trillion dollars, and he and Joey Pluggs now tell us they “underestimated” as it pushes 10%?
-oh please

Instead of creating jobs, interest rates were bumped up, the dollar slid… and it didn’t help anybody get any work. Much of this is due to the fact that Obama’s agenda has mortified almost every machine of job-and-growth creation in the country.

The One couldn’t deliver the type of “temporary, targeted, and timely” bill that he promised repeatedly, and regardless of his image in the press, Obama simply lacks the the political stature to control Pelosi and Reid… who hit the trough hard, while bickering like siblings.

And the lack of GOP co-conspirators exposed Obama politically… this legislation now looks to be a HUGE gamble. And when all this pork-n-welfare fails to generate any real economic gains, the Democrats will face a bloodbath in 2010.

- Posted by Reaganite Republican

It seems to me that the Pope’s encyclical may be especially timely given the state of our economy as you’ve described. Businesses with an ethical foundation have traditionally fared better in the long term.

As Professor Cornel West put it, “The market is no longer a model, at all. So where do we go? Transitional moment. This is a moment of the interregnum. We are looking for new ways.” (quoted from http://www.newsy.com/videos/the_ethics_o f_economic_survival)

In other words, what we’ve been doing hasn’t been working, and we’re realizing that fact. Are we going to change our ways and try something new? I think in a society like ours that’s becoming increasingly peer-to-peer, ethics will become ever more important, whether or not we get more stimulus dollars.

- Posted by Daniel

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