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15:27 September 22nd, 2009

Time to junk AIG

Posted by: Matthew Goldstein
Tags: Commentaries, , , , , , , , , ,

The federal government’s $180 billion effort to prop up American International Group has worked, averting an even bigger financial catastrophe. Now it’s time for the Obama administration to oversee the dismantling of the failed insurance giant with all due speed.

A report this week from the Government Accountability Office makes clear that AIG would crumble and likely reignite financial fears around the world without the government’s massive support.

And the report says it’s “unclear” whether AIG will ever pay back the $121 billion in government assistance that’s still coursing through its balance sheet.

The GAO report should provide the administration will all the ammunition it needs to get tough with AIG. The report’s conclusions should stiffen the spine of regulators in their dealings with Robert Benmosche, AIG’s new $9 million chief executive.

The former MetLife chief executive seems to act as if he has taken over a financial company that’s simply made one or two bad decisions — not one that nearly brought the global economy to its knees.

Benmosche’s plan to take his sweet time in selling off AIG’s assets might make sense if the insurer could someday stand on its own without the government’s help.

But the GAO report raises serious doubt about whether AIG will ever be self-sufficient again, noting that “the company continues to rely heavily on the federal government as its source of liquidity and capital.”

Worse, Benmosche is taking counsel from Hank Greenberg, AIG’s former longtime CEO, whose only concern is protecting his still significant equity stake in the de facto taxpayer-owned insurer.

Now Greenberg is trying to get Representative Edolphus Towns to take up his cause of restructuring AIG’s bailout package to make it easier for the insurer to live on.

But Towns, the chairman of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, who once sat on the board of subprime mortgage lender MortgageIT, should not be taking Greenberg’s calls either.

It’s odd that the Brooklyn Democrat is taking a tough stance with Bank of America over its questionable acquisition of Merrill Lynch, but is fielding ideas from the man who oversaw AIG’s transformation into a financial behemoth.

The time for kowtowing to Greenberg must end. All this is doing is giving false hope to those investors who’ve been snapping up AIG’s shares on the belief the insurer can turn itself around. AIG can’t and it won’t.

With the worst of the financial crisis now past, it’s time to break up AIG and move on. AIG rightfully deserves to join Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers on the ash heap of history.

A dissolution of AIG would serve as an important reminder to Wall Street and giant banks around the world, that there’s a price to be paid for becoming too big to fail — and then failing.

23 comments so far

There was a faint probability for AIG to get out of trouble post the $180 billion effort from the Fed. However consecutive losses quarter after quarter is too much for any firm to take. And with the magnitude of losses AIG has consistently displayed in its filings, one could only guess how much more is left to see. AIG is probably fading until and unless the federal government really resuscitates it back to life… and I mean literally!!
The amount of leverage that AIG had exposed itself to, has finally taken its toll, but what makes bigger larger banks like JPM still tick! JPM is going relatively strong, trading at $45 and gradually improving. It’s probably safe to say that JPM is probably in a bigger mess than AIG. I found a few things about JPM which I wasn’t sure I should know. Throwing a blind eye to it, would be like being a hypocrite…
In a bid to bolster non-interest revenues (trading revenues) JPM assumed leverage far in excess of its optimum capacity. Its oversized derivative exposure (notional value) has exploded to almost $80 trillion – a staggering 5-6 times the size of the US GDP. What’s more, the market exposure it had so far has been hedged among the coterie of large banks, exchanging the market risk for counterparty risk! The slightest disturbance could cause a financial storm within these banks. This could affect the financial system as well, keeping in mind that the total volume of derivative exposures in terms of notional value exceeds $200 trillion in the US.
There’s more in this report. Here’s the link:
http://boombustblog.com/index.php?option =com_docman&task=doc_download&gid=238

- Posted by Anthony Harrison

AIG’s speculating shareholders are like the people who jump on the city bus after it’s been in an accident hoping to sue the city and profit from the taxpayers. They have nothing coming.

- Posted by Jeff

“What’s astounding is that Goldman has managed to get AIG to entirely subsidize its occupancy at 180 Maiden Lane since June 2008. At a current tab of around $44 per foot, about $3 million in taxpayer dollars is being shuttled from AIG to Moinian every month.”

(New York Post Aritcle)

Sorry I misspoke about that being their HQ. I bet I am spot on about the G$ thing though too and that further bets (CDO’s and CDS) are going to blow up in the next 18 months and it may be worse than the last financial nuke. The G$ shorting their own AAA products via AIG CDS’s WREAKS OF FRAUD. Anyone who cannot smell that gigantic maggot infested 500 lb tuna sitting in the room doesn’t have a nose. Wall Street has become, again, a gigantc pozi scheme with a casino built smack dab on top of it, all of which was probably built on an ancient Indian burial ground. You’ll see. You who read this were warned. I’m not a financial expert, but I know people. I correctly predicted this fiasco when Glass-Steagal was repealed.

- Posted by J

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