In a phone conversation yesterday, John Williams at Shadow Government Statistics warned me not to read too much good news from the better-than-expected jobs figure. The government's seasonal adjustments aren't, well, adjusting properly. They're still keying off "typical" fluctuations in employment. But of course today's economic climate is anything but typical. Yesterday the official unemployment rate ticked down a tenth of a percent to 9.4%, but according to Williams it should have ticked up a tenth of a percent to 9.6%.