Top of the charts
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The onslaught of year-end lists is upon us, and in the econoblogosphere that means, among other things, charts. Lots of charts.
The Atlantic’s Matthew O’Brien rounds up the most important economic stories of 2013 from 44 journalists, economists, and policy experts. Business Insider’s Matthew Boesler has 100-plus charts from investors and Wall Street analysts. The Counterparties team sorted through O’Brien and Boesler’s lists, as well as our own catalogue of charts, to semi-arbitrarily bring you the 8 best charts (of the best charts) of the year:
1. Wages detaching from productivity
This chart from the Economic Policy Institute (cropped from the original for space reasons) shows how wages haven’t kept up with productivity increases since the 1970s. Today, the president of the EPI tweeted that this would be the chart on his tombstone.
2. The long-term unemployment crisis
The BLS charts the rise in long-term unemployment, which has surged since the financial crisis. As a result, AEI’s Michael Strain writes that millions of workers are “suffering financially, emotionally, spiritually… Society is also suffering: A large pool of willing and able workers are idle; our already segmented society is even more segmented; our country is less dynamic, vibrant, and thriving”.
3. The 30-year decline of middle class jobs
Here’s Cardiff Garcia: this “graph shows is that middle class employment is much smaller as a share of the employed labor force than it was three decades ago”. Occupations are ordered from the lowest to highest paid, left to right.
4. America’s shrinking workforce
This shows the labor force participation rates for men (green), women (orange) and the overall rate (blue). From 1948 (when we started collecting data) to roughly 2000 the trend was mostly the same: women were joining the labor force in pretty consistent numbers, driving the overall workforce up, even as men dropped out. Then, in 2000, something happened. Suddenly, the female and overall rates flatline and head downward after the recession. And it doesn’t look like it’s going to get better anytime soon, either.
5. 2013 was a great year for stocks
Surging stock markets in the developed world were a huge story this year. This chart from Deutsche Bank, via Tracy Alloway, shows just how well you would have picked, relative to other asset classes, if you picked developed economy stocks 12 months ago.
6. The government-dominated bond market
Felix spotted this chart via JP Morgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou: “central-bank buying accounts for $1.6 trillion — more than half — of the total demand for bonds in 2013”.
7. Where did the inflation go?
This chart, in Mike Konczal’s words, shows “the collapse in inflation after the overhaul of policy introduced by the Federal Reserve in late 2012 to hit its inflation target”. US inflation is historically low, and below the Fed’s 2% target — which is a major factor why Fed policymakers are still committed to keeping the central bank’s short-term interest rates near zero.
8. The rise of web headlines featuring the phrase “in one chart” In One Chart:
Honorable mention (due to its being resurfaced from 2010): Measuring how much Edmonton loves hockey, flush by flush.
Unfortunately disqualified due to its 2010 publication date, this chart shows Edmonton’s municipal water consumption, which is overwhelmingly driven by the number of toilet flushes, the day before and the day of the Olympic gold medal hockey game.
— Shane Ferro and Ben Walsh
On to today’s links: