America’s job market: still not good enough

March 11, 2014

On Tuesday morning, the most recent Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTs) data showed that the rate of hiring, turnover, and the number of open jobs was basically flat.

A little explanation: The hiring rate is the number of peopled hired as a percent of total employment. The JOLTs report also tracks the quits rate, which is the number of people who have voluntarily quit as a percent of total employment. Taken together, the quit rate and the hire rate represent a good proxy for the level of choice workers, particularly the already employed, have in the job market.

This chart shows that the level of choice in the job market within the workforce plummeted during the Great Recession. It has gradually improved over the last four years, but is still at right around 2008 levels. And this is likely still not fully representative of the job market: because it tracks quits, and there is a bias to hire the already employed, this chart more accurately reflects job choice among the employed than the unemployed.

Job growth is showing much the same pattern. Looking at the data since late 2011, the NYT’s Neil Irwin concluded that the “jobs recovery in the United States is astonishingly consistent, astonishingly resilient, and astonishingly underwhelming”, holding steady at an annual rate of just over 2 million:




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