Opinion

David Cay Johnston

Where’s the fraud, Mr. President?

David Cay Johnston
Dec 13, 2011 10:07 EST

By David Cay Johnston

The views expressed are his own.

A new report from London and President Barack Obama’s statements to “60 Minutes” show financial crimes spreading like wildfire and governments failing to stop them.

Tax evasion equals 18 percent of global tax collections, a new report by British accountant Richard Murphy shows. His report for the Tax Justice Network cleverly lined up a World Bank Report on the size of shadow economies with a Heritage Foundation report on average tax burdens by country to reach that figure.

Murphy’s $3 trillion estimate, 5 percent of the global economy, shows how a combination of weak rules on accounting and disclosure combined with inadequate budgets to enforce tax laws impose a terrible cost on honest taxpayers and the beneficiaries of government service.

While the United States has one of the most effective tax regimes, especially for on-the-books wage earners and pensioners, and one of the smallest underground or shadow economies, it has the largest amount of tax evasion measured in dollars.

Murphy’s report covers 145 countries that generated $61.7 trillion of gross product, 98.2 percent of the world total. The 145 countries had only 61.7 percent of world population, a reminder of how poor the more than 2.7 billion people in the other 90 countries are.

Murphy estimates U.S. tax evasion at $337.3 billion, 10.7 percent of the global figure and close enough to the official Internal Revenue Service tax gap estimates to be credible.

The United States has lower tax rates than eight of the nine other top 10 tax evasion countries. Rampant evasion in America raises doubts about the notion that high tax rates fuel evasion.

WHY NO PROSECUTIONS?

Another sort of financial crime was discussed when Steve Kroft, interviewing Obama for CBS’s “60 Minutes,” cited a poll showing that 42 percent of Americans believe Obama’s policies favor Wall Street. Kroft said he suspects that is because “there’s not been any prosecutions, criminal prosecutions, of people on Wall Street.”

Obama deftly avoided the issue. “Some of the most damaging behavior on Wall Street, in some cases, some of the least ethical behavior on Wall Street, wasn’t illegal. That’s exactly why we had to change the laws.”

Shame on Kroft for not following up with the obvious question: “Where are the prosecutions of those who did commit crimes, Mr. President?”

There is no need for new laws to rein in fraud, the evidence of which is pervasive, reported in detail by our savviest journalists, thoroughly documented in academic reports and in all manner of official government reviews.

Obama then ever so subtly shifted gears, telling Kroft “and that’s why we put in place the toughest financial reform package since FDR and the Great Depression. And that law is not yet fully implemented…”

Obama’s words neatly conflated two separate issues.

One is atrocious business judgment that should have wiped out the wealth of those who invested in the speculative derivatives casinos. That might have restored Wall Street as a home to investment houses that marshaled capital for productive investments.

The other issue is fraud.

Juries often fail to grasp arcane regulations. A crime so complex that it takes a prosecutor a day for her opening argument invites reasonable doubt. But fraud is something juries do get. Show a jury falsified records and bald-faced lies in disclosure documents, then toss in testimony from insiders who pointed out the wrongdoing only to be told to shut up — or who got fired — and convictions follow.

A GROWTH INDUSTRY

We know this because during the savings and loan crisis two decades ago juries convicted in more than three thousand cases, including more than a thousand major felony cases committed by senior insiders.

The man most responsible for those convictions was Bill Black, a federal banking regulatory lawyer at the time who now teaches about white-collar crime as a professor at the University of Missouri-Kansas City law school.

So has Obama or his Justice Department sought Black’s advice? “No,” Black told me.

Instead Obama leans on Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, who was worse than a sightless sheriff when he presided over the Federal Reserve in New York. Geithner not only failed to stop the looting, he actually shut down investigators who were onto the frauds because he said he worried that the institutions he was supposed to regulate were too fragile to withstand scrutiny.

The worst part of this is that the statements of the leading Republicans seeking to succeed Obama, a Democrat, make clear they have no interest in putting Wall Street criminals behind bars either.

Financial theft is a growth industry because of government failures that I would attribute to excessive reliance on the financier class for advice, campaign donations and absurdly well paid jobs for officials between their government jobs.

Will the next journalist who interviews President Obama please press the issue: where are the banking fraud prosecutions, Mr. President? And don’t let up until the president picks up the phone and tells Attorney General Eric Holder he wants a 1,000 or more major felony indictments in the next nine months.

COMMENT

The fraud has been perpetrated by our illustrious congress. It’s an outrage that the Congress has permitted this to happen. They need to be thrown out and the voters need to pay at least some attention to what they’ve been doing all these years….that is except for feathering their own nests.

Posted by palmer1619 | Report as abusive

Closing Wall Street’s casino

David Cay Johnston
Nov 18, 2011 15:26 EST

The author is a Reuters columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

A superb example of a sound rule in law and economics that needs reviving, because it can halt the rampant speculation in derivatives, is the ancient legal principle that gambling debts are not enforceable through court action.

Not so long ago — before casinos, currency and commodities speculation, and credit default swaps became big business — U.S. courts would not enforce gambling debts.

Restoring this principle offers a simple way to shrink the rampant speculation in derivatives that was central to the 2008 meltdown on Wall Street.

Professor Lynn Stout, a deeply principled Republican capitalist who teaches corporate law at the University of California, Los Angeles, raised this issue at a conference where we both spoke about the 2008 Wall Street meltdown.

“Derivatives are gambling,” she said, referring to credit default swaps, at the University of Missouri-Kansas City law school conference on the financial crisis. “They are a zero-sum game in which one side loses the bet and one side wins,” Stout said.

Actually they are worse than that, since the hefty fees Wall Street pockets for arranging the bets result in a less-than-zero-sum game.

As Wall Street fights meaningful financial regulations, and draft regulations remind us how complex and unfathomable regulations can be, this is a good time to remember the basic principles that served society so well until Chicago School theorists, and casino corporations, together with commodities and currency traders convinced us we were too modern to need them.

UNENFORCEABLE GAMBLING DEBTS

Stout recounted the history of unenforceable gambling debts back to the Romans. She cited an 1884 Supreme Court case on what were then called “difference contracts” to show that derivatives have a long history of being treated by the law as unproductive at best and often damaging to society, just as we saw in 2008.

“I have not found a successful economy that did not have legal restrictions on bets,” she said.

She said that in addition to being nonproductive, such bets add risk to the system, invite bad conduct because bets can be rigged and foster asset bubbles, which are inevitably followed by crashes like the one from which we still have yet to recover.

As the author of a book on the gambling industry’s rise, “Temples of Chance,” and as a lecturer at Syracuse University on the regulatory law of the ancient world, I recognized Stout’s points were spot on. But her warnings are being drowned out by radical anti-regulatory rhetoric, the army of Capitol Hill lobbyists working for derivatives sellers and the politicians to whom they donate.

Stout noted that speculators these days like to call themselves by other names — for instance, hedge fund managers. But hedging suggests engagement in a business such as oil or grain and buying or selling contracts backed by assets you have or will use.

PURE SPECULATION

Most of the bets on Wall Street were pure speculation. Against $15 trillion of mortgage bonds, Stout said, Wall Street marketed credit default swaps in 2008 with a notional value of $67 trillion. Worldwide, traded swaps at their peak equaled $670 trillion or $100,000 for each person on the planet, vastly more than all the wealth in the world. Those numbers make it a mathematical certainty that the swaps were mostly speculation, not hedging.

Stout likened some derivatives to a market in fire insurance in which you buy coverage not for your own home, but for those of strangers. Such insurance would create an incentive to commit arson for profit. Yet we allow speculative derivatives that melted the housing market.

Stout’s approach would not stop derivatives that are backed by hard assets, such as a mortgage whose interest rate is derived from an index like the London Interbank Offered Rate or Libor and thus varies over time.

But credit default swaps that are just bets on which one party wins and which one loses would vanish if we restored the ancient, time-tested and therefore profoundly conservative rule that government will not enforce the collection of gambling debts.

Making gambling debts unenforceable produced its own problems. For one, it created work for people like the late Harry Coloduros, who sat in my kitchen 25 years ago, bouncing my little Molly on his knee as I made coffee, and told me about gamblers he beat up to make them pay up.

I cannot imagine Goldman Sachs hiring the likes of Harry to collect on bets when the losing party fails to pay up. So, unless taxpayers cover the bets, as they were forced to at 100 cents on the dollar in the AIG wagers, Goldman would likely get out of speculative bets and stick to actual hedging.

And that shows the immense value of restoring the sound policy of making losing bettors suffer their losses without any help from government.

COMMENT

@AdamSmith

“We need a fighter”. How about Elizabeth Warren in the future?

Posted by KyuuAL | Report as abusive

Meltdown redux

David Cay Johnston
Nov 15, 2011 10:30 EST

The author is a Reuters columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. –  The U.S. politician-businessman that Congress put in charge of determining the reasons for the 2008 financial crisis has a sobering message for us: “It’s going to happen again.”

Phil Angelides, the real estate developer and former California state treasurer who chaired the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, said on Friday that “all across the marketplace the warning signs were there” of a coming disaster but the mechanisms and political will to stop it were not.

He and I both spoke at a University of Missouri-Kansas City Law School symposium on the financial crisis and the commission set up to examine it.

Angelides warned of a recurring economic nightmare unless Congress and the next president start paying attention to the facts and stop listening to the people who caused, profited from or failed to detect the crisis.

While Wall Street and laissez faire Republicans have attacked the commission’s final report — all 22 footnoted chapters of it — Angelides boasted that not one fact had been proven wrong.

Statements from the leading Republican presidential candidates, as well as the tepid actions of President Barack Obama, show an active interest not in fixing the problems, but rather in enabling Wall Street to go on doing business pretty much as it chooses.

SQUELCHED OR IGNORED

For months now, a canard has gained popular currency through mere repetition: no one could have seen the meltdown coming.

The commission’s report shows that a number of people did see what was coming but they were squelched or ignored. Clear back in 1998, four months before the Long-Term Capital Management collapse, Brooksley Born, then chairwoman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, wrote a paper predicting that disaster would flow from the unregulated sale of derivatives. Congress responded by making sure derivatives were not regulated.

Then there were the internal reports at failed mortgage banker Countrywide Financial, which warned there was little-to-no hope that many borrowers would ever repay. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae tried to resist these shaky mortgages, but they had to keep taking them after Countrywide founder Angelo Mozilo applied political pressure.

In early 2004, after detecting a mortgage bubble in the data, I wrote two pieces for the New York Times warning of the problems. If a mere journalist who was not even reporting on real estate could discern the problem, what excuse was there for those whose job it was to monitor the situation?

Wendy Edelberg, who was the commission’s executive director, said on Friday that “while you can never predict all panics, the flip side is this crisis was caused by human actions and was avoidable.”

She showed with hard numbers that, contrary to the nonsense being peddled by Wall Street and the politicians it finances, the meltdown was a Wall Street creation.

Edelberg presented charts showing that loan delinquencies “were lower by an order of magnitude” for government-sponsored Fannie and Freddie than for Wall Street’s mortgage-backed securities. Delinquencies at one point were 15 percent for Fannie and Freddie versus 40 percent for Wall Street.

Edelberg also outlined who bought the obviously bad loans. No one did.

She compared the bad loans to soup with so much fat no one wants it, so it is put in the refrigerator. Once the mixture chills the fat rises to the top and is skimmed off.

EXCESS FAT

By 2006 more than 80 percent of the sure-to-fail loans were inside collateralized debt obligations that were being repackaged and resold like so much excess fat. “No one was actually buying the risk,” she said. “It was just being recycled.”

This is exactly what Washington politicians in both political parties, with their eye on donations from Wall Street, do not want to hear.

One of the best proofs of official lack of interest in learning the facts is the size of the commission budget Congress authorized: $9.8 million.

That is a tiny fraction of the $175 million spent investigating the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster in 1986, and that was in 1980s dollars. It is less than a quarter of what Kenneth Starr spent investigating President Bill Clinton‘s dalliance with an intern.

And then there is the official hostility to the commission. When the report was issued in January, Representative Darrell Issa, a California Republican and one of the richest self-made men in Congress, mounted an investigation.

Angelides characterized the move as a search for just one email showing the inquiry was motivated by ideology rather than truth-seeking. Issa came up dry, but his message was loud and clear: don’t mess with Wall Street.

What the commission’s report has shown is that leaving Wall Street alone will ensure a future of continuing panics, to the detriment of everyone who is not part of Wall Street.

COMMENT

This article is well written but leaves out the fact that Dr Ron Paul saw this coming and warned congress about it and even introduced legislation that would’ve prevented the crisis but was ignored by congress. It also fails to mention the Community Reinvestment Act and the pressure put on banks by the Clinton administration to ease their mortgage loan restrictions and loan money to more and more people who were marginally able to pay the loans back. Fannie and Freddie then stepped in to buy up the sub-prime loans which gave the banks more money to loan in the same manner and we are now living in the result of that policy.

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