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	<title>David Gaffen</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen</link>
	<description>David Gaffen's Profile</description>
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		<title>Bristol-Myers shares jump ahead of melanoma trial data</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/us-bristol-shares-idUSBRE94E14820130515?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/05/15/bristol-myers-shares-jump-ahead-of-melanoma-trial-data/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 19:31:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=156</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CHICAGO/NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; Shares of drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) rose to a ten-year high on Wednesday ahead of results of an early stage trial for its new melanoma treatment, with heavy betting in the options market suggesting investors see more gains in the stock. Bristol-Myers rose 4.5 percent [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CHICAGO/NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; Shares of drugmaker Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY.N: <a href="/stocks/quote?symbol=BMY.N">Quote</a>, <a href="/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=BMY.N">Profile</a>, <a href="/stocks/researchReports?symbol=BMY.N">Research</a>, <a href="http://reuters.socialpicks.com/stock/r/BMY">Stock Buzz</a>) rose to a ten-year high on Wednesday ahead of results of an early stage trial for its new melanoma treatment, with heavy betting in the options market suggesting investors see more gains in the stock.</p>
<p>Bristol-Myers rose 4.5 percent to $44.15 on its busiest day of trading since August, ahead of the release of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) 2013 Annual Meeting abstracts Wednesday night. At one point the stock hit $45.59.</p>
<p>Hopes were high for the melanoma treatment, which combines the company&#8217;s Yervoy drug and an experimental treatment known as Nivolumab, part of a closely watched class of new therapies that harness the immune system to fight cancer known as PD-1 blockers.</p>
<p>More than 29 million shares of the stock changed hands on Wednesday and the options market was active, with overall volume more than nine times the daily average, according to options analytics firm Trade Alert.</p>
<p>The ASCO abstracts will be released from embargo at 6 p.m. EDT (2200 GMT)</p>
<p>Traders appear to be snapping up calls, establishing near-term bullish positions on the stock to position for further gains in the share price, according to Interactive Brokers Group options analyst Caitlin Duffy.</p>
<p>Most of the action is focused on front month May and June calls with intraday volume call volume exceeding open interest across several strike prices, Duffy said. Overall option volume on BMY is 9.5 times the daily average with 69,000 calls and 46,000 puts traded late on Wednesday, according to Trade Alert.</p>
<p>Call options give the buyer the right to purchase a stock at a given price by a certain date and are often used to express a bullish outlook. The May $45 strike calls were particularly active, with many bought for an average premium of 54 cents each, making them profitable if the stock settles above $45.54 by expiration at the end of this week.</p>
<p>The ASCO annual meeting begins on May 31 in Chicago.</p>
<p>(Reporting By Doris Frankel and Julie Steenhuysen in Chicago; Editing by Nick Zieminski)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Years of weak growth sow doubt in rescue plans</title>
		<link>http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/04/22/g20-policy-idINDEE93K08C20130422?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11709</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/22/years-of-weak-growth-sow-doubt-in-rescue-plans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2013 06:25:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=154</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WASHINGTON (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting growth are increasingly limited. They face a sobering checklist: The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain of household [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WASHINGTON (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting growth are increasingly limited.</p>
<p>They face a sobering checklist:</p>
<p>The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain of household debt and continues to whipsaw between periods of modest growth and next to none at all.</p>
<p>The euro zone is mired in recession, lurching from crisis to crisis and now dealing with the latest trouble spot in Cyprus.</p>
<p>And even such star performers as China and Brazil have run low on gas. China in 2012 posted its weakest year of growth since 1999. Brazil&#8217;s economy slowed to a near standstill; at the same time, it faces a growing threat from inflation.</p>
<p>Against this backdrop, the exasperation of finance ministers and central bankers attending last week&#8217;s Group of 20 and International Monetary Fund meetings was palpable. The official communiques and sideline discussions reflected their frustration over the failure so far to deliver an effective mix of policies to finally get an upper hand on a long-lasting crisis that shows little sign of ending.</p>
<p>&#8220;We cannot unmistakably declare that the worst is behind us,&#8221; Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega said on Friday. &#8220;There is a risk of a prolonged crisis, despite all our efforts in the G20 and other international forums.&#8221;</p>
<p>Central banks across the developed world have held interest rates at rock-bottom levels since 2008 while pumping more than $6 trillion into their banking systems through loans and asset-purchase operations known as quantitative easing, or &#8220;QE.&#8221; The European Central Bank has helped lower borrowing costs for the governments of Spain and Italy. Ireland, Portugal and Greece have been bailed out.</p>
<p>And yet a return to normalcy appears a distant dream.</p>
<p>The IMF last week ratcheted back its projections for world economic growth in 2013. Rich nations face a third consecutive year of growth below 2 percent, with U.S. GDP seen growing just 1.9 percent.</p>
<p>The IMF projects Japan&#8217;s economy will be so weak consumers will bid prices just 0.1 percent higher this year, while China is seen accelerating only marginally to an 8 percent rate. Weakened demand has fueled a plunge in commodities including copper, which will hurt the economies of Latin America.</p>
<p>At the meetings of top finance officials in Washington, frustrations were especially evident regarding the euro zone, which is beset by a debt crisis. The IMF expects the euro zone economy to contract for a second consecutive year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Unless Europe gets its act together and unless the green shoots that we see in the U.S. actually flower and become solid plants, and unless Japan does the near impossible task of reflating its economy and having inflation of 2 percent &#8211; how is it that developing and emerging market economies can achieve high growth?&#8221; Indian Finance Minister P. Chidambaram said at an event on the sidelines of the meetings.</p>
<p>WARILY WELCOMING JAPAN&#8217;S STIMULUS</p>
<p>The desire for a stronger path of growth helps explain why officials, even those in emerging markets, have had a sanguine response to Japan&#8217;s new plans to stimulate its economy with $1.4 trillion in bond-buying by the country&#8217;s central bank.</p>
<p>Mantega pointed out that unemployment remains high in large advanced economies and that more fiscal stimulus may be needed, an elixir that has been resisted in some quarters, particularly in the euro zone. He also noted that emerging markets are &#8220;inevitably affected&#8221; by tepid demand in the United States, Japan and elsewhere, as they have been unable to sustain the kind of growth rates seen in years past.</p>
<p>Still, it was clear officials worried advanced countries were becoming overly dependant on ultra-easy monetary policies that have become less effective over time. Years of low interest rates could even plant the seeds for the next crisis.</p>
<p>&#8220;Even though some advanced economies did several rounds of QEs, nothing changed,&#8221; a South Korean G20 official told Reuters.</p>
<p>Part of the climate of frustration in global policymaking circles results from the fact the that the global economy is more interconnected in terms of finance and trade than it was a few decades ago, making it more difficult to adopt policies that help one country without hurting others.</p>
<p>Before the 2007-2009 financial crisis, a handful of advanced nations dominated international economic policymaking. Now the G20, which includes rich and poor countries as well as the European Union, is the principal venue for steering the global economy.</p>
<p>Poor nations worry that rich nations&#8217; monetary stimulus will destabilize their economies by flooding them with capital, fueling inflation or asset bubbles. Money printing by the United States, Europe and Japan also subtracts value from the currencies of the rich world, helping its exporters at the expense of factories in countries like Brazil.</p>
<p>This breeds tension in a large forum like the G20, where a variety of contrasting voices compete to shape consensus.</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re not going to have a perfectly optimal set of policies for everyone in the world,&#8221; said Tharman Shanmugaratnam, chairman of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, which advises the IMF on the global monetary and financial system.</p>
<p>Tharman said the trick was to find a mix of policies that would help economies grow without risking future bubbles. &#8220;We need a new framework,&#8221; he said. (Additional reporting By Paul Eckert; Editing by Theodore d&#8217;Afflisio)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Analysis: Years of weak growth sow doubt in economic rescue plans</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/21/us-g20-policy-idUSBRE93K09N20130421?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/21/analysis-years-of-weak-growth-sow-doubt-in-economic-rescue-plans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Apr 2013 17:20:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=152</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WASHINGTON (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting growth are increasingly limited. They face a sobering checklist: The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain of household [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WASHINGTON (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting growth are increasingly limited.</p>
<p>They face a sobering checklist:</p>
<p>The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain of household debt and continues to whipsaw between periods of modest growth and next to none at all.</p>
<p>The euro zone is mired in recession, lurching from crisis to crisis and now dealing with the latest trouble spot in Cyprus.</p>
<p>And even such star performers as China and Brazil have run low on gas. China in 2012 posted its weakest year of growth since 1999. Brazil&#8217;s economy slowed to a near standstill; at the same time, it faces a growing threat from inflation.</p>
<p>Against this backdrop, the exasperation of finance ministers and central bankers attending last week&#8217;s Group of 20 and International Monetary Fund meetings was palpable. The official communiques and sideline discussions reflected their frustration over the failure so far to deliver an effective mix of policies to finally get an upper hand on a long-lasting crisis that shows little sign of ending.</p>
<p>&#8220;We cannot unmistakably declare that the worst is behind us,&#8221; Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega said on Friday. &#8220;There is a risk of a prolonged crisis, despite all our efforts in the G20 and other international forums.&#8221;</p>
<p>Central banks across the developed world have held interest rates at rock-bottom levels since 2008 while pumping more than $6 trillion into their banking systems through loans and asset-purchase operations known as quantitative easing, or &#8220;QE.&#8221; The European Central Bank has helped lower borrowing costs for the governments of Spain and Italy. Ireland, Portugal and Greece have been bailed out.</p>
<p>And yet a return to normalcy appears a distant dream.</p>
<p>The IMF last week ratcheted back its projections for world economic growth in 2013. Rich nations face a third consecutive year of growth below 2 percent, with U.S. GDP seen growing just 1.9 percent.</p>
<p>The IMF projects Japan&#8217;s economy will be so weak consumers will bid prices just 0.1 percent higher this year, while China is seen accelerating only marginally to an 8 percent rate. Weakened demand has fueled a plunge in commodities including copper, which will hurt the economies of Latin America.</p>
<p>At the meetings of top finance officials in Washington, frustrations were especially evident regarding the euro zone, which is beset by a debt crisis. The IMF expects the euro zone economy to contract for a second consecutive year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Unless Europe gets its act together and unless the green shoots that we see in the U.S. actually flower and become solid plants, and unless Japan does the near impossible task of reflating its economy and having inflation of 2 percent &#8211; how is it that developing and emerging market economies can achieve high growth?&#8221; Indian Finance Minister P. Chidambaram said at an event on the sidelines of the meetings.</p>
<p>WARILY WELCOMING JAPAN&#8217;S STIMULUS</p>
<p>The desire for a stronger path of growth helps explain why officials, even those in emerging markets, have had a sanguine response to Japan&#8217;s new plans to stimulate its economy with $1.4 trillion in bond-buying by the country&#8217;s central bank.</p>
<p>Mantega pointed out that unemployment remains high in large advanced economies and that more fiscal stimulus may be needed, an elixir that has been resisted in some quarters, particularly in the euro zone. He also noted that emerging markets are &#8220;inevitably affected&#8221; by tepid demand in the United States, Japan and elsewhere, as they have been unable to sustain the kind of growth rates seen in years past.</p>
<p>Still, it was clear officials worried advanced countries were becoming overly dependent on ultra-easy monetary policies that have become less effective over time. Years of low interest rates could even plant the seeds for the next crisis.</p>
<p>&#8220;Even though some advanced economies did several rounds of QEs, nothing changed,&#8221; a South Korean G20 official told Reuters.</p>
<p>Part of the climate of frustration in global policymaking circles results from the fact the that the global economy is more interconnected in terms of finance and trade than it was a few decades ago, making it more difficult to adopt policies that help one country without hurting others.</p>
<p>Before the 2007-2009 financial crisis, a handful of advanced nations dominated international economic policymaking. Now the G20, which includes rich and poor countries as well as the European Union, is the principal venue for steering the global economy.</p>
<p>Poor nations worry that rich nations&#8217; monetary stimulus will destabilize their economies by flooding them with capital, fueling inflation or asset bubbles. Money printing by the United States, Europe and Japan also subtracts value from the currencies of the rich world, helping its exporters at the expense of factories in countries like Brazil.</p>
<p>This breeds tension in a large forum like the G20, where a variety of contrasting voices compete to shape consensus.</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re not going to have a perfectly optimal set of policies for everyone in the world,&#8221; said Tharman Shanmugaratnam, chairman of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, which advises the IMF on the global monetary and financial system.</p>
<p>Tharman said the trick was to find a mix of policies that would help economies grow without risking future bubbles. &#8220;We need a new framework,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>(Additional reporting By Paul Eckert; Editing by Theodore d&#8217;Afflisio)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Years of weak growth sow doubt in economic rescue plans</title>
		<link>http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/04/21/g20-policy-idUKL2N0D70IQ20130421?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11708</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/21/years-of-weak-growth-sow-doubt-in-economic-rescue-plans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Apr 2013 17:15:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=150</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WASHINGTON, April 21 (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting growth are increasingly limited. They face a sobering checklist: The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WASHINGTON, April 21 (Reuters) &#8211; More than three years after<br />
the end of the global recession, sluggish activity across rich<br />
and poor economies is confounding policymakers who expected more<br />
by now and raising concerns that options for kick-starting<br />
growth are increasingly limited.</p>
<p>They face a sobering checklist:</p>
<p>The U.S. economy remains shackled by a mountain of household<br />
debt and continues to whipsaw between periods of modest growth<br />
and next to none at all.</p>
<p>The euro zone is mired in recession, lurching from crisis to<br />
crisis and now dealing with the latest trouble spot in Cyprus.</p>
<p>And even such star performers as China and Brazil have run<br />
low on gas. China in 2012 posted its weakest year of growth<br />
since 1999. Brazil&#8217;s economy slowed to a near standstill; at the<br />
same time, it faces a growing threat from inflation.</p>
<p>Against this backdrop, the exasperation of finance ministers<br />
and central bankers attending last week&#8217;s Group of 20 and<br />
International Monetary Fund meetings was palpable. The official<br />
communiques and sideline discussions reflected their frustration<br />
over the failure so far to deliver an effective mix of policies<br />
to finally get an upper hand on a long-lasting crisis that shows<br />
little sign of ending.</p>
<p>&#8220;We cannot unmistakably declare that the worst is behind<br />
us,&#8221; Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega said on Friday.<br />
&#8220;There is a risk of a prolonged crisis, despite all our efforts<br />
in the G20 and other international forums.&#8221;</p>
<p>Central banks across the developed world have held interest<br />
rates at rock-bottom levels since 2008 while pumping more than<br />
$6 trillion into their banking systems through loans and<br />
asset-purchase operations known as quantitative easing, or &#8220;QE.&#8221;<br />
The European Central Bank has helped lower borrowing costs for<br />
the governments of Spain and Italy. Ireland, Portugal and Greece<br />
have been bailed out.</p>
<p>And yet a return to normalcy appears a distant dream.</p>
<p>The IMF last week ratcheted back its projections for world<br />
economic growth in 2013. Rich nations face a third consecutive<br />
year of growth below 2 percent, with U.S. GDP seen growing just<br />
1.9 percent.</p>
<p>The IMF projects Japan&#8217;s economy will be so weak consumers<br />
will bid prices just 0.1 percent higher this year, while China<br />
is seen accelerating only marginally to an 8 percent rate.<br />
Weakened demand has fueled a plunge in commodities including<br />
copper, which will hurt the economies of Latin America.</p>
<p>At the meetings of top finance officials in Washington,<br />
frustrations were especially evident regarding the euro zone,<br />
which is beset by a debt crisis. The IMF expects the euro zone<br />
economy to contract for a second consecutive year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Unless Europe gets its act together and unless the green<br />
shoots that we see in the U.S. actually flower and become solid<br />
plants, and unless Japan does the near impossible task of<br />
reflating its economy and having inflation of 2 percent &#8211; how is<br />
it that developing and emerging market economies can achieve<br />
high growth?&#8221; Indian Finance Minister P. Chidambaram said at an<br />
event on the sidelines of the meetings.</p>
</p>
<p>WARILY WELCOMING JAPAN&#8217;S STIMULUS</p>
<p>The desire for a stronger path of growth helps explain why<br />
officials, even those in emerging markets, have had a sanguine<br />
response to Japan&#8217;s new plans to stimulate its economy with $1.4<br />
trillion in bond-buying by the country&#8217;s central bank.</p>
<p>Mantega pointed out that unemployment remains high in large<br />
advanced economies and that more fiscal stimulus may be needed,<br />
an elixir that has been resisted in some quarters, particularly<br />
in the euro zone. He also noted that emerging markets are<br />
&#8220;inevitably affected&#8221; by tepid demand in the United States,<br />
Japan and elsewhere, as they have been unable to sustain the<br />
kind of growth rates seen in years past.</p>
<p>Still, it was clear officials worried advanced countries<br />
were becoming overly dependant on ultra-easy monetary policies<br />
that have become less effective over time. Years of low interest<br />
rates could even plant the seeds for the next crisis.</p>
<p>&#8220;Even though some advanced economies did several rounds of<br />
QEs, nothing changed,&#8221; a South Korean G20 official told Reuters.</p>
<p>Part of the climate of frustration in global policymaking<br />
circles results from the fact the that the global economy is<br />
more interconnected in terms of finance and trade than it was a<br />
few decades ago, making it more difficult to adopt policies that<br />
help one country without hurting others.</p>
<p>Before the 2007-2009 financial crisis, a handful of advanced<br />
nations dominated international economic policymaking. Now the<br />
G20, which includes rich and poor countries as well as the<br />
European Union, is the principal venue for steering the global<br />
economy.</p>
<p>Poor nations worry that rich nations&#8217; monetary stimulus will<br />
destabilize their economies by flooding them with capital,<br />
fueling inflation or asset bubbles. Money printing by the United<br />
States, Europe and Japan also subtracts value from the<br />
currencies of the rich world, helping its exporters at the<br />
expense of factories in countries like Brazil.</p>
<p>This breeds tension in a large forum like the G20, where a<br />
variety of contrasting voices compete to shape consensus.</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re not going to have a perfectly optimal set of<br />
policies for everyone in the world,&#8221; said Tharman<br />
Shanmugaratnam, chairman of the International Monetary and<br />
Financial Committee, which advises the IMF on the global<br />
monetary and financial system.</p>
<p>Tharman said the trick was to find a mix of policies that<br />
would help economies grow without risking future bubbles. &#8220;We<br />
need a new framework,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p> (Additional reporting By Paul Eckert; Editing by Theodore<br />
d&#8217;Afflisio)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Debt levels, big monetary stimulus on tap at G20</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/19/g-idUSL2N0D533X20130419?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/19/debt-levels-big-monetary-stimulus-on-tap-at-g20/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Apr 2013 04:59:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Finance leaders of the G20 economies on Friday were set to debate specific targets for reigning in debt levels and the potential dangers from the latest round of aggressive easing of monetary policy from the world&#8217;s biggest central banks. They were also poised to demand swifter resolution to setting guidelines for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Finance leaders of the G20 economies on<br />
Friday were set to debate specific targets for reigning in debt<br />
levels and the potential dangers from the latest round of<br />
aggressive easing of monetary policy from the world&#8217;s biggest<br />
central banks.</p>
<p>They were also poised to demand swifter resolution to<br />
setting guidelines for financial benchmarks like the Libor<br />
interest rate in the wake of a global rate-rigging scandal.</p>
<p>But a rethinking of the austerity push among the world&#8217;s<br />
biggest economies loomed as the biggest talking point. Advanced<br />
economies, particularly in Europe, have undertaken sharp<br />
austerity drives in recent years to curb growing debt, but those<br />
efforts have at times damaged economies already suffering from<br />
capital flight and under-investment from the private sector.</p>
<p>EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told<br />
Reuters in an interview on Thursday that a period of reduced<br />
spending and borrowing was necessary to calm markets concerned<br />
about out-of-control debt levels, particularly in peripheral<br />
European countries. That time has passed, he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Decisive action was taken. Now as we have restored the<br />
credibility in the short-term, that gives us the possibility of<br />
having a smoother path of fiscal adjustment in the medium-term,&#8221;<br />
he said.</p>
<p>The United States has opposed committing to any targeted<br />
level of public debt as a percentage of GDP, a common way to<br />
measure a nation&#8217;s debt burden.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think an issue that will come up &#8230; is the issue of hard<br />
targets, or not, for debt-to-GDP,&#8221; Canadian Finance Minister Jim<br />
Flaherty told reporters on Thursday.</p>
<p>In a 2010 study frequently cited by policymakers, Harvard<br />
professors Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart found that on<br />
average, economies contract when the debt-to-GDP ratio surpasses<br />
90 percent &#8211; a level G20 officials were set to debate.</p>
<p>However, the study&#8217;s results were disputed by researchers at<br />
the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, who said growth for<br />
countries with those ratios was actually 2.2 percent.</p>
<p>Weakness in economies that undertook the most severe<br />
measures to cut deficits undercut the austerity argument. The<br />
United Kingdom, in particular, is suffering its third recession<br />
in the last five years.</p>
<p>Still, Flaherty urged the G20 to set hard targets on debt<br />
and deficit, though he added that troubled economies should move<br />
more slowly towards balanced budgets than others.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s important for confidence by investors, which leads to<br />
more investment, economic growth and jobs,&#8221; Flaherty said.</p>
</p>
<p>SPILLOVER CONCERNS</p>
<p>The unprecedented level of monetary stimulus designed to<br />
reinvigorate struggling large economies, including the United<br />
States, the euro zone and Japan, has raised concerns about<br />
excessive capital flight to developing nations.</p>
<p>In a communique on Thursday, the Group of 24 developing<br />
nations, whose ranks include Brazil, India, South Africa and<br />
Mexico, called on the advanced economies to &#8220;take into account<br />
the negative spillover effects &#8230; of prolonged unconventional<br />
monetary policies including on inflation and the volatility of<br />
capital flows and commodity prices.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Bank of Japan is attempting to end decades of stagnation<br />
by pumping $1.4 trillion into its economy, some of which is<br />
expected to find its way into emerging markets. Local currency<br />
funds have pulled in $16.7 billion in the first quarter of 2013<br />
worldwide, the most in more than two years, according to Lipper,<br />
a unit of Thomson Reuters.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is a call from the G24 members to have clear<br />
coordination and better communication between advanced economies<br />
and emerging markets &#8230; towards using coordination as a way to<br />
mitigate these potential asset appreciation bubbles. The<br />
consensus is that this is something that has to be closely<br />
monitored,&#8221; said Mexican Finance Minister Luis Videgaray.</p>
<p>Videgaray has cause for concern.</p>
<p>In the days following the Bank of Japan&#8217;s announcement, for<br />
example, the Mexican peso jumped 2.5 percent against the dollar<br />
 to its strongest in 20 months. Against the yen, the<br />
peso surged over 9 percent.</p>
<p>Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, in response to<br />
questioning about the country&#8217;s aggressive efforts, said he<br />
didn&#8217;t see signs of asset price bubbles &#8220;brewing in emerging<br />
nations&#8221; as a result of monetary stimulus.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s true that the massive monetary stimulus of advanced<br />
economies may affect emerging economies including through<br />
capital inflows,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Such spill-over effects had been<br />
discussed even before the G20 meeting, and will likely be on the<br />
agenda at (this week&#8217;s) meeting too.&#8221;</p>
<p>The G20 finance ministers are due to release their formal<br />
communique around midday on Friday. They plan to task the<br />
Financial Stability Board, a coordinating body of global<br />
financial regulators, with overseeing the reform of financial<br />
benchmarks such as Libor, two sources familiar with the<br />
situation told Reuters on Thursday.</p>
<p>An early draft of a communique G20 financial officials will<br />
be debating asks the FSB to take on the role after a global<br />
interest rate-rigging scandal that involved some of the world&#8217;s<br />
largest banks.</p>
<p>The International Organization of Securities Commissions<br />
came out with a report this week saying that financial<br />
benchmarks should be based on actual transactions rather than<br />
estimates, such as is the case with Libor.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Influential economic study on austerity may be flawed</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/16/global-economy-debt-idUSL2N0D32AU20130416?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/16/influential-economic-study-on-austerity-may-be-flawed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Apr 2013 20:55:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=146</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK, April 16 (Reuters) &#8211; One of the key intellectual touchstones in the move towards government austerity efforts around the world may have been incorrect in its conclusions due in part to spreadsheet coding errors, researchers said on Tuesday. A study by eminent Harvard economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff first presented in 2008 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NEW YORK, April 16 (Reuters) &#8211; One of the key intellectual<br />
touchstones in the move towards government austerity efforts<br />
around the world may have been incorrect in its conclusions due<br />
in part to spreadsheet coding errors, researchers said on<br />
Tuesday.</p>
<p>A study by eminent Harvard economists Carmen Reinhart and<br />
Kenneth Rogoff first presented in 2008 said a country&#8217;s gross<br />
domestic product growth begins to slow once its debt-to-GDP<br />
ratio reaches at least 90 percent. The research has been cited<br />
by officials in the United States, the European Union and<br />
elsewhere as justification for tackling deficits.</p>
<p>But researchers at the University of Massachusetts at<br />
Amherst, in a new study, say that the average real growth rate<br />
for countries with a public debt to GDP ratio of more than 90<br />
percent &#8220;is actually 2.2 percent, not minus 0.1 percent as<br />
published in Reinhart and Rogoff.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Coding errors, selective exclusion of available data, and<br />
unconventional weighting of summary statistics lead to serious<br />
errors that inaccurately represent the relationship between<br />
public debt and GDP growth among 20 advanced economies in the<br />
post-war period,&#8221; wrote the authors, Thomas Herndon, Michael Ash<br />
and Robert Pollin.</p>
<p>Reinhart and Rogoff, who said they had only just received<br />
the study, defended their original findings.</p>
<p>&#8220;Of course much further research is needed as the data we<br />
developed and is being used in these studies is new,&#8221; they said<br />
in a joint response by email. &#8220;Nevertheless, the weight of the<br />
evidence to date &#8211; including this latest comment &#8211; seems<br />
entirely consistent with our original interpretation of the<br />
data.&#8221;</p>
<p>Pollin told Reuters that the purpose of their work was not<br />
to prove that public debt levels did not matter. Rather it was<br />
to counter the idea that there was some sort of general rule -<br />
the Reinhart-Rogoff 90 percent threshold &#8211; &#8220;and once you go over<br />
that, you go over the abyss,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Reinhart and Rogoff&#8217;s work was influential in the austerity<br />
debate in recent years, as some governments that saw growth slow<br />
and debt rise responded with spending reductions and higher<br />
taxes, which in some cases, such as the United Kingdom, have<br />
worsened demand.</p>
<p>U.S. Senator John Cornyn, a fiscally conservative<br />
Republican, cited the Reinhart and Rogoff finding as he<br />
questioned Treasury Secretary Jack Lew at a hearing last week<br />
about the impact of the large U.S. deficit on economic growth.</p>
<p>And financial leaders of the world&#8217;s 20 biggest economies<br />
said they will consider at a meeting later this week a proposal<br />
to cut their public debt over the longer term to well below 90<br />
percent of gross domestic product, according to a document<br />
prepared for the meeting obtained by Reuters.</p>
<p>In February, European Commissioner Olli Rehn expressed his<br />
concern with high debt levels in the European Union, referencing<br />
&#8220;serious academic research&#8221; that points to the 90 percent<br />
threshold that causes slow growth.</p>
<p>Former U.S. vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan,<br />
Republican congressman from Wisconsin, has cited these<br />
statistics in the past. He said in a statement before the House<br />
Committee on the Budget in June 2011 that &#8220;economists who have<br />
studied sovereign debt tell us that letting total debt rise<br />
above 90 percent of GDP creates a drag on economic growth.&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Seminal paper on debt ratios may have had formula error</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/16/us-global-economy-debt-idUSBRE93F16C20130416?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/04/16/seminal-paper-on-debt-ratios-may-have-had-formula-error/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Apr 2013 20:15:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=144</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; One of the key intellectual touchstones in the move towards government austerity efforts in recent years may have been incorrect in its conclusions due in part to spreadsheet coding errors, researchers said on Tuesday. A study by eminent Harvard economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff first presented in 2008 said a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; One of the key intellectual touchstones in the move towards government austerity efforts in recent years may have been incorrect in its conclusions due in part to spreadsheet coding errors, researchers said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>A study by eminent Harvard economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff first presented in 2008 said a country&#8217;s gross domestic product growth begins to slow once its debt-to-GDP ratio reaches at least 90 percent.</p>
<p>But researchers at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, in a new study, say that the average real growth rate for countries with a public debt to GDP ratio of more than 90 percent &#8220;is actually 2.2 percent, not minus 0.1 percent as published in Reinhart and Rogoff.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Coding errors, selective exclusion of available data, and unconventional weighting of summary statistics lead to serious errors that inaccurately represent the relationship between public debt and GDP growth among 20 advanced economies in the post-war period,&#8221; wrote the authors, Thomas Herndon, Michael Ash and Robert Pollin.</p>
<p>Pollin told Reuters that the purpose of their work was not to prove that public debt levels did not matter. Rather it was to counter the idea that there was some sort of general rule &#8211; the Reinhart-Rogoff 90 percent threshold &#8211; &#8220;and once you go over that, you go over the abyss,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Reinhart and Rogoff&#8217;s work was influential in the austerity debate in recent years, as some governments that saw growth slow and debt rise responded with spending reductions and higher taxes, which in some cases, such as the United Kingdom, have worsened demand.</p>
<p>Reinhart and Rogoff, who said they had only just received the study, defended their original findings.</p>
<p>&#8220;Of course much further research is needed as the data we developed and is being used in these studies is new,&#8221; they said in a joint response by email. &#8220;Nevertheless, the weight of the evidence to date &#8211; including this latest comment &#8211; seems entirely consistent with our original interpretation of the data.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. Senator John Cornyn, a fiscally conservative Republican, cited the Reinhart and Rogoff finding as he questioned Treasury Secretary Jack Lew at a hearing last week about the impact of the large U.S. deficit on economic growth.</p>
<p>And financial leaders of the world&#8217;s 20 biggest economies said they will consider at a meeting later this week a proposal to cut their public debt over the longer term to well below 90 percent of gross domestic product, according to a document prepared for the meeting obtained by Reuters.</p>
<p>(Additional reporting by Alister Bull in Washington; Editing by James Dalgleish)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Yen reverses fall after G7 comment; stocks up</title>
		<link>http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/02/12/markets-global-idINDEE91B0JP20130212?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11709</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/02/12/yen-reverses-fall-after-g7-comment-stocks-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2013 20:06:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen rallied on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency. World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. The S&#038;P 500 index held near multi-year [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen rallied on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency.</p>
<p>World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. The S&#038;P 500 index held near multi-year highs as investors looked ahead to President Barack Obama&#8217;s State of the Union address On Tuesday evening.</p>
<p>The G7, in a statement, urged countries to refrain from competitive devaluations, saying it remained committed to &#8220;market-determined&#8221; exchange rates. This was in reaction to weeks of concern that the new Japanese government&#8217;s monetary easing policy, which has also weakened the yen, could trigger far-reaching currency wars.</p>
<p>However, the market interpreted the statement as a sign that the G7 supported Japan&#8217;s moves, prompting an official from a G7 nation to say later that the group &#8220;is concerned about unilateral guidance on the yen.&#8221;</p>
<p>The comments &#8211; meant to clarify the G7 statement &#8211; sparked a rally in the yen against the dollar and euro.</p>
<p>&#8220;Having asserted on Sunday evening that G20 would seek to &#8216;calm&#8217; markets over talk of currency wars, the first ad-hoc attempt to do so this morning has been a dismal failure,&#8221; said Richard Gilhooly, analyst at TD Securities in New York. &#8220;Rather than calm the markets, the poorly communicated statement has significantly raised volatility and now we have to wait to see the actual outcome of G20 on the weekend.&#8221;</p>
<p>The dollar was down 0.8 percent against the yen at 93.51, having risen to 94.42 yen on Monday, according to Reuters data, the highest since May, 2010.</p>
<p>The euro fell 0.5 percent to 125.77 yen, after a 2 percent rally on Monday.</p>
<p>The G7 must go into this weekend&#8217;s G20 meetings forcefully pressing major emerging economies to adopt flexible foreign exchange rates, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Tokyo is likely to come under serious pressure when G20 finance ministers and central bankers meet in Moscow at the end of the week, not least because the United States is employing similar policies.</p>
<p>Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso welcomed the statement, saying it recognized Tokyo&#8217;s policy steps were not &#8220;aimed at influencing currency markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. Treasury official Lael Brainard said on Monday that while competitive devaluations should be avoided, Washington supported Tokyo&#8217;s efforts to reinvigorate growth and end deflation.</p>
<p>MSCI&#8217;s global share index was up 0.5 percent at 356.40. European shares gained 0.6 percent to close at 1161.46, led by UK banks after Britain&#8217;s third-biggest lender, Barclays (BARC.L: <a href="/stocks/quote?symbol=BARC.L">Quote</a>, <a href="/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=BARC.L">Profile</a>, <a href="/stocks/researchReports?symbol=BARC.L">Research</a>), unveiled cost cuts and a strategic overhaul.</p>
<p>Housing stocks led Wall Street higher. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 57.74 points, or 0.41 percent, at 14,028.98. The Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index  was up 3.21 points, or 0.21 percent, at 1,520.22. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 2.58 points, or 0.08 percent, at 3,189.42.</p>
<p>STATE OF THE UNION</p>
<p>The economy will be a major topic of Obama&#8217;s speech before a joint session of Congress set for 9 p.m. (0200 GMT Wednesday). Investors will listen for any clues about a deal with Republicans to avert automatic spending cuts due to take effect March 1.</p>
<p>Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes fell 5/32 in price to yield 1.98 percent, up from 1.96 percent late on Monday, as investors prepared to absorb $72 billion in new debt supply this week.</p>
<p>In European bond markets, Spanish and Italian bonds inched up as domestic buyers took advantage of a recent sell-off. But the recovery looked fragile, given political uncertainty in both countries.</p>
<p>The euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.3447, accelerating gains after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said there is no such thing as a currency war and that Spain was on the right track toward economic recovery.</p>
<p>Oil prices rose as OPEC said world oil demand will grow more quickly than previously thought this year. Brent oil rose 18 cents to $118.31 a barrel and U.S. crude was up 48 cents to settle at $97.51 a barrel.</p>
<p>Spot gold clawed back from its lowest in over a month and was last at $1,651 an ounce.</p>
<p>Financial markets showed a muted reaction to news that North Korea conducted a nuclear test and said it would never bow to U.N. resolutions.</p>
<p>(Editing by Nick Zieminski and Dan Grebler)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>World stocks edge higher</title>
		<link>http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/02/12/markets-global-idINDEE91B0HT20130212?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11709</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/02/12/world-stocks-edge-higher/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2013 18:02:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen swung wildly on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency. World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. U.S. indexes were little changed, with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen swung wildly on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency.</p>
<p>World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. U.S. indexes were little changed, with the S&#038;P 500 index holding near multi-year highs ahead of President Barack Obama&#8217;s State of the Union address.</p>
<p>The G7, in a statement, urged countries to refrain from competitive devaluations, saying it remained committed to &#8220;market-determined&#8221; exchange rates. This was in reaction to weeks of concern that the new Japanese government&#8217;s monetary easing policy, which has also weakened the yen, could trigger far-reaching currency wars.</p>
<p>However, the market interpreted the statement as a sign that the G7 supported Japan&#8217;s moves, prompting an official from a G7 nation to say later that the group &#8220;is concerned about unilateral guidance on the yen.&#8221;</p>
<p>The comments &#8211; meant to clarify the G7 statement &#8211; sparked a rally in the yen against the dollar and euro.</p>
<p>&#8220;Having asserted on Sunday evening that G20 would seek to &#8216;calm&#8217; markets over talk of currency wars, the first ad-hoc attempt to do so this morning has been a dismal failure,&#8221; said Richard Gilhooly, analyst at TD Securities in New York. &#8220;Rather than calm the markets, the poorly communicated statement has significantly raised volatility and now we have to wait to see the actual outcome of G20 on the weekend.&#8221;</p>
<p>The dollar was down 1.2 percent against the yen at 93.14, having risen to 94.42 yen on Monday, according to Reuters data, the highest since May, 2010.</p>
<p>The euro fell 0.9 percent to 125.30, after a 2 percent rally on Monday.</p>
<p>The G7 must go into this weekend&#8217;s G20 meetings forcefully pressing major emerging economies to adopt flexible foreign exchange rates, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Tokyo is likely to come under serious pressure when G20 finance ministers and central bankers meet in Moscow at the end of the week, not least because the United States is employing similar policies.</p>
<p>Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso welcomed the statement, saying it recognized Tokyo&#8217;s policy steps were not &#8220;aimed at influencing currency markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. Treasury official Lael Brainard said on Monday that while competitive devaluations should be avoided, Washington supported Tokyo&#8217;s efforts to reinvigorate growth and end deflation.</p>
<p>MSCI&#8217;s global share index was up 0.5 percent at 356.55. European shares gained 0.6 percent to close at 1161.46, led by UK banks after Britain&#8217;s third-biggest lender, Barclays (BARC.L: <a href="/stocks/quote?symbol=BARC.L">Quote</a>, <a href="/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=BARC.L">Profile</a>, <a href="/stocks/researchReports?symbol=BARC.L">Research</a>), unveiled cost cuts and a strategic overhaul.</p>
<p>On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average gained 45.05 points, or 0.32 percent, at 14,016.29. The Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index was up 3.21 points, or 0.21 percent, at 1,520.22. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.77 points, or 0.02 percent, at 3,192.77.</p>
<p>STATE OF THE UNION</p>
<p>The economy will be a major topic of Obama&#8217;s speech before a joint session of Congress set for 9 p.m. (0200 GMT Wednesday). Investors will listen for any clues on a deal with Republicans to avert automatic spending cuts due to take effect March 1.</p>
<p>Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes fell 2/32 in price to yield 1.97 percent, up from 1.96 percent late on Monday, as investors prepared to absorb $72 billion in new debt supply this week.</p>
<p>In European bond markets, Spanish and Italian bonds inched up as domestic buyers took advantage of a recent sell-off. But the recovery looked fragile, given political uncertainty in both countries.</p>
<p>Spain sold 5.6 billion euros of 6- and 12-month debt, beating the top end of the target amount, but paid a higher yield on the longer-term paper as a political corruption scandal weighed on shaky confidence. Italy&#8217;s debt costs also rose as it sold 8.5 billion euros of one-year paper.</p>
<p>The euro rose 0.4 percent to $1.3462, accelerating gains after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said there is no such thing as a currency war and that Spain was on the right track toward economic recovery.</p>
<p>Brent oil rose 14 cents to $118.27 a barrel. Spot gold clawed back from its lowest in over a month and was last at $1,652 an ounce.</p>
<p>Financial markets showed a muted reaction to news that North Korea has conducted a nuclear test and said it would never bow to U.N. resolutions.</p>
<p>A nuclear test monitoring agency in Vienna said the blast was double the size of North Korea&#8217;s last test in 2009. NATO condemned the move, calling it an &#8220;irresponsible act&#8221; that posed a grave threat to world peace.</p>
<p>(Editing by Dan Grebler)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Yen soars after G7 comment; shares climb</title>
		<link>http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/02/12/uk-markets-global-idUKBRE87514J20130212?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11708</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/2013/02/12/yen-soars-after-g7-comment-shares-climb/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Feb 2013 18:02:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Gaffen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-gaffen/?p=140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen swung wildly on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency. World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. U.S. indexes were little changed, with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) &#8211; The yen swung wildly on Tuesday, reversing the previous day&#8217;s late sell-off against the dollar and euro after an official with the Group of Seven said it is worried about excess moves in the Japanese currency.</p>
<p>World stock markets edged higher, led by European shares. U.S. indexes were little changed, with the S&#038;P 500 index holding near multi-year highs ahead of President Barack Obama&#8217;s State of the Union address.</p>
<p>The G7, in a statement, urged countries to refrain from competitive devaluations, saying it remained committed to &#8220;market-determined&#8221; exchange rates. This was in reaction to weeks of concern that the new Japanese government&#8217;s monetary easing policy, which has also weakened the yen, could trigger far-reaching currency wars.</p>
<p>However, the market interpreted the statement as a sign that the G7 supported Japan&#8217;s moves, prompting an official from a G7 nation to say later that the group &#8220;is concerned about unilateral guidance on the yen.&#8221;</p>
<p>The comments &#8211; meant to clarify the G7 statement &#8211; sparked a rally in the yen against the dollar and euro.</p>
<p>&#8220;Having asserted on Sunday evening that G20 would seek to &#8216;calm&#8217; markets over talk of currency wars, the first ad-hoc attempt to do so this morning has been a dismal failure,&#8221; said Richard Gilhooly, analyst at TD Securities in New York. &#8220;Rather than calm the markets, the poorly communicated statement has significantly raised volatility and now we have to wait to see the actual outcome of G20 on the weekend.&#8221;</p>
<p>The dollar was down 1.2 percent against the yen at 93.14, having risen to 94.42 yen on Monday, according to Reuters data, the highest since May, 2010.</p>
<p>The euro fell 0.9 percent to 125.30, after a 2 percent rally on Monday.</p>
<p>The G7 must go into this weekend&#8217;s G20 meetings forcefully pressing major emerging economies to adopt flexible foreign exchange rates, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Tokyo is likely to come under serious pressure when G20 finance ministers and central bankers meet in Moscow at the end of the week, not least because the United States is employing similar policies.</p>
<p>Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso welcomed the statement, saying it recognized Tokyo&#8217;s policy steps were not &#8220;aimed at influencing currency markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. Treasury official Lael Brainard said on Monday that while competitive devaluations should be avoided, Washington supported Tokyo&#8217;s efforts to reinvigorate growth and end deflation.</p>
<p>MSCI&#8217;s global share index was up 0.5 percent at 356.55. European shares gained 0.6 percent to close at 1161.46, led by UK banks after Britain&#8217;s third-biggest lender, Barclays, unveiled cost cuts and a strategic overhaul.</p>
<p>On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average gained 45.05 points, or 0.32 percent, at 14,016.29. The Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index was up 3.21 points, or 0.21 percent, at 1,520.22. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.77 points, or 0.02 percent, at 3,192.77.</p>
<p>STATE OF THE UNION</p>
<p>The economy will be a major topic of Obama&#8217;s speech before a joint session of Congress set for 9 p.m. (0200 GMT Wednesday). Investors will listen for any clues on a deal with Republicans to avert automatic spending cuts due to take effect March 1.</p>
<p>Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes fell 2/32 in price to yield 1.97 percent, up from 1.96 percent late on Monday, as investors prepared to absorb $72 billion in new debt supply this week.</p>
<p>In European bond markets, Spanish and Italian bonds inched up as domestic buyers took advantage of a recent sell-off. But the recovery looked fragile, given political uncertainty in both countries.</p>
<p>Spain sold 5.6 billion euros of 6- and 12-month debt, beating the top end of the target amount, but paid a higher yield on the longer-term paper as a political corruption scandal weighed on shaky confidence. Italy&#8217;s debt costs also rose as it sold 8.5 billion euros of one-year paper.</p>
<p>The euro rose 0.4 percent to $1.3462, accelerating gains after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said there is no such thing as a currency war and that Spain was on the right track toward economic recovery.</p>
<p>Brent oil rose 14 cents to $118.27 a barrel. Spot gold clawed back from its lowest in over a month and was last at $1,652 an ounce.</p>
<p>Financial markets showed a muted reaction to news that North Korea has conducted a nuclear test and said it would never bow to U.N. resolutions.</p>
<p>A nuclear test monitoring agency in Vienna said the blast was double the size of North Korea&#8217;s last test in 2009. NATO condemned the move, calling it an &#8220;irresponsible act&#8221; that posed a grave threat to world peace.</p>
<p>(Editing by Dan Grebler)</p>
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