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Nov 18, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

Building a Safe

The housing-market recovery, the improvement in the unemployment rate and the relatively strong consumer sentiment figures seen out of the United States in recent months bodes well for Home Depot and other big-ticket retailers (like Lowe’s, for instance) as they report this quarter’s earnings.

Housing hasn’t been as robust as it had been in the past – that market has slowed in terms of its overall growth rate regardless of the ultra-low interest rates that have embedded in the landscape – but existing home sales (of which we’ll get more clarity later in the week when the October release is out) rebounded in September to their best seasonally adjusted annual rate all year.

Nov 17, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

Turning Japanese

Just when the market thought it was out, it gets pulled back in. The bond market continues to threaten to break into higher levels, but something always seems to undermine that story.

This weekend it was a slack Japanese figure on gross domestic product that did the trick. The prevailing range between 2.30 percent and 2.40 percent is being tested again as buyers come in through the Asian markets, particularly to long-dated and middle maturities in fixed income.

Nov 14, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

Thinking global, earning local

Earnings season has really closed down, with Wal-Mart out of the way, and with the markets sitting just a touch off record highs, it’s worth looking at how earnings fared and what valuations suggest right now.

There’s a general consensus that even as the market has refocused and surged to all-time highs that things are only “slightly” overvalued. Perhaps that’s true, but some (or a good lot) of that valuation question happens to come from weakness in the energy sector.

Nov 13, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

Auction Calling!

It’s no secret that the Treasury market has changed a bit in recent months due to concerns from banks about holding too much in the way of securities and running afoul of various rules international regulators are setting up.

Now, the rules in question generally don’t affect Treasuries holdings, but never mind all that when a good story is out there, and the banks are sticking to this one.

Nov 12, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

The Dendreon Decline

Some bankruptcies are utter surprises – like GT Advanced Technologies earlier this year – but often, they come after a company has been circling the drain for a while.

One such case came earlier this week for prostate cancer drugmaker Dendreon Corp, a long-time favorite among day traders and boosters of the company, a number of whom were personally affected by the disease in question.

Nov 10, 2014

China deal sends world shares to one-month high

NEW YORK (Reuters) – World equity markets hit their highest level in more than a month on Monday, lifted by a deal to give global investors easier access to China’s $3.9 trillion stock market and more gains in U.S. equities.

Wall Street ended higher, with the S&P 500 rising 0.3 percent to 2,038.26, a closing record, while the Dow industrials gained 0.2 percent to a new closing high of 17,613.74.

Nov 10, 2014

China deal sends shares to one-month high

LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) – A landmark deal to give global investors easier access to China’s $3.9 trillion stock market helped lift world share markets to their highest level in more than a month on Monday.

Wall Street edged higher, taking major averages further into record territory as quarterly earnings season comes to a close.

Nov 10, 2014

China deal sends shares to one-month high, ruble surges

LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) – A landmark deal to give global investors easier access to China’s $3.9 trillion stock market helped lift world share markets to their highest level in more than a month on Monday.

Wall Street edged higher, taking major averages further into record territory as quarterly earnings season comes to a close.

Nov 6, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

My dinner with The Hulk

Walt Disney Co headlines the day’s earnings, and its eagerly anticipated third-quarter report is likely to illustrate how one company can benefit from some unique content that outpowers all expectations.

As a media giant with big movie studios and a lot of other recurring revenue, Disney in the last 17 quarters has brought in less than $10 billion in revenue just three times and exceeded $12 billion in revenue twice (two of the last three quarters). That’s pretty consistent.

Nov 5, 2014
via Morning Bid with David Gaffen

Radio-free Europe

Election Day having come and gone, attention in markets turns to Europe ahead of the results of Thursday’s European Central Bank meeting.

At the latter, the roaring of terrible roars and gnashing of terrible teeth between ECB head Mario Draghi and the Germans – who function as the disapproving mom in this dysfunctional relationship – will or won’t come to a head with news about whether the ECB will go further on a monetary policy that many deem inadequate to face a crippling lack of demand that has pounded many European economies, notably Italy and France of late (with Germany not doing all that much better).

    • About David

      "David Gaffen oversees the U.S. markets team, having joined Reuters in May 2009. He spent four years at the Wall Street Journal, where he was the original writer of the web site's MarketBeat blog. He is a frequent guest on Reuters TV, and has appeared on CNN International, Fox Business, NPR, and assorted other media and is the author of the book "Never Buy Another Stock Again.""
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