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	<title>David Ljunggren</title>
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	<description>David Ljunggren&#039;s Profile</description>
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		<title>Surprise Canada March trade surplus seen boosting Q1 growth</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/02/canada-economy-trade-idUSL2N0DI1ZI20130502?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/05/02/surprise-canada-march-trade-surplus-seen-boosting-q1-growth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 May 2013 14:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1794</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, May 2 (Reuters) &#8211; In a sign the spluttering Canadian economy might grow faster than expected in the first quarter, surging exports helped produce the country&#8217;s first trade surplus in a year in March. Statistics Canada said on Thursday that a 5.1 percent jump in exports was behind an unexpected trade surplus of C$24 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, May 2 (Reuters) &#8211; In a sign the spluttering Canadian<br />
economy might grow faster than expected in the first quarter,<br />
surging exports helped produce the country&#8217;s first trade surplus<br />
in a year in March.</p>
<p>Statistics Canada said on Thursday that a 5.1 percent jump<br />
in exports was behind an unexpected trade surplus of C$24<br />
million ($24 million). Traders had predicted a shortfall of<br />
C$720 million after the revised C$1.25 billion deficit in<br />
February.</p>
<p>Canada last recorded a trade surplus &#8211; a modest C$45 million<br />
- in March 2012.</p>
<p>Canada&#8217;s export sector &#8211; a major driver of the economy &#8211; has<br />
long struggled with a strong Canadian dollar and weak<br />
international markets. It is also heavily reliant on the United<br />
States, which has been showing signs of recovery.</p>
<p>Other recent figures, including strong February growth<br />
figures on Tuesday, also suggest the domestic economy is<br />
starting to pick up speed.</p>
<p>Last month, the Bank of Canada predicted first quarter<br />
growth of just 1.5 percent on an annualized basis.</p>
<p>&#8220;It now looks like trade will add significantly to real GDP<br />
growth in the first quarter,&#8221; said Robert Kavcic of BMO Capital<br />
Markets in a note to clients.</p>
<p>&#8220;We upgraded our Q1 Canadian growth forecast to 2.3 percent<br />
(from 1.5 percent) after Tuesday&#8217;s real GDP report, and these<br />
trade results fully support that change.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Canadian dollar firmed to a session high of C$1.0060 to<br />
the U.S. dollar, or 99.40 U.S. cents. It closed at C$1.0081, or<br />
99.20 U.S. cents on Wednesday.</p>
<p>In March, exports jumped by 5.1 percent, the biggest leap<br />
since the 5.3 percent recorded in March 2011. Exports of energy<br />
grew by 3.9 percent while shipments of motor vehicles and parts<br />
increased by 6.1 percent.</p>
<p>Peter Hall, chief economist at Export Development Canada,<br />
said the export figures reflected a U.S. economy which is still<br />
recovering from last year&#8217;s Superstorm Sandy, which hit the<br />
eastern seaboard in late October, and fears over the impact of<br />
wrangling over the budget.</p>
<p>&#8220;I am thrilled about the fact we have a 5.1 percent month<br />
and that it&#8217;s very broadly based a lot of industries. That shows<br />
to me that this is not a flash in the pan,&#8221; he told Reuters.</p>
<p>Hall echoed Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney, who said<br />
this week that private industry rather than government spending<br />
was fueling U.S. growth.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is a report that illustrates what we&#8217;ve been trying to<br />
say for an awfully long period of time, and that is that<br />
fundamental underlying growth in the United States is very<br />
strong,&#8221; Hall said.</p>
<p>Exports to the United States, which took 72.8 percent of all<br />
Canadian exports in March, grew by 4.0 percent while imports<br />
were up by 2.0 percent. As a result, the trade surplus with the<br />
United States grew to C$3.82 billion from C$3.18 billion in<br />
February</p>
<p>Imports increased by 1.7 percent, thanks largely to an 18.1<br />
percent leap in imports of crude oil and bitumen after three<br />
consecutive monthly declines.</p></p>
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		<title>Land-locked Alberta mulls oil pipeline to Arctic port</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/26/canada-pipelines-arctic-idUSL2N0DD2BK20130426?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/26/land-locked-alberta-mulls-oil-pipeline-to-arctic-port/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Apr 2013 18:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1792</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 26 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s oil-producing province of Alberta, trying to deal with a lack of pipeline capacity to the Pacific Coast and the United States, is mulling the idea of building a line north to an Arctic port, the province&#8217;s energy minister said on Friday. Ken Hughes said he has been talking to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 26 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s oil-producing province<br />
of Alberta, trying to deal with a lack of pipeline capacity to<br />
the Pacific Coast and the United States, is mulling the idea of<br />
building a line north to an Arctic port, the province&#8217;s energy<br />
minister said on Friday.</p>
<p>Ken Hughes said he has been talking to the government of<br />
Canada&#8217;s Northwest Territories, which lie directly north of<br />
Alberta, about a pipeline to a port such as Inuvik or<br />
Tuktoyaktuk on the Beaufort Sea, a section of the Arctic Ocean.</p>
<p>The government of landlocked Alberta has hired a<br />
Calgary-based consultant to produce a feasibility study on such<br />
a pipeline. It expects the study to be delivered by the end of<br />
the year.</p>
<p>Delayed pipeline projects and an excess of supply mean<br />
Alberta&#8217;s heavy crude often has been selling at a deep discount<br />
to world prices, although the price gap has narrowed recently.</p>
<p>&#8220;We need access to tidewater, to the ocean, in order to<br />
secure world prices &#8230; any rational economic option will be<br />
explored, and this is part of our oil market diversification<br />
strategy,&#8221; Hughes told Reuters in a phone interview.</p>
<p>Another possibility might be to ship oil by rail to the<br />
Valdez oil terminal in Alaska, he said.</p>
<p>An Arctic pipeline would face serious challenges from<br />
environmentalists as well as possible resistance from aboriginal<br />
communities along the route. There would also be the threat that<br />
unpredictable ice conditions in the Beaufort Sea could block<br />
ports.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s quite possible that at the end of the day a pipeline<br />
for oil to the Arctic Ocean doesn&#8217;t make sense in the immediate<br />
next decade or two,&#8221; Hughes said. &#8220;But I&#8217;d rather be<br />
well-informed based upon science and economics.&#8221;</p>
<p>He denied the Arctic oil plan had been prompted by the<br />
delays facing TransCanada Corp&#8217;s proposed Keystone XL<br />
pipeline from Alberta to refineries in Texas, which is still<br />
awaiting approval from U.S. President Barack Obama.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Gulf Coast in America is simply one point of access &#8230;<br />
we need to be more diversified,&#8221; Hughes said.</p>
<p>Canada&#8217;s Conservative government, keen to boost oil exports<br />
to China and other Asian markets, backs private-sector plans to<br />
boost pipeline capacity from Alberta to ports in the Pacific<br />
province of British Columbia. These proposals, however, are also<br />
facing problems.</p>
<p>Green activists and aboriginal bands strongly oppose<br />
Enbridge Inc&#8217;s proposed Northern Gateway pipeline to<br />
the West Coast, and there are increasing doubts about whether<br />
the project will ever be built.</p>
<p>And this week, the leader of the opposition party most<br />
likely to win next month&#8217;s election in British Columbia<br />
expressed major doubts about Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP&#8217;s<br />
 plan to more than double the capacity of its existing<br />
Trans Mountain pipeline from Alberta to Vancouver.</p>
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		<title>Canada&#8217;s Muslims highlight their role as tipsters in train plot</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/faithworld/2013/04/25/canadas-muslims-highlight-their-role-as-tipsters-in-train-plot/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/25/canadas-muslims-highlight-their-role-as-tipsters-in-train-plot/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2013 16:28:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1790</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Canada&#8217;s Muslim community, which alerted police to an alleged plot to attack a passenger train that led to two arrests this week, said imams were ready to report radical members who seemed ready to cross a line. Police arrested Raed Jaser of Toronto and Chiheb Esseghaier of Montreal on Monday and said they had been [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_28241" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 602px"><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/faithworld/files/2013/04/sketch.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-28241" title="C" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/faithworld/files/2013/04/sketch.jpg" alt="" width="592" height="427" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">(An artist&#8217;s sketch shows Chiheb Esseghaier making his first court appearance, in Montreal, April 23, 2013. REUTERS/Atalante)</p></div>
<p>Canada&#8217;s Muslim community, which alerted police to an alleged plot to attack a passenger train that led to two arrests this week, said imams were ready to report radical members who seemed ready to cross a line.</p>
<p>Police arrested Raed Jaser of Toronto and Chiheb Esseghaier of Montreal on Monday and said they had been investigating them since last fall after a tip from the Muslim community in Toronto. The men appeared in separate courts on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Muslims comprise around one million of Canada&#8217;s 34.5 million population.</p>
<p>While relations between Muslims and law enforcement are generally not as tense as they can be in the large Muslim communities in France and Britain, Canadian spy agency officials have often expressed concern about the dangers posed by radicalized youth.</p>
<p>Naseer Irfan Syed, a lawyer who initially approached police on behalf of a Toronto imam who was concerned about Jaser, said on Tuesday  that community figures had to figure out what was just angry talk and when there was a real threat.</p>
<p>&#8220;People have to realize that the community leaders and imams are concerned about these accusations and are responsible people and they will report to the authorities when necessary,&#8221; he told Reuters.</p>
<p>&#8220;But at the same time they will also exercise judgment so it is not done frivolously or in a knee-jerk fashion,&#8221; he said. Syed declined to name the imam who spoke with police over the train plot.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/23/us-arrests-muslims-idUSBRE93M1CO20130423">Read the full story <span id="articleText">by Alastair Sharp and David Ljunggren </span>here.<br />
.<br />
</a><a href="http://www.twitter.com/RTRFaithWorld"><img src="http://twitter-badges.s3.amazonaws.com/t_mini-a.png" alt="Follow RTRFaithWorld via Twitter" /></a><strong><a href="http://twitter.com/RTRFaithWorld"><span style="color: #005a84;"> Follow all posts on Twitter @ RTRFaithWorld</span></a></strong></p>
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		<title>Canada&#8217;s Muslim highlight role as tipsters in train plot</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/23/canada-arrests-muslims-idUSL2N0DA1TA20130423?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/23/canadas-muslim-highlight-role-as-tipsters-in-train-plot/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2013 20:46:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1788</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TORONTO/OTTAWA, April 23 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s Muslim community, which alerted police to an alleged plot to attack a passenger train that led to two arrests this week, said on Tuesday imams were ready to report radical members who seemed ready to cross a line. Police arrested Raed Jaser of Toronto and Chiheb Esseghaier of Montreal [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TORONTO/OTTAWA, April 23 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s Muslim<br />
community, which alerted police to an alleged plot to attack a<br />
passenger train that led to two arrests this week, said on<br />
Tuesday imams were ready to report radical members who seemed<br />
ready to cross a line.</p>
<p>Police arrested Raed Jaser of Toronto and Chiheb Esseghaier<br />
of Montreal on Monday and said they had been investigating them<br />
since last fall after a tip from the Muslim community in<br />
Toronto. The men appeared in separate courts on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Muslims comprise around one million of Canada&#8217;s 34.5 million<br />
population.</p>
<p>While relations between Muslims and law enforcement are<br />
generally not as tense as they can be in the large Muslim<br />
communities in France and Britain, Canadian spy agency officials<br />
have often expressed concern about the dangers posed by<br />
radicalized youth.</p>
<p>Naseer Irfan Syed, a lawyer who initially approached police<br />
on behalf of a Toronto imam who was concerned about Jaser, said<br />
community figures had to figure out what was just angry talk and<br />
when there was a real threat.</p>
<p>&#8220;People have to realize that the community leaders and imams<br />
are concerned about these accusations and are responsible people<br />
and they will report to the authorities when necessary,&#8221; he told<br />
Reuters.</p>
<p>&#8220;But at the same time they will also exercise judgment so it<br />
is not done frivolously or in a knee-jerk fashion,&#8221; he said.<br />
Syed declined to name the imam who spoke with police over the<br />
train plot.</p>
<p>Both Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Public Safety<br />
Minister Vic Toews stood up in Parliament on Tuesday to thank<br />
the Muslim community.</p>
</p>
<p>MUSLIM &#8220;PARTNERS FOR PEACE&#8221;</p>
<p>Canada&#8217;s commitment to protecting minorities is enshrined in<br />
the country&#8217;s Charter of Rights and Freedoms as well as a number<br />
of Supreme Court judgments.</p>
<p>Ihsaan Gardee, executive director of the Canadian Council on<br />
American-Islamic Relations, also stressed the importance of the<br />
imam&#8217;s decision last year to tip off police.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is a clear demonstration that Canadian Muslims, whose<br />
welfare is tied to that of our fellow citizens, are in fact<br />
partners for peace,&#8221; he told a news conference in Ottawa.</p>
<p>&#8220;We think it&#8217;s an important thing to acknowledge the role<br />
that Muslims are playing and regularly play in outreach work. We<br />
have regular contact with security agencies.&#8221;</p>
<p>Canadian police briefed Muslim representatives before<br />
publicly announcing the arrests on Monday, something they have<br />
done in similar cases in the past.</p>
<p>The most serious Canadian plot involving Muslims occurred in<br />
2006, when police arrested and charged nearly 20 Toronto-area<br />
men accused of planning to plant bombs at various Canadian<br />
targets. Eleven of them were convicted.</p>
<p>Gardee said the community was aware of the risks of<br />
radialized youth and noted that groups of imams had in 2005 and<br />
2010 condemned terrorism in any form.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a concern that we take very seriously and it&#8217;s<br />
something we&#8217;re continuously working to address. Can more be<br />
done? More can always be done and that&#8217;s why we&#8217;re reaching out<br />
to security agencies,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Christian Leuprecht, an expert in terrorism at Queen&#8217;s<br />
University in Kingston, Ontario, said the tip-off reflected<br />
extensive efforts by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police to<br />
improve ties with Muslims.</p>
<p>&#8220;One of the key things, and what makes us very different<br />
from the United States, is that the RCMP has always very<br />
explicitly separated building relationships with local<br />
communities from the intelligence gathering side of the house,&#8221;<br />
he told Reuters.</p>
<p>Gardee said he was confident Canadians would see the plot as<br />
the &#8220;alleged criminal and misguided actions of a few&#8221; who did<br />
not reflect or represent Muslims as a whole.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our message to anyone who espouses this ideology of<br />
violence is this: you have nothing to do with our faith,&#8221; he<br />
said.</p>
<p> (Writing by David Ljunggren; Editing by Janet Guttsman and<br />
David Storey)</p>
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		<title>Bank of Canada&#8217;s Carney sees little rate-hike pressure</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/23/canada-economy-bankofcanada-idUSL2N0DA16120130423?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/23/bank-of-canadas-carney-sees-little-rate-hike-pressure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2013 16:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1786</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 23 (Reuters) &#8211; Outgoing Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney signaled on Tuesday he feels little pressure to raise interest rates any time soon, saying he was &#8220;very encouraged&#8221; that Canadians were stabilizing their debt loads and that the housing market was cooling. &#8220;I would say that as we sit here today, we [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 23 (Reuters) &#8211; Outgoing Bank of Canada<br />
Governor Mark Carney signaled on Tuesday he feels little<br />
pressure to raise interest rates any time soon, saying he was<br />
&#8220;very encouraged&#8221; that Canadians were stabilizing their debt<br />
loads and that the housing market was cooling.</p>
<p>&#8220;I would say that as we sit here today, we are encouraged by<br />
the fact that the rate of debt accumulation has slowed,&#8221; Carney<br />
told lawmakers.</p>
<p>The household debt-to-income ratio, which now sits at an<br />
all-time high of 165 percent, should level off this year after<br />
rising steadily for the past few years, he said. Various housing<br />
market indicators are also showing improvement.</p>
<p>But Tiff Macklem, senior deputy governor at the central bank<br />
and seen as the most likely to replace Carney when he leaves in<br />
June to run the Bank of England, said it&#8217;s too early to say that<br />
those risks has disappeared completely.</p>
<p>&#8220;House prices are starting to stabilize, but they are high.<br />
So the vulnerabilities are still there and it&#8217;s important that<br />
this gradual evolution continues &#8230; it&#8217;s too soon to let down<br />
our guard and if we see an acceleration, yes, we need to look at<br />
the measures we can take,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Carney repeated the central bank&#8217;s warning that it expects<br />
its next move to be an interest rate increase, even after<br />
recently cutting economic growth forecasts.</p>
<p>&#8220;The considerable monetary stimulus which exists now in<br />
Canada will probably remain like this for a certain period &#8211;<br />
that is clear,&#8221; he said. &#8220;But after a certain time, which the<br />
Bank of Canada is not specifying, it is probable there will be a<br />
modest increase in interest rates.&#8221;</p>
<p>When asked whether high personal debt was the main motive<br />
for the bank&#8217;s rate-hike bias, Carney conceded that it was a<br />
factor, but that low inflation and substantial slack in the<br />
economy were also key.</p>
<p>&#8220;On the margin we do take into account what is happening in<br />
the household sector and on the margin that influences policy to<br />
be less loose, if I can put it that way, than it otherwise would<br />
be,&#8221; Carney said.</p>
<p>Evidence of a soft landing for housing included a drop in<br />
the number of mortgages with floating rates, the policymakers<br />
said. Growth in household credit has slowed to 4 percent from 6<br />
percent.</p>
<p>Canadian housing starts have also eased to about 185,000,<br />
in line with the bank&#8217;s estimate of demographic demand, while<br />
housing resales are just below the 10-year average, they said.</p>
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		<title>Canada trade talks stalled, overshadowed by U.S</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/22/us-eu-canada-trade-idUSBRE93L0MI20130422?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/22/canada-trade-talks-stalled-overshadowed-by-u-s/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2013 14:14:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1784</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[BRUSSELS/OTTAWA (Reuters) &#8211; Talks to wrap up a multi-billion-dollar free trade deal between Canada and Europe have stalled, diplomats said, raising concerns the agreement could be put on hold as Brussels switches its attention to a much bigger pact with the United States. The Ottawa-Brussels negotiations to open up access to each others&#8217; economies were [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BRUSSELS/OTTAWA (Reuters) &#8211; Talks to wrap up a multi-billion-dollar free trade deal between Canada and Europe have stalled, diplomats said, raising concerns the agreement could be put on hold as Brussels switches its attention to a much bigger pact with the United States.</p>
<p>The Ottawa-Brussels negotiations to open up access to each others&#8217; economies were launched in 2009, and were originally presented as a straightforward bid to reinvigorate growth and generate around $28 billion in trade and new business a year.</p>
<p>But diplomats and officials told Reuters wrangling over the amount of beef Canada will be able to export to the EU, and EU demands for greater ability to bid for Canadian government contracts, are bedeviling the final stages of the agreement.</p>
<p>&#8220;This was supposed to be done in November, then we said February, but now there&#8217;s no clarity &#8230; No one wants to walk away from this, but it could be put on ice if things remain stuck for a prolonged period,&#8221; said an EU diplomat.</p>
<p>An EU agreement with Canada would be its first with a member of the G7 club of major economies. It would also be one of a new generation of deals that not only remove import tariffs but also harmonize rules on how companies do business across borders.</p>
<p>The European Commission&#8217;s negotiating teams and the EU diplomats who shape such pacts already often work into the small hours and need Canada out of the way to focus on the biggest of the new deals they are facing, with the United States.</p>
<p>&#8220;Everyone in Brussels is shifting efforts and attention to the United States &#8230; The challenge lies in maintaining the political momentum,&#8221; said Adrian van den Hoven, a director at the EU&#8217;s biggest industry lobby Business Europe.</p>
<p>Any failure of the Canadian deal could have an impact on the U.S. negotiations, due to start in July. Brussels officials were hoping to use the Ottawa accord to show Washington they were serious about opening up their sensitive agricultural markets to a large, developed economy.</p>
<p>An EU-U.S. trade deal, which would encompass half the world&#8217;s economy and a third of global trade, could increase EU economic output by 65 billion euros ($85 billion) a year, according to a European Commission estimate.</p>
<p>TUSSLE OVER BEEF</p>
<p>Diplomats say much of the EU-Canada deal is agreed, and at the heart of the final dispute is a Canadian demand to be able to export up to 100,000 metric tons of beef to the EU every year.</p>
<p>Canadian beef exports are effectively blocked by the EU at present because they contain hormones. Ottawa argues it needs a large quota to make production of hormone-free beef for Europe economically viable.</p>
<p>Irish and French farmers are unhappy with that, and the EU has offered a much lower quota. That means both sides have to seek a compromise, especially as Brussels wants to leave quota space for the beef the United States will seek to export under its free-trade deal.</p>
<p>In return for opening up to Canadian beef, German and French companies want to be able to bid for government contracts in the urban transport sector, which would challenge Canadian rail car builder Bombardier&#8217;s dominant domestic position (BBDb.TO: <a href="/stocks/quote?symbol=BBDb.TO">Quote</a>, <a href="/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=BBDb.TO">Profile</a>, <a href="/stocks/researchReports?symbol=BBDb.TO">Research</a>, <a href="http://reuters.socialpicks.com/stock/r/BBD.B">Stock Buzz</a>).</p>
<p>The extent of the discord became evident in February, when EU trade chief Karel De Gucht flew to Canada to shake hands on the deal with Canada&#8217;s Trade Minister Ed Fast.</p>
<p>According to people familiar with the exchanges, Fast was unable to agree on the deal because he did not have the authority to do so from his prime minister, Stephen Harper.</p>
<p>&#8220;De Gucht was ready to sign a deal when he came over, but the Canadians weren&#8217;t prepared. They were nowhere near ready,&#8221; said one EU diplomat.</p>
<p>Harper has taken a close interest in the Canada-EU talks and one person close to the talks said he had covered one document with handwritten suggestions on how negotiators could proceed.</p>
<p>But analysts say he needs more time to sell a deal to his electorate, especially in Quebec, where Bombardier has its base.</p>
<p>&#8220;Harper and the government is recognizing they are going to have to make some sacrifices and spend some political capital to close this,&#8221; said one Canadian source close to the talks.</p>
<p>Asked about the state of play, a spokesman for Fast said negotiations were continuing and a deal would be signed when both sides were ready.</p>
<p>&#8220;Harper has to add his political weight to get an agreement,&#8221; said another person close to the talks. &#8220;The best scenario would be for both sides to sign the deal at the G8 summit in Northern Ireland in June, but there&#8217;s no guarantee.&#8221; ($1 = 0.7644 euros)</p>
<p>(Additional reporting by Philip Blenkinsop in Brussels; Editing by Andrew Heavens)</p>
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		<title>Drop in gasoline prices help keep Canada inflation benign</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/19/canada-economy-idUSL2N0D60R20130419?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/19/drop-in-gasoline-prices-help-keep-canada-inflation-benign/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Apr 2013 14:16:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1782</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s annual inflation rate in March slowed to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent in February, further underlining how little pressure there is on the Bank of Canada to raise rates any time soon. The main reason for the drop in the annual rate was lower gas prices, Statistics Canada said [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s annual inflation rate<br />
in March slowed to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent in February,<br />
further underlining how little pressure there is on the Bank of<br />
Canada to raise rates any time soon.</p>
<p>The main reason for the drop in the annual rate was lower<br />
gas prices, Statistics Canada said on Friday. The March rate was<br />
slightly less than the 1.1 percent predicted by economists.</p>
<p>The Bank of Canada &#8211; which has kept its overnight lending<br />
rate at a near record low since September 2010 &#8211; this week said<br />
it did not expect inflation to hit its 2 percent target until<br />
mid-2015. The central bank is not expected to raise rates until<br />
the second half of 2014.</p>
<p>&#8220;After quite a bit of volatility in the prior few months,<br />
Canadian inflation has shown its true colors a little more<br />
clearly this month &#8211; and those colors are pretty bland,&#8221; said<br />
Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.</p>
<p>&#8220;Inflation, like growth, is at the very low end of what the<br />
Bank of Canada is comfortable with.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Canadian economy is struggling to cope with weak<br />
foreign markets and a strong domestic dollar. The Bank of Canada<br />
central bank this week also cut its economic forecasts on signs<br />
of a slackening economy.</p>
</p>
<p>Gasoline prices in the year to March fell by 0.3 percent<br />
after rising 3.9 percent in the 12 months to February. Food<br />
prices grew by 1.8 percent in the year to March, down from the<br />
1.9 percent recorded in February.</p>
<p>The Bank of Canada&#8217;s closely watched core rate, which strips<br />
out volatile prices of energy and some foodstuffs, stayed<br />
unchanged at 1.4 percent.</p>
<p>&#8220;The key take-away here is that growth has disappointed,<br />
slack is quite material and that in turn will help keep<br />
inflation pressures very much benign over the next several<br />
quarters,&#8221; said TD Securities macro strategist Mazen Issa.&#8221;</p>
<p>After the figures were released the Canadian dollar remained<br />
steady at C$1.0260 to the U.S. dollar, or 97.47 U.S. cents. It<br />
later strengthened slightly and by 10:05 a.m. (1405 GMT) was at<br />
$1.0252, or 97.54 U.S. cents.</p>
<p>Overnight index swaps, which trade based on expectations for<br />
the central bank&#8217;s key policy rate, showed that after the<br />
announcement traders trimmed their very small bets on an<br />
interest rate cut later this year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Certainly these low inflation readings argue for the bank<br />
to keep policy highly accommodative, to try to get a bit more<br />
momentum into the economy,&#8221; said Paul Ferley, assistant chief<br />
economist at the Royal Bank of Canada.</p>
<p>Separately, Canadian wholesale trade unexpectedly remained<br />
flat in February from January, held back by lower sales of<br />
machinery, equipment and supplies.</p>
<p>Market operators had expected a 0.4 percent increase.<br />
Statscan revised January&#8217;s advance to 0.5 percent from an<br />
initial 0.3 percent. The volume of sales remained stable.</p>
<p>In February there were decreases in five of the seven<br />
subsectors, representing about 70 percent of wholesale trade.<br />
Wholesalers in seven of Canada&#8217;s 10 provinces reported higher<br />
sales, but these were offset by a 1.1 percent drop in Ontario,<br />
the largest province.</p>
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		<title>Benign Canada inflation eases pressure for rate hike</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/19/canada-economy-idUSL2N0D60RU20130419?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/19/benign-canada-inflation-eases-pressure-for-rate-hike/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Apr 2013 13:13:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1780</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s annual inflation rate in March slowed to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent in February, further underlining how little pressure there is on the Bank of Canada to raise rates any time soon. The main reason for the drop in the annual rate was lower gas prices, Statistics Canada said [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 19 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s annual inflation rate<br />
in March slowed to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent in February,<br />
further underlining how little pressure there is on the Bank of<br />
Canada to raise rates any time soon.</p>
<p>The main reason for the drop in the annual rate was lower<br />
gas prices, Statistics Canada said on Friday. The March rate was<br />
slightly less than the 1.1 percent predicted by economists.</p>
<p>The Bank of Canada &#8211; which has kept its overnight lending<br />
rate at a near record low since September 2010 &#8211; this week said<br />
it did not expect inflation to hit its 2 percent target until<br />
mid-2015. The central bank is not expected to raise rates until<br />
the second half of 2014.</p>
<p>&#8220;After quite a bit of volatility in the prior few months,<br />
Canadian inflation has shown its true colors a little more<br />
clearly this month &#8211; and those colors are pretty bland,&#8221; said<br />
Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.</p>
<p>&#8220;Inflation, like growth, is at the very low end of what the<br />
Bank of Canada is comfortable with.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Canadian economy is struggling to cope with weak<br />
foreign markets and a strong domestic dollar. The Bank of Canada<br />
central bank this week also cut its economic forecasts on signs<br />
of a slackening economy.</p>
<p>Gasoline prices in the year to March fell by 0.3 percent<br />
after rising 3.9 percent in the 12 months to February. Food<br />
prices grew by 1.8 percent in the year to March, down from the<br />
1.9 percent recorded in February.</p>
<p>The Bank of Canada&#8217;s closely watched core rate, which strips<br />
out volatile prices of energy and some foodstuffs, stayed<br />
unchanged at 1.4 percent.</p>
<p>After the figures were released the Canadian dollar remained<br />
steady at C$1.0260 to the U.S. dollar, or 97.47 U.S. cents.</p>
<p>Overnight index swaps, which trade based on expectations for<br />
the central bank&#8217;s key policy rate, showed that after the<br />
announcement traders trimmed their very small bets on an<br />
interest rate cut later this year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Certainly these low inflation readings argue for the bank<br />
to keep policy highly accommodative, to try to get a bit more<br />
momentum into the economy,&#8221; said Paul Ferley, assistant chief<br />
economist at the Royal Bank of Canada.</p>
<p>Separately, Canadian wholesale trade unexpectedly remained<br />
flat in February from January, held back by lower sales of<br />
machinery, equipment and supplies.</p>
<p>Market operators had expected a 0.4 percent increase.<br />
Statscan revised January&#8217;s advance to 0.5 percent from an<br />
initial 0.3 percent. The volume of sales remained stable.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Canada signals unhappiness with Shaw over spectrum sale plan</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/15/canada-telecoms-idUSL2N0D20UD20130415?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/15/canada-signals-unhappiness-with-shaw-over-spectrum-sale-plan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Apr 2013 16:09:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1778</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 15 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s industry minister signaled on Monday he is unhappy with Shaw Communications Inc&#8217;s plans to sell wireless spectrum to rival Rogers Communications Inc, a move that would add heft to Rogers, already one of three dominant players in the market. In 2008, Shaw, based in Western Canada, bought some of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 15 (Reuters) &#8211; Canada&#8217;s industry minister<br />
signaled on Monday he is unhappy with Shaw Communications Inc&#8217;s<br />
 plans to sell wireless spectrum to rival Rogers<br />
Communications Inc, a move that would add heft to<br />
Rogers, already one of three dominant players in the market.</p>
<p>In 2008, Shaw, based in Western Canada, bought some of the<br />
spectrum the Conservative government had set aside for new<br />
entrants in the mobile telephony market as part of a plan to<br />
encourage more competition for the big three: Rogers, BCE Inc&#8217;s<br />
Bell Canada and Telus Corp.</p>
<p>&#8220;The intent of the policy was not to have this set-aside<br />
spectrum to end (up) in the hands of incumbents,&#8221; Industry<br />
Minister Christian Paradis told reporters on a conference call<br />
when asked about Shaw&#8217;s plans.</p>
<p>Consumer and advocacy groups want Paradis to block the sale.</p>
<p>All spectrum license transfers must be approved by the<br />
federal industry ministry, giving Ottawa an effective veto.</p>
<p>In March, the government announced public consultations on<br />
the transfer of spectrum licenses, in particular on whether such<br />
proposed sales would affect the efficiency and competitiveness<br />
of the Canadian telecommunications market.</p>
<p>Once the consultation period is over, the Conservatives will<br />
announce new criteria for license transfers.</p>
<p>Canada&#8217;s wireless market has some of the highest charges in<br />
the developed world. Rogers, Bell Canada and Telus together<br />
command a 90 percent share.</p>
<p>Despite the government&#8217;s moves to boost competition the new<br />
entrants are struggling in a market of 34.5 million people<br />
stretched across the world&#8217;s second largest country.</p>
<p>Newcomers include Wind Mobile, a carrier in the process of<br />
being acquired by Amsterdam-based VimpelCom Ltd, as well<br />
as closely held Mobilicity and Public Mobile.</p>
<p>Speculation is rife that some or all of the young companies<br />
might look to be bought by either the domestic big three players<br />
or by other deep-pocketed investors willing to enter the market.</p>
<p>&#8220;I acknowledge that this is a fierce sector in terms of<br />
competition &#8230; consolidation of course might occur,&#8221; Paradis<br />
said.</p>
<p>&#8220;But I think that we are on the right track in terms of<br />
policy. Of course it&#8217;s a work in progress &#8230; I still remain<br />
confident that we will achieve our goal (of increased<br />
competition).&#8221;</p>
<p>In March, Paradis said the government would start the<br />
process of auctioning more prime wireless spectrum on Nov. 19<br />
and announced other steps designed to stimulate competition and<br />
reduce high roaming charges.</p>
<p>Last year, he reduced foreign investment restrictions on<br />
small carriers that have a market share of 10 percent or less.</p>
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		<title>In mid-term doldrums, Canada&#8217;s Conservatives hope to reboot</title>
		<link>http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/07/canada-politics-idUSL2N0CR1WR20130407?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=everything&#038;virtualBrandChannel=11563</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/2013/04/07/in-mid-term-doldrums-canadas-conservatives-hope-to-reboot/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Apr 2013 11:59:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Ljunggren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/david-ljunggren/?p=1776</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[OTTAWA, April 7 (Reuters) &#8211; Voter fatigue with Canada&#8217;s ruling Conservatives and signs of stress within the government are putting Prime Minister Stephen Harper under pressure to freshen up his team and policies as the telegenic son of Pierre Trudeau starts snapping at his heels. Even though the election is 30 months away &#8211; in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OTTAWA, April 7 (Reuters) &#8211; Voter fatigue with Canada&#8217;s<br />
ruling Conservatives and signs of stress within the government<br />
are putting Prime Minister Stephen Harper under pressure to<br />
freshen up his team and policies as the telegenic son of Pierre<br />
Trudeau starts snapping at his heels.</p>
<p>Even though the election is 30 months away &#8211; in October 2015<br />
- the next few months will be a critical time for Harper, given<br />
mounting evidence in opinion polls that the Conservatives risk<br />
losing power after what would be nearly a decade in office.</p>
<p>A different government would likely raise corporate taxes<br />
and step up environmental controls, with costs to the energy and<br />
mining firms that lead Canada&#8217;s growth.</p>
<p>A string of polls in the last two months put support for the<br />
Conservatives between 29 and 32 percent, barely enough to keep<br />
them in power with an unstable minority government.</p>
<p>The party, in power since 2006, won a majority in the May<br />
2011 election with 39.6 percent of the vote.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think you can underestimate probably the internal<br />
fatigue of the government,&#8221; said pollster Nik Nanos of Nanos<br />
Research.</p>
<p>The likely Conservative response: A restating of priorities,<br />
including: a balanced budget, then tax cuts, and a cabinet<br />
reshuffle.</p>
<p>That would give Harper the chance to bring in new younger<br />
ministers, and bring more women into the cabinet. Harper said<br />
last year that he planned big cabinet changes in mid-2013, and<br />
an aide said the plan remained on track.</p>
<p>The biggest external political threat comes from the<br />
Liberals, who have governed Canada more than any other party,<br />
but who sank to a distant third with less than 19 percent of the<br />
vote in 2011, behind the left-leaning New Democrats (NDP).</p>
<p>The Liberals are banking on the possible re-emergence of<br />
Trudeaumania, the voter excitement of 1968 when Pierre Elliott<br />
Trudeau became Liberal prime minister on a wave of flower power.</p>
<p>Trudeau&#8217;s son Justin is likely to be elected Liberal leader<br />
on April 14, and polls show that helping the party enormously.</p>
<p>A Forum Research poll this month said they would win 40<br />
percent of votes with Trudeau in charge, and perhaps a majority<br />
of seats. An Ipsos Reid poll on Thursday also had Trudeau<br />
Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, but by just one point.</p>
<p>Karl Belanger, principal secretary to NDP leader Thomas<br />
Mulcair, brushed off the threat from its rivals on the left.<br />
&#8220;The Liberals will pick their seventh leader in nine years,&#8221; he<br />
said. &#8220;We will let them sort themselves out, the NDP is focused<br />
on the Conservatives.&#8221;</p>
<p>Conservative strategists play down the opinion polls, noting<br />
how far away the next election is. They acknowledge Trudeau&#8217;s<br />
charisma, but stress his inexperience.</p>
<p>Trudeau has banked on presenting a message of hope, much<br />
like U.S. President Barack Obama, and has sought to make a<br />
virtue of the fact that in many areas he does not have detailed<br />
policies, insisting that he will first listen to Canadians.</p>
</p>
<p>KEEP THINGS CLEAN</p>
<p>The Conservatives wrested power from a scandal-hit Liberal<br />
administration in 2006 with a promise to clean up Ottawa. But<br />
now the Conservatives have accountability problems of their own.</p>
<p>Two ministers were forced to quit this year over ethics<br />
violations and Elections Canada has laid charges against a<br />
Conservative campaign worker in connection with fraudulent<br />
robocalls in the 2011 campaign. The Conservative Party says it<br />
ran a clean campaign and was not involved with the calls, and<br />
anybody responsible should be prosecuted to the full extent of<br />
the law.</p>
<p>In an unusual sign of open protest against Harper, some<br />
backbench Conservatives are grumbling about tight controls on<br />
what they can do or say in public, particularly on abortion,<br />
which is legal in Canada but opposed by some in Harper&#8217;s party.</p>
<p>One anti-abortion Conservative, Stephen Woodworth, accused<br />
Harper&#8217;s government of being &#8220;tyrannical&#8221; after party whips<br />
denied another lawmaker the opportunity to speak in Parliament<br />
about a proposal to condemn gender-selective abortion.</p>
<p>Harper&#8217;s answer to his woes looks set to include the largest<br />
single cabinet shuffle since he took power. The timing is<br />
unclear, but he has said it will be in mid-2013.</p>
<p>&#8220;He will not be fiddling around at the edges or moving a few<br />
pieces around,&#8221; a leading Conservative told Reuters.</p>
<p>A key question is whether Jim Flaherty will stay on as<br />
finance minister despite health problems. He has held his post<br />
from the moment Harper formed his government in 2006, and says<br />
he wants to stay until the budget is balanced in 2015.</p>
<p>Though he ran up record budget deficits in response to the<br />
recession, markets see Flaherty as an experienced hand<br />
determined to balance the budget without tax hikes.</p>
<p>Harper has until now kept his cabinet changes moderate,<br />
preferring to stick to tried-and-true ministers over new blood.</p>
<p>&#8220;If the Conservative end game is to be a governing party in<br />
the long term&#8230;then they&#8217;re going to need something before the<br />
next election that puts some sort of newness on what the party<br />
has to offer,&#8221; Nanos, the pollster, said.</p>
<p>After the shuffle he will lay out his priorities for the<br />
second half of his term, expected to include tax cuts (in time<br />
for the election), action on shortages of skilled labor that<br />
have bedeviled the natural resources sector, getting oil to<br />
markets and reaching free-trade agreements.</p>
<p>In the 2011 election, both the Liberals and the New<br />
Democrats, the biggest opposition party at present, campaigned<br />
on a promise of higher corporate taxes, either rolling back tax<br />
cuts brought in by the Conservatives or raising them further.</p>
<p>Both opposition parties have pledged to implement some sort<br />
of carbon-pricing scheme, whether a cap-and-trade system or a<br />
straight carbon tax, and both have opposed Conservative measures<br />
to limit the environmental assessments.</p>
<p>They would also be more cautious on oil pipelines, currently<br />
opposing the proposed Northern Gateway pipeline from Alberta to<br />
British Columbia, which would enable crude to be shipped to<br />
China. The Liberals back the Keystone XL line to take Canadian<br />
crude to refineries in the United States, but the NDP does not.</p>
<p> (Editing by Claudia Parsons and Leslie Gevirtz)</p>
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