Comments on: Changing Assad’s calculus http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/ Fri, 31 Jul 2015 03:37:49 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.5 By: nzl-kz7 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2780 Thu, 30 May 2013 11:06:17 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2780 “Why has Putin gotten so deeply engaged with the Alawi tribe is a mystery, since Russia has nothing to gain from it in the real world, and much to lose.”

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-1 8642032

Gives a simple explanation.

Remember Putin and his FSB buddies have more power than any other leadership Russian History.

Polit (sp) Bureau Member’s had more power than the Tzars Boyars, Putin’s FSB buddies Make the
PB Member’s look like new born Kittens.

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By: reality-again http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2778 Wed, 29 May 2013 16:36:55 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2778 Assad is nothing but the chieftain of the Alawi tribe, and he would have been dead, in prison, or in exile now, had it not been for the help he gets from Hezbollah’s mercenaries, who are handsomely paid by the regime in Tehran.
Why has Putin gotten so deeply engaged with the Alawi tribe is a mystery, since Russia has nothing to gain from it in the real world, and much to lose.

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By: nzl-kz7 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2777 Tue, 28 May 2013 10:11:40 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2777 Kissinger stated all an insurgent had to was not loose to win.

IMHO that applies when an insurgent is attacking a western government.

This is an Islamic conflict, in an Islamic state. For Assad and his administration to loose, they must be physically driven from power, and out of the state, or the insurgents have achieved only the carnage that is now Syria.

Assad may leave power at the end of his term as a sop to peace. The Allawite administration will keep the reigns of power after his departure in any peace deal, or there will be no deal.

They have Damascus, Hezbollah, Tehran, and MOSCOW. A deal they will accept or no deal is where the process is headed. At the moment every day wasted talking about talking favors Assad’s Administration.

We have seen two years of Stalingrad, the Insurgents do not seem to be able to master any other tactics.

Assad’s seem to be changing, instead of reacting to the Insurgents and fighting their ridiculously expensive (In Human life’s) urban war. He appears to be taking the initiative and returning to tactics of Territory (and also possibly ethnic cleansing).

The Insurgents need a Cease fire so they can regroup or thousands of tons of weapons. They will get neither if the can not swiftly heal their political disunity.

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By: Fromkin http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2776 Mon, 27 May 2013 11:12:43 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2776 “The Syrians deserve to have a voice in their own government, not a never-ending family oligarchy.”

You don’t Know and don’t care what the Syrians deserve. A “never-ending family oligarchy” has ruled Saud Arabia longer. Maybe the US should start by attacking it first. like in Egypt, the job would be easier and less bloodier to American soldiers.

“Russian and Chinese despots don’t want more democracy: they’re afraid it will infect the masses in their own countries and that they won’t be able to stop it.”

Again the US is the protector of Saudi despots. Why not start democracy in Saud Arabia where the US has influence? Democracy in Saud Arabia would have a powerful domino effect and would certainly infect the masses globally more than in Syria.

The people of Bahrain also are demanding democracy. Why is the US/Obama not rushing to their rescue?

You don’t care about the people and democracy in the ME. You only care about hegemony and oil. If you cared about the people in the ME you would not support the tyrannical regimes in Saud Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, UEA, Oman….

Do you really think that there would be democracy in Syria with the Muslim Brotherhood or you’re just trying to fool people as usual?

The truth is the US is the biggest supporter of despotic regimes. It only turns against them when they stop or refuse to serve its interests.

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By: Calfri http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2775 Sun, 26 May 2013 22:31:59 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2775 This U.S. policy is the classic Obama approach to governing and policy: passive and play-it safe politically and otherwise. People say it’s unwise for the U.S. to get involved because our weapons and help will end up with radicals, yet it was the very lack of U.S. help that empowered and enabled the radicals, since the Syrian rebels had no where else to turn for assistance. People have been pointing out the need for more U.S. help for years now, but Obama has just twiddled his thumbs and hid behind Russia and China’s opposition to international action against the Assad government. The Syrians deserve to have a voice in their own government, not a never-ending family oligarchy. Russian and Chinese despots don’t want more democracy: they’re afraid it will infect the masses in their own countries and that they won’t be able to stop it. That’s why it’s in their own selfish interests to squelch the rebels’ demands for Assad’s ouster. Unfortunately, I’m not reassured by John Kerry, who comes across as a major b.s-er.

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By: Samrch http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2772 Sat, 25 May 2013 14:44:14 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2772 Unless aside plans to have anti-terrorist and anti-terrorist religion. It is to the the West advantage to to support things tending to give the area bad government or better still no government and depopulation. In sort at lest divide them even if you do not want rule them as long as they are likely to be an enemy.

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By: Samrch http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2771 Sat, 25 May 2013 14:34:12 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2771 Since the rebels do not have clear ideology that is anti-Muslim radical. The West does not have too mush reason to support either side, except in absence of anti-terrorist, the best can hoped for is weakening the area through internal wars. In which we should support the losing side which ever it is with short range weapons only.

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By: Fromkin http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2770 Sat, 25 May 2013 02:09:13 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2770 It’s obvious that Mr.Rhode and his ilk are part of the non-lethal assistance being given to al Nusra and the contras

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By: pyanitsa http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2769 Fri, 24 May 2013 22:16:36 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2769 Rohde, get off your high horse. Go write a book or learn to read Russian or something.

A half-intervention, indeed. Is that like a half-penetration?

Qatar, the Turks and the Saudis have been doing all they can for the past two years to get rid of Assad. They’ve been huffin’ and puffin’, trying to blow his house down. If they can’t it’s because he has more of the citizenry behind him. And who are you to tell people who should govern them?

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By: EconCassandra http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/2013/05/23/changing-assads-calculus/#comment-2768 Fri, 24 May 2013 21:32:50 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/david-rohde/?p=1936#comment-2768 You state “If the Obama administration and its allies are not going to decisively back the rebels, their talk of assistance should end. More empty rhetoric simply prolongs the bloodshed.”

By the rhetoric of your article, I assume this derisive comment is aimed at increasing our military involvement in Syria.

You are wrong!

This nation needs to get involved in Syria about as much as we needed to become involved in Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan.

Do we EVER learn ANYTHING from our multitudinous foreign policy mistakes?

WHAT WE NEED TO DO IS GET OUT, AND NOW, BEFORE WE MANAGE TO BLUNDER ONCE AGAIN AND CAUSE ANOTHER MAJOR WAR!

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