David's Feed
Mar 4, 2010

Greece seeks EU signal to reduce borrowing costs

BERLIN, March 4 (Reuters) – Greek Deputy Foreign Minister
Dimitris Droutsas called on Thursday for Germany and its EU
partners to send a clear message of confidence in Athens to
financial markets, allowing Greece to borrow more cheaply.

Droutsas also said he was optimistic that his government’s
extra austerity package aimed at fighting the nation’s debt
crisis would allow its 2010 budget deficit target to be met.

Aug 17, 2009
via MacroScope

How to count a recovery

Photo

If it takes two successive quarters of falling GDP to enter a recession, how can a country emerge from recession with only one quarter of growth?  In the past week or so, journalists have declared the recession over in France, Germany and now Japan.  Of course, most reports rightly ask how long this will last and stress that a genuine recovery is far from certain.Some people regard the two quarters definition of a recession as arbitrary and a bit silly, something supposedly cooked up by one of Lyndon Johnson’s economic advisers  to avoid acknowledging a downturn until after the next election.But it does serve a serious purpose: At least it reduces the risk that we’ll be misled by a statistical blip in one quarter’s data which might be revised away in the next release.Regardless of its murky origins, economists and lay people around the world use the two quarters recession rule. So why not be consistent?  Why not wait another quarter before we declare the French, German and Japanese recessions over?