David's Feed
Mar 11, 2010

Euro policymakers inject cold reality into EMF debate

BERLIN/LUXEMBOURG, March 11 (Reuters) – EU policymakers
injected a dose of cold reality into talk of creating a European
monetary fund, questioning who would pay for it and saying the
principle of no bailouts for countries in financial trouble must

Eurogroup Chairman Jean-Claude Juncker said on Thursday such
a fund should protect only the interests of the entire euro
zone, not any individual member of the currency bloc, while ECB
Governing Council member Yves Mersch said central banks weren’t
in the business of budget bailouts.

Mar 4, 2010

Greece seeks EU signal to reduce borrowing costs

BERLIN, March 4 (Reuters) – Greek Deputy Foreign Minister
Dimitris Droutsas called on Thursday for Germany and its EU
partners to send a clear message of confidence in Athens to
financial markets, allowing Greece to borrow more cheaply.

Droutsas also said he was optimistic that his government’s
extra austerity package aimed at fighting the nation’s debt
crisis would allow its 2010 budget deficit target to be met.

Aug 17, 2009
via MacroScope

How to count a recovery


If it takes two successive quarters of falling GDP to enter a recession, how can a country emerge from recession with only one quarter of growth?  In the past week or so, journalists have declared the recession over in France, Germany and now Japan.  Of course, most reports rightly ask how long this will last and stress that a genuine recovery is far from certain.Some people regard the two quarters definition of a recession as arbitrary and a bit silly, something supposedly cooked up by one of Lyndon Johnson’s economic advisers  to avoid acknowledging a downturn until after the next election.But it does serve a serious purpose: At least it reduces the risk that we’ll be misled by a statistical blip in one quarter’s data which might be revised away in the next release.Regardless of its murky origins, economists and lay people around the world use the two quarters recession rule. So why not be consistent?  Why not wait another quarter before we declare the French, German and Japanese recessions over?