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Apr 9, 2014

Fed to hold rates until at least July 2015, says slim majority: Reuters poll

By Deepti Govind

(Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise its key interest rate until at least July next year as it waits for the world’s biggest economy to gather pace, according to a slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll.

Results of the survey of 69 economists based in the United States, Europe and Canada were similar to those in a poll of 18 primary dealers — the banks that do business directly with the Fed — conducted on Friday. <FED/R>

Apr 3, 2014

Indian rupee to weaken slightly over the next year

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The Indian rupee’s recent rally is set to reverse course later this year as upbeat sentiment ahead of a general election wears off and economic growth remains slow, a Reuters poll found.

Still, the rupee will not lose much and is expected to trade at around 60.61 to the U.S. dollar in a month before weakening further to 62 in a year, Thursday’s poll of 30 currency strategists showed.

Apr 3, 2014

Rupee to weaken slightly over next year – Reuters poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The rupee’s recent rally is set to reverse course later this year as upbeat sentiment ahead of a general election wears off and economic growth remains slow, a Reuters poll found.

Still, the rupee will not lose much and is expected to trade at around 60.61 to the U.S. dollar in a month before weakening further to 62 in a year, Thursday’s poll of 30 currency strategists showed.

Mar 31, 2014
via MacroScope

Is it time for the ECB to do more?

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From financial forecasters to the International Monetary Fund, calls for the European Central Bank to do more to support the euro zone recovery are growing louder.

With inflation well below the ECB’s 2 percent target ceiling and continuing to fall, 20 of 53 economists in a Reuters Poll conducted last week said the bank was wrong to leave policy unchanged at recent meetings and should do more when it meets on Thursday.

Mar 27, 2014

Only 2 of 72 polled see April ECB rate cut; lukewarm praise for bank reform-Reuters Poll

BANGALORE, March 27 (Reuters) – The European Union’s banking
reforms will boost interbank business but won’t end bailouts of
failing lenders, economists polled by Reuters say.

Thursday’s poll also showed an increasing number of
forecasters agree with the European Central Bank’s recent
decisions to leave monetary policy unchanged, and very few think
it will cut rates from a historic low of 0.25 percent next week.

Mar 12, 2014

Euro zone faces 15 percent chance of deflation: economists

BANGALORE (Reuters) – A significant number of economists have doubts about the European Central Bank’s view that deflation is not a threat and that the recovery will take hold without any more action, a Reuters poll showed, and they say more stimulus is needed.

The ECB refrained from cutting interest rates or implementing any additional stimulus measures at its meeting last week, saying the recovery was on track and needed no extra push for now.

Mar 12, 2014

Euro zone faces 15 pct chance of deflation – economists:Reuters Poll

BANGALORE, March 12 (Reuters) – A significant number of
economists have doubts about the European Central Bank’s view
that deflation is not a threat and that the recovery will take
hold without any more action, a Reuters poll showed, and they
say more stimulus is needed.

The ECB refrained from cutting interest rates or
implementing any additional stimulus measures at its meeting
last week, saying the recovery was on track and needed no extra
push for now.

Feb 27, 2014

Bank of Canada rates seen on hold until third-quarter 2015

By Deepti Govind

(Reuters) – The Bank of Canada’s next interest-rate move is still expected to be a hike, but forecasters have pushed back their target for a tightening to the third quarter of 2015, a Reuters poll found on Thursday.

None of the 30 economists in the poll expected an interest rate move at the central bank’s meeting on March 5.

Feb 25, 2014

Canada housing boom expected to cool, crash fears linger: Reuters poll

By Leah Schnurr and Deepti Govind

(Reuters) – Canada’s housing market boom will fade out over the next three years and although analysts say prices won’t fall from record highs most are at least somewhat worried about the risk of a crash, a Reuters poll found.

In the survey of 16 forecasters, eight said they were “slightly concerned” that after more than a decade of rapid increases in home prices, they may be at risk of a sharp fall.

Feb 4, 2014
via MacroScope

Euro zone inflation falls again; economists base ECB rate cut calls on deja vu

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Euro zone inflation has dipped again and some forecasters are hedging their bets on the policy response by saying the European Central Bank could either cut rates this week or sometime in the next two months.

That lack of conviction, although not a recent phenomenon, is driven by memory of the ECB’s surprise cut in November after a similar drop in inflation and a nagging belief that things have not worsened enough in the interim to warrant another.

    • About Deepti

      "Polling Correspondent on the Reuters Polls team. Poll, report and write on global economic and market data. First joined Reuters in 2008 as a correspondent covering U.S. small and mid-cap technology stocks and returned in 2011 after a short stint as a freelance web content writer. Hold a journalism degree from Madras University."
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