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Dec 17, 2014

BSE Sensex to hit 32,980 by Dec. 2015 – Reuters Poll

BENGALURU (Reuters) – Indian shares will continue this year’s big rally in 2015, propelled by the passage of key fiscal reforms, according to analysts in a Reuters poll who see another year of 20 percent-plus gains.

The poll of 18 analysts, taken in the past week, predicts the Sensex will hit 30,000 by June and 32,980 by December 2015. The index – which closed at 26,781.44 on Tuesday – has gained around 27 percent this year, trumping most major indices.

Dec 4, 2014
via MacroScope

ECB QE drifts from if to when, say many analysts

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Serious deflation risks in the euro zone mean it is no longer a question of if, but when the ECB will purchase sovereign bonds — at least among many of those who are paid to forecast policy.

In a Reuters poll conducted last week, economists had already placed cautious bets on the ECB buying government bonds with the consensus pointing to just even chances, owing mainly to unwavering opposition from Germany.

Nov 27, 2014

GDP growth to slow to 5.1 pct, but no rate cut yet – Reuters Poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – India’s economic growth probably slowed to 5.1 percent in the July-September quarter from a year ago, but economists polled by Reuters doubted whether that would be enough to persuade the central bank to cut interest rates just yet.

Clamours for the Reserve Bank of India to ease policy have grown louder in recent weeks. Consumer inflation slowed to 5.52 percent in October, its lowest reading on record, and despite Mumbai’s soaring stock market there are no signs of economic growth picking up.

Nov 26, 2014

India GDP growth to slow to 5.1 percent, but no rate cut yet – Reuters Poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – India economic growth probably slowed to 5.1 percent in the July-September quarter from a year ago, but economists polled by Reuters doubted whether that would be enough to persuade the central bank to cut interest rates just yet.

Clamours for the Reserve Bank of India to ease policy have grown louder in recent weeks. Consumer inflation slowed to 5.52 percent in October, its lowest reading on record, and despite Mumbai’s soaring stock market there are no signs of economic growth picking up.

Nov 26, 2014

India GDP growth to slow to 5.1 pct, but no rate cut yet

BANGALORE, Nov 26 (Reuters) – India economic growth probably
slowed to 5.1 percent in the July-September quarter from a year
ago, but economists polled by Reuters doubted whether that
would be enough to persuade the central bank to cut interest
rates just yet.

Clamours for the Reserve Bank of India to ease policy have
grown louder in recent weeks. Consumer inflation slowed to 5.52
percent in October, its lowest reading on record, and despite
Mumbai’s soaring stock market there are no signs of economic
growth picking up.

Oct 16, 2014

Exports to help lift Canadian economy, housing a real risk: Reuters poll

TORONTO/BANGALORE (Reuters) – A pickup in exports will foster stronger economic growth in Canada next year, a Reuters poll found, but many forecasters in the survey expressed concerns over the risks of a housing market correction.

A weaker U.S. recovery or an oil price shock, which were listed in the poll as some of the risks to global economic growth over the coming year, could also weigh on Canada’s economic expansion.

Oct 10, 2014
via MacroScope

Post-Lehman shadows creeping up on German economy again?

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The recent stretch of dire economic data from Germany is starting to bear an unfortunate resemblance to late 2008 – when Lehman Brothers collapsed and the world tipped into the worst recession since the Great Depression.

On a severity scale, a downturn now will probably be nowhere close to the first quarter of 2009 when Germany’s gross domestic product shrank 4.5 percent on the quarter.

Sep 24, 2014

RBI seen holding rates until Q2 2015, then ease – Reuters Poll

BANGALORE (Reuters) – The Reserve Bank of India will probably wait until the second quarter of next year to loosen policy as it wants to cool inflation before trying to spur growth, a Reuters poll found ahead of a policy review meeting next week.

All but three of 46 economists surveyed over the past week said the bank would leave its key repo rate unchanged at 8.0 percent when it meets on Sept. 30.

Sep 24, 2014

Reserve Bank of India seen holding rates until Q2 2015, then ease

BANGALORE, Sept 24 (Reuters) – The Reserve Bank of India
will probably wait until the second quarter of next year to
loosen policy as it wants to cool inflation before trying to
spur growth, a Reuters poll found ahead of a policy review
meeting next week.

All but three of 46 economists surveyed over the past week
said the bank would leave its key repo rate
unchanged at 8.0 percent when it meets on Sept. 30.

Sep 1, 2014

Factory activity expands at slower clip in August

BANGALORE (Reuters) – Factory growth eased in August from July’s 17-month record pace as new orders came in at a slower clip, a business survey showed on Monday.

The HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), compiled by Markit, fell to 52.4 in August from 53.0 in July but chalked up its tenth month above the 50 mark that divides growth from contraction.

    • About Deepti

      "Specialist Polling Correspondent on the Reuters Polls team. Poll, report and write on the global economy and financial markets. Specializing in leading the Reuters Polls' coverage on the global economy and central bank monetary policy since April 2014. First joined Reuters in 2008 as a correspondent covering U.S. small and mid-cap technology stocks and returned in 2011 after a short stint as a freelance web content writer. Hold a journalism degree from Madras University."
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