Which is the bigger threat to the world’s peace and prosperity – geopolitical conflict or financial disarray? In a more violent world, it is easy to forget the significant danger posed by finance.
After a dozen job changes over 35 years, it is too late for me to become a loyal employee. But I know the model of the faithful worker. The dental assistant who used to tend to my teeth worked at the same small practice for about 35 years before retiring, with deep regret, two years ago. She stopped by regularly afterwards, because she wanted to stay in touch with the community that had defined so much of her life.
The experts got 2014 wrong. As Barclays points out in its latest Global Outlook for investors, the consensus at the beginning of the year was that GDP growth would pick up fairly strongly in developed economies, government bond yields would finally rise and commodity prices would hold steady at elevated levels. Wrong, wrong and wrong.