Big dividends from a small retailer
This being Halloween, it seems appropriate to ask, who’s afraid of big, bad Wal-Mart? If you were thinking women’s apparel retailer Cato Corp. (CTR), think again. This microcap has consistently stood its ground.
In todays investment column, I introduced nine good-yielding strip-mall REITs that may benefit from Wal-Mart’s struggles. Cato is another such outfit.
You’d never know it given Cato’s skimpy research coverage; two analysts follow it now, both from small firms, and for most of the past few years, there was only one analyst, Marc Bettinger of Stanford Group Company, who regularly reported on CTR. So it’s not surprising to see low share-price valuation metrics.
Table A
| Company | Indy. Avg. | |
| P/E (TTM) | 15.30 | 21.99 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 0.86 | 1.52 |
Note: TTM = Trailing 12 months
He has a Buy rating on the stock now, as lower gas prices are especially beneficial to this discounter’s largely blue-collar clientele, helping the company post strong results. However his rating has bounced around over time as Cato’s comparable-store sales trends ebbed and flowed and as broader macroeconomic data influenced attitudes toward the spending prowess of low-end consumers.
But through it all, Cato hung in and managed to deliver for customers - it aims to price just a little above Wal-Mart but to offer fashions and services that far exceed what can be obtained from the mega-merchant -and for shareholders.
Growth, what Wall Street usually demands, has not been Cato’s stock in trade.
Table B
| Company | Indy. Avg. | |
| Sales growth rate (%) last 5 yrs. |
4.77 | 10.80 |
| Sales growth rate (%) last 5 yrs. |
6.66 | 19.24 |
Note: TTM = Trailing 12 months
But there’s more to life than growth. This debt-free company features solid fundamentals.
Table C
| Company | Indy. Avg. | |
| % Operating Margin (TTM) | 8.93 | 10.61 |
| Inventory Turnover (TTM) | 6.29 | 4.66 |
| % Return on Investment (TTM) | 17.17 | 16.62 |
| % Return on Investment (5 Yr.) | 15.47 | 13.96 |
Note: TTM = Trailing 12 months
Most significantly, rather than investing heavily to try to grow more quickly than it really could, Cato has historically given greater emphasis to returning cash to shareholders through dividends.
Table D
| Company | Indy. Avg. | |
| Yield (%) | 2.63 | 1.26 |
| Dividend growth rate (%) last 5 yrs. |
12.34 | 17.36 |
| Payout ratio (TTM) | 34.02 | 16.85 |
Note: TTM = Trailing 12 months
The above-average yield is not the result of a depressed stock price but of the merchant’s deliberate decision to make generous payments to shareholders. Despite the relatively high payout ratio, Cato’s liquidity has enabled the dividend to grow more quickly over the past five years than has its sales or earnings per share.
Cato seems liquid enough to remain at least worthwhile as a total-return (yield plus growth) play since cash from operations is typically five times as great as annual dividend payments. If Cato can boost its EPS growth rate to 10 percent over the long term, as analysts project, so much the better.
