(Supporters of presidential candidate from the Muslim Brotherhood and the Freedom and Justice Party (FJP), Khairat al-Shater, hold a banner of him in Cairo April 5, 2012. REUTERS/Asmaa Waguih )

The following is a guest contribution. Reuters is not responsible for the content and the views expressed are the authors’ alone.  H.A. Hellyer (@hahellyer) is a geo-strategic expert on the MENA region and Europe, with experience at Gallup, the Brookings Institution and Warwick University.