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Felix Salmon

sailing the rough rude sea

July 15th, 2009

The Chinese stock-market crash: July 22

Posted by: Felix Salmon
Tags: felix, ,

Josh and Tyler have found a piece of ever-so-scientific research which calculates that the Shanghai stock market will crash somewhere between July 17 and July 27. Which is convenient for me, since I’ll be there personally from July 19 through 25; I should have a front-row seat!

If I had to pick a single day for the crash, of course, it would have to be July 22. When the predictions of a Log Periodic Power Law are ratified by a solar eclipse with the longest totality of the century, how could stocks possibly behave otherwise?

Update: Zubin has found a paper about the effect of eclipses on the stock market.

7 comments so far

Oh man, I want the 10 min I spent reading that piece of ever-so-scientific trash back!

- Posted by silly things

Sornette! I haven’t heard about him for a while; I kind of thought he’d given up on this sort of thing. Maybe last fall re-encouraged him.

- Posted by dWj

Hope you have clear skies for the eclipse. A total solar eclipse is one of nature’s most breathtaking spectacles!!

- Posted by HeavyG

July 22 is also Pi Approximation Day.

- Posted by minderbender

Well, if it were going to crash, they (or anyone) should put money in their words by shorting every chinese stock, and buying back later, hence making a tidy profit. But, as its not, this piece of garbage is fit for disposal.

- Posted by its not

THE SOLAR ECLIPSE IMPACT ON STOCK MARKETS:
The possibility of stock markets fall will be apply before 21 days to after 21 days from eclipse day.The possibility of the days for stocks fall :before 14th& 5th days,after 3rd &8th,13th,21,24 days.generally in these days markets will be in down trend.

watch these days for present solar eclipse.

July 17/18-24th/25th-2nd August,14 th August,21st August.In these days the stocks will be loss.

But the major effect will be :
before 14 th day ie:6th July.next 14th August 2009,21st August 2009
BUT THE REMAINING DAYS THE MARKETS WILL BE IN POSITIVE…DUE TO OVER OPTIMISM IN INVESTORS..FINALLY IT LEADS TO A CRASH.
in mundane matters the eclipse impact will be before 8th 5th,3rd days and after 2nd to 8 th days..so from 15th July to 30 th July is crucial period for mundane matters.in these 15 days Earth will be face with natural calamities..ie:earth quakes-cyclones..

CHECK WITH PAST ECLIPSE DAYS MARKET DATA &MUNDANE MATTERS.

Esawr
http://astroakella.blogspot.com

- Posted by ESWAR

Sornette for the win!

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/f iles/images/Shanghai%20Fibonacci.jpg

- Posted by dsquared

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