Climate Desk Bleg 2
Thanks partly to SXSW and partly to my own atrophied reporting muscles, my climate desk piece is going very slowly. And so I’m going to try another bleg here.
The basic situation is little changed from my last update: most of the companies I’m hearing about are either working on greenhouse gas emissions — which isn’t really the story I’m looking for — or else are just getting started on the work needed to comply with the new SEC reporting requirements. But I have heard, second-hand, of a few stories which are much closer to the mark, and if anybody can help me out in terms of finding me companies or websites which talk about these kind of things, I’d be very grateful.
First, there’s the banks. I heard of one Brazilian bank — I’m not sure which one — which was asked for a 20-year loan to fund a major agricultural project in the Amazon, and which responded by asking for an environmental audit. They don’t want to lend money to a coffee project, say, if the land is not going to be arable for coffee in 20 years’ time. Has anybody heard tales of environmental models playing a role in banks’ loan underwriting?
Secondly, there’s the hospitality industry, especially the parts of it which have a lot of assets on islands and beaches and the like. Are any of these companies doing environmental studies on coastal erosion and sea-level rise, and if so, how are they managing those risks? This isn’t a question of insuring against a disastrous event happening in the next year or two — that can be done by writing a check. It’s more a question of positioning the company so that it wouldn’t be devastated by the inability to insure against a disastrous event in the future, if insurers decide the risks are too big.
Finally there’s companies like ADM or Heinz, which are creating new crops designed to cope well with low-water conditions or large swings in temperatures. This is the point at which risk mitigation becomes profitable in and of itself: once you’ve mitigated risks by creating those crops, you can cash in on demand for those crops if and when climate change causes demand for them to rise.
Overall, though, I’m having difficulty finding big companies which are happy to spend a lot of money and effort on mitigating the effects of something as inherently nebulous and unpredictable as climate change. And maybe that’s rational. After all, if you prepare for X and then get blindsided by Y, you might as well have done nothing at all. And no one has any real idea of exactly what things are likely enough to worry about and what things aren’t.