The Winklevoss delusion

December 31, 2010
Jay Yarow is absolutely right when it comes to the Winklevoss twins: they're arrogant, delusional hypocrites.

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Jay Yarow is absolutely right when it comes to the Winklevoss twins: they’re arrogant, delusional hypocrites. According to this morning’s NYT piece, they want to relitigate their $65 million Facebook settlement because the $45 million in Facebook shares that they received are now worth only $120 million rather than somewhere north of $500 million.

They can easily afford to do this, of course, because they were always rich to begin with, and because they also got $20 million in cash as part of the deal. But the argument at the core of their case is bonkers:

According to court documents, the parties agreed to settle for a sum of $65 million. The Winklevosses then asked whether they could receive part of it in Facebook shares and agreed to a price of $35.90 for each share, based on an investment Microsoft made nearly five months earlier that pegged Facebook’s total value at $15 billion. Under that valuation, they received 1.25 million shares, putting the stock portion of the agreement at $45 million.

Yet days before the settlement, Facebook’s board signed off on an expert’s valuation that put a price of $8.88 on its shares. Facebook did not disclose that valuation, which would have given the shares a worth of $11 million. The ConnectU founders contend that Facebook’s omission was deceptive and amounted to securities fraud.

They refuse to say how much they would ask for in a new negotiation, but they said that based on the lower valuation, they should have received roughly four times the number of shares…

In its brief, the company says it was under no obligation to disclose the $8.88 valuation, which was available in public filings. Facebook describes it as one of many that it received…

“There was no chance that that one valuation would have affected the decision of these sophisticated investors and their entourage of advisers,” Facebook wrote in its brief.

The fundamental point here is that the two sides agreed to settle for $65 million, and the brothers decided they would rather have $20 million in cash and 1.25 million Facebook shares than $65 million in cash. That decision turns out to have been a very good one, since those 1.25 million shares are now worth somewhere north of $120 million.

When Facebook handed over the shares, it might have thought they were worth $11 million, or it might have thought they were worth $1 billion: it doesn’t matter what Facebook thought. The brothers clearly thought the shares were worth more than $45 million, or they would have accepted cash instead. And they were right.

With the benefit of hindsight, Microsoft managed to buy in to Facebook at an attractive price, and so did the twins. It was always in their interest to argue for the lowest possible valuation and to get as many shares as possible out of the deal. And if they got $45 million in Facebook shares today, they would never get a price remotely as attractive as the one they got in 2008. They were smart to settle when they did, rather than dragging negotiations on longer. And they’re being really stupid to keep on fighting a battle they’ve already won.


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